TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Santa Monica

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U19 · 15 teams · ALBION SC Santa Monica (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 37 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
14th
0-0-2 record · 2 played
0.00 points per game
-5 goal diff · 3–8
LLlast 2
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.3
+0.39 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:45 AM

Open the match preview →

ALBION SC Santa Monica
14th · 0.00 PPG
at
LAIFC
5th · 2.00 PPG

Silverlakes Sports Complex, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.6 for, 4.5 against · 0.31 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Santa MonicaLAIFC
Position14th5th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-22-0-1
Points per game0.002.00
Goals for / game1.54.3
Goals against / game4.01.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L LL W W
Biggest win—9–0 at LA Surf Futures
Worst loss0–3 at City SC Los Angeles2–3 vs Central Cal Aztecs
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.89+1.43
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.39-0.01

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    LAIFC score 4.3/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at City SC Los Angeles.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 7%; a draw (8%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:45 AM at Silverlakes Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LA Surf LC sit 13th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above LA Surf LC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAIFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Santa Monica – LAIFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
15th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
11th▲ up 3 11th▲ up 3 14th— holds
Draw
0.33 PPG
13th▲ up 1 13th▲ up 1 15th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 15th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we fall to at least 15th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 9%
  11. 11th 15%
  12. 12th 21%
  13. 13th 23%
  14. 14th 16%
  15. 15th 9%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fram Soccer Club 3.00 (+3.00) 6th (1.79) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
2 Oaks FC 3.00 (+3.00) 5th (1.81) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
3 Rangers FC 2.33 (+2.33) 1st (2.10) 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
4 Central Cal Aztecs 2.33 (+2.33) 3rd (2.02) 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5 LAIFC 2.00 (+2.00) 2nd (2.09) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
6 AC Brea 2.00 (+2.00) 7th (1.61) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 1.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.93) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
8 City SC Los Angeles 1.50 (+1.50) 9th (1.48) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
9 FC Golden State Force 1.00 (+1.00) 8th (1.51) Win next game
10 Total Futbol Academy 1.00 (+1.00) 10th (1.16) Win next game
11 LA Surf Futures 1.00 (+1.00) 13th (0.84) Win next game
12 ALBION SC Los Angeles 0.75 (+0.75) 11th (1.05) A point next game
13 LA Surf LC 0.33 (+0.33) 15th (0.51) Already ahead

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Santa Monica to LAIFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-9.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–5 4–2 0–9 ALBION SC Santa Mon… 14th Fram Soccer Club 1st LA Surf Futures 11th LAIFC 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 7th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:45 AM
LAIFC
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +9
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.31 0.10 Upside
Sun Oct 25
12:30 PM
Oaks FC
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +3
Home
John Adams MS
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–3 0.85 0.29 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
Central Cal Aztecs
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
Kaiser Sports Village
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.53 0.34 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:30 PM
AC Brea
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +3
Away
Whittier College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.62 0.38 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
3–2 1.83 0.59 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 0.58 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.95 0.62 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–2 1.36 0.70 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–2 1.82 0.80 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
9th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.65 0.79 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Rangers FC
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.43 0.76 Upside
Sat May 15
09:00 AM
Los Angeles SC
15th · 0-0-1 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
3–2 1.90 0.84 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fram Soccer Club 2200 95+4 63.00 WW -1.15 +0.14 38% 5.4
2 Oaks FC 2200 63+3 63.00 WW -0.15 -0.02 38% 5.3
3 Rangers FC 3210 61+5 72.33 DWW +0.58 -0.24 78% 3.1
4 Central Cal Aztecs 3210 52+3 72.33 DWW +0.96 -0.32 67% 3.8
5 LAIFC 3201 134+9 62.00 WWL -0.01 -0.11 78% 3.0
6 AC Brea 2110 63+3 42.00 DW -1.12 +0.16 18% 6.8
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 102+8 31.50 WL -0.47 -0.01 60% 4.1
8 City SC Los Angeles 2101 54+1 31.50 WL -0.18 +0.02 11% 7.7
9 FC Golden State Force 3102 64+2 31.00 LLW -0.05 -0.04 11% 7.6
10 Total Futbol Academy 3102 67-1 31.00 LWL -0.43 +0.16 1% 10.1
11 LA Surf Futures 3102 413-9 31.00 LWL +0.54 -0.02 0% 12.4
12 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4103 58-3 30.75 WLLL -0.01 +0.06 0% 10.9
13 LA Surf LC 3012 317-14 10.33 DLL +0.73 -0.01 0% 14.1
14 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2002 38-5 00.00 LL +0.39 +0.01 0% 12.3
15 Los Angeles SC 1001 06-6 00.00 L -0.28 +0.14 0% 13.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.