TableChase Clubs

Fram Soccer Club

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U19 · 15 teams · Fram CQ (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
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1st
2-0-0 record · 2 played
3.00 points per game
+4 goal diff · 9–5
WWlast 2
36% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.5
-1.15 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Fram Soccer Club
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
AC Brea
6th · 2.00 PPG

South High School, Grass Soccer Field ↗ · grass

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.8 for, 2.5 against · 1.61 expected points)

Season so farFram Soccer ClubAC Brea
Position1st6th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-01-1-0
Points per game3.002.00
Goals for / game4.53.0
Goals against / game2.51.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W WW D
Biggest win5–3 at ALBION SC Santa Monica3–0 at Total Futbol Academy
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.61+0.46
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.15-1.12

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 48% / draw 18% / loss 35%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Grass field
    Venue listed as "Grass Soccer Field" at South High School.

    If the team trains on turf: the ball will be slower and bounce less true. Weight passes harder, favour early crosses in the final third, and bring FG/SG cleats. Warm up on the field, not the track.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AC Brea game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fram Soccer Club – AC Brea) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.33 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2 4th▼ down 3
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.33 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2 4th▼ down 3
Loss
2.00 PPG
6th▼ down 5 7th▼ down 6 7th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we fall to at least 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

5% finish 1st
36% top 4
64% below the top 4
5.5 average finish
  1. 1st 5%
  2. 2nd 9%
  3. 3rd 10%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th 14%
  6. 6th 13%
  7. 7th 13%
  8. 8th 11%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 4%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 3rd hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
AC Brea
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +3
Home
South High School · grass
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–2 1.61 2.54 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Nansen
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–3 1.15 2.19 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
9th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.27 2.00 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
8th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.45 1.91 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
01:00 PM
Oaks FC
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +3
Home
LA Galaxy Soccer Complex (Toyota Sports Complex)
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.60 1.87 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
01:00 PM
Total Futbol Academy
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
South High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–2 2.04 1.89 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
01:00 PM
Central Cal Aztecs
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Home
South High School · grass
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.35 1.83 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.79 1.82 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
LAIFC
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.80 1.73 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Rangers FC
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.90 1.66 Upside
Sun May 23
06:30 PM
LA Surf LC
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -14
Away
San Marino High School
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
4–1 2.54 1.73 Bank it
Tue May 25
09:00 AM
Los Angeles SC
15th · 0-0-1 · GD -6
Home
Nansen
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
4–1 2.57 1.79 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fram Soccer Club 2200 95+4 63.00 WW -1.15 +0.14 36% 5.5
2 Oaks FC 2200 63+3 63.00 WW -0.15 -0.02 41% 5.2
3 Rangers FC 3210 61+5 72.33 DWW +0.58 -0.24 77% 3.2
4 Central Cal Aztecs 3210 52+3 72.33 DWW +0.96 -0.32 67% 3.7
5 LAIFC 3201 134+9 62.00 WWL -0.01 -0.11 80% 2.9
6 AC Brea 2110 63+3 42.00 DW -1.12 +0.16 18% 6.8
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 102+8 31.50 WL -0.47 -0.01 60% 4.1
8 City SC Los Angeles 2101 54+1 31.50 WL -0.18 +0.02 10% 7.8
9 FC Golden State Force 3102 64+2 31.00 LLW -0.05 -0.04 11% 7.5
10 Total Futbol Academy 3102 67-1 31.00 LWL -0.43 +0.16 1% 10.1
11 LA Surf Futures 3102 413-9 31.00 LWL +0.54 -0.02 0% 12.3
12 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4103 58-3 30.75 WLLL -0.01 +0.06 0% 10.8
13 LA Surf LC 3012 317-14 10.33 DLL +0.73 -0.01 0% 14.2
14 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2002 38-5 00.00 LL +0.39 +0.01 0% 12.3
15 Los Angeles SC 1001 06-6 00.00 L -0.28 +0.14 0% 13.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.