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Rangers FC

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U19 · 15 teams · Rangers FC (all teams)

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3rd
2-1-0 record · 3 played
2.33 points per game
+5 goal diff · 6–1
DWWlast 3
79% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.1
+0.58 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 09:45 AM

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Rangers FC
3rd · 2.33 PPG
at
LAIFC
5th · 2.00 PPG

Silverlakes Sports Complex, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.8 for, 2.1 against · 1.23 expected points)

Season so farRangers FCLAIFC
Position3rd5th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-02-0-1
Points per game2.332.00
Goals for / game2.04.3
Goals against / game0.31.3
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W W DL W W
Biggest win4–0 vs ALBION SC Los Angeles9–0 at LA Surf Futures
Worst loss—2–3 vs Central Cal Aztecs
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.96+1.43
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.58-0.01

Common opponents: Central Cal Aztecs — we 0–0; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    LAIFC score 4.3/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Central Cal Aztecs.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 34%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:45 AM at Silverlakes Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:45 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAIFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rangers FC – LAIFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.75 PPG
6th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 5 8th▼ down 5
Win
2.50 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
4th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 3
Loss
1.75 PPG
6th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 5 8th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

26% finish 1st
79% top 4
21% below the top 4
3.1 average finish
  1. 1st 26%
  2. 2nd 21%
  3. 3rd 18%
  4. 4th 13%
  5. 5th 10%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 4%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fram Soccer Club 3.00 (+0.67) 6th (1.79) 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
2 Oaks FC 3.00 (+0.67) 5th (1.81) 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Rangers FC to LAIFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 favour them
-1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 3–2 2–0 1–2 4–0 0–2 0–9 Rangers FC 3rd Central Cal Aztecs 4th ALBION SC Los Angel… 12th FC Golden State For… 9th LA Surf Futures 11th LAIFC 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.24 · 14th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
09:45 AM
LAIFC
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +9
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–2 1.23 2.06 Upside
Sun Nov 8
02:00 PM
Los Angeles SC
15th · 0-0-1 · GD -6
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–0 2.61 2.17 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
02:00 PM
AC Brea
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +3
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.87 2.12 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.96 2.10 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–0 2.58 2.16 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
9th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.59 2.09 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–1 2.60 2.14 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
8th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.03 2.13 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Oaks FC
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
1–1 1.60 2.09 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
14th · 0-0-2 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.44 2.11 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.92 2.10 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fram Soccer Club 2200 95+4 63.00 WW -1.15 +0.14 37% 5.4
2 Oaks FC 2200 63+3 63.00 WW -0.15 -0.02 38% 5.3
3 Rangers FC 3210 61+5 72.33 DWW +0.58 -0.24 79% 3.1
4 Central Cal Aztecs 3210 52+3 72.33 DWW +0.96 -0.32 67% 3.8
5 LAIFC 3201 134+9 62.00 WWL -0.01 -0.11 78% 3.0
6 AC Brea 2110 63+3 42.00 DW -1.12 +0.16 19% 6.7
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 102+8 31.50 WL -0.47 -0.01 59% 4.2
8 City SC Los Angeles 2101 54+1 31.50 WL -0.18 +0.02 10% 7.8
9 FC Golden State Force 3102 64+2 31.00 LLW -0.05 -0.04 12% 7.5
10 Total Futbol Academy 3102 67-1 31.00 LWL -0.43 +0.16 1% 10.1
11 LA Surf Futures 3102 413-9 31.00 LWL +0.54 -0.02 0% 12.4
12 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4103 58-3 30.75 WLLL -0.01 +0.06 0% 10.9
13 LA Surf LC 3012 317-14 10.33 DLL +0.73 -0.01 0% 14.1
14 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2002 38-5 00.00 LL +0.39 +0.01 0% 12.2
15 Los Angeles SC 1001 06-6 00.00 L -0.28 +0.14 0% 13.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.