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Rangers FC

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U15 · 15 teams · Rangers FC (all teams)

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3rd
2-1-0 record · 3 played
2.33 points per game
+3 goal diff · 6–3
DWWlast 3
57% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.3
+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 08:00 AM

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Rangers FC
3rd · 2.33 PPG
at
LAIFC
10th · 1.00 PPG

Silverlakes Sports Complex, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.7 against · 1.52 expected points)

Season so farRangers FCLAIFC
Position3rd10th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-01-0-2
Points per game2.331.00
Goals for / game2.02.7
Goals against / game1.02.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W DL L W
Biggest win2–0 vs ALBION SC Los Angeles6–0 at LA Surf Futures
Worst loss—0–3 vs FC Golden State Force
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.57+0.21
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.31-0.09

Common opponents: Central Cal Aztecs — we 2–2; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    LAIFC score 2.7/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 44% / draw 22% / loss 35%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Silverlakes Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Central Cal Aztecs sit 2nd on 2.33 PPG; we are on 2.33.

    A point moves us above Central Cal Aztecs on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAIFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rangers FC – LAIFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.00 PPG
5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 3
Win
2.50 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 3
Loss
1.75 PPG
5th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 4 8th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

6% finish 1st
57% top 4
43% below the top 4
4.3 average finish
  1. 1st 6%
  2. 2nd 18%
  3. 3rd 18%
  4. 4th 16%
  5. 5th 16%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy 3.00 (+0.67) 1st (2.40) 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
2 Central Cal Aztecs 2.33 (+0.00) 2nd (1.92) A point next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Rangers FC to LAIFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 3–2 2–0 4–0 0–6 3–1 3–0 Rangers FC 3rd Central Cal Aztecs 2nd ALBION SC Los Angel… 12th LA Surf Futures 14th FC Golden State For… 4th LAIFC 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 14th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM
LAIFC
10th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.52 2.13 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
04:00 PM
Los Angeles SC
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
1–1 1.89 2.08 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
04:00 PM
AC Brea
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
1–1 1.78 2.03 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.79 1.85 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -12
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
3–0 2.70 1.96 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.16 1.87 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
15th · 0-0-3 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–0 2.57 1.94 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
5th · 1-1-0 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.41 1.89 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Oaks FC
13th · 0-1-1 · GD -5
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.12 1.91 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
11th · 0-2-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–0 1.70 1.90 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club
9th · 1-1-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
1–1 1.79 1.89 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy 3300 101+9 93.00 WWW -0.05 -0.11 98% 1.5
2 Central Cal Aztecs 3210 85+3 72.33 DWW +0.50 -0.19 64% 4.1
3 Rangers FC 3210 63+3 72.33 DWW +0.31 -0.13 57% 4.3
4 FC Golden State Force 3201 83+5 62.00 LWW -0.45 +0.04 53% 4.7
5 City SC Los Angeles 2110 72+5 42.00 DW -0.46 +0.01 64% 4.1
6 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 62+4 31.50 WL -0.62 +0.08 24% 6.6
7 AC Brea 2101 43+1 31.50 WL -0.09 +0.04 13% 7.9
8 Los Angeles SC 2101 23-1 31.50 WL +0.78 -0.11 8% 8.5
9 Fram Soccer Club 3111 43+1 41.33 LDW -0.76 +0.19 4% 9.2
10 LAIFC 3102 86+2 31.00 WLL -0.09 +0.04 9% 8.4
11 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2020 00+0 21.00 DD +0.47 -0.08 6% 8.9
12 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4112 68-2 41.00 LWLD -0.26 +0.13 1% 10.6
13 Oaks FC 2011 38-5 10.50 LD +0.26 +0.03 0% 12.4
14 LA Surf Futures 3003 113-12 00.00 LLL -0.01 +0.19 0% 14.4
15 LA Surf LC 3003 013-13 00.00 LLL +0.53 +0.05 0% 14.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.79 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.