FC Golden State Force

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U15 · 15 teams · FC Golden State Force (all teams)

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4th

2-0-1 record · 3 played

2.00 points per game

+5 goal diff · 8–3

LWWlast 3

53% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.7

-0.45 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:10 AM

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FC Golden State Force
4th · 2.00 PPG

LA Surf Futures
14th · 0.00 PPG

Bell Gardens High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

90%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 4.0 for, 0.8 against · 2.77 expected points)

Season so far	FC Golden State Force	LA Surf Futures
Position	4th	14th
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-1	0-0-3
Points per game	2.00	0.00
Goals for / game	2.7	0.3
Goals against / game	1.0	4.3
Clean sheets	2	0
Held scoreless	0	2
Form (recent first)	W W L	L L L
Biggest win	4–0 at LA Surf LC	—
Worst loss	1–3 vs Central Cal Aztecs	0–6 vs LAIFC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.77	-2.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.45	-0.01

Common opponents: LAIFC — we 3–0; they 0–6.

Game plan

They struggle to score
LA Surf Futures average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 2 of 3.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
They leak goals — be greedy
LA Surf Futures concede 4.3/game; worst result 0–6 vs LAIFC.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 90% chance; likely score 3–0.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Confidence is low on their side
LA Surf Futures have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).
Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LA Surf Futures game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Golden State Force – LA Surf Futures) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.25 PPG	4th— holds	4th— holds	5th▼ down 1
Win 2.25 PPG	4th— holds	4th— holds	5th▼ down 1
Draw 1.75 PPG	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1	9th▼ down 5
Loss 1.50 PPG	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1	11th▼ down 7

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–0 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

5% finish 1st

53% top 4

47% below the top 4

4.7 average finish

1st 5%
2nd 14%
3rd 17%
4th 16%
5th 14%
6th 12%
7th 8%
8th 6%
9th 4%
10th 2%
11th 1%
12th <1%
13th <1%
14th
15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Total Futbol Academy	3.00 (+1.00)	1st (2.40)	36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
2	Central Cal Aztecs	2.33 (+0.33)	2nd (1.92)	27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
3	Rangers FC	2.33 (+0.33)	3rd (1.89)	27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection

How the results connect

2 chains · 4 teams

Paths of results that link FC Golden State Force to LA Surf Futures through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us

0 favour them

+7.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 6th hardest of 15

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 10:10 AM	LA Surf Futures 14th · 0-0-3 · GD -12	Home Bell Gardens High School · turf?	●○○○○ Favorable	90%	3–0	2.77	2.19	Bank it
Sat Oct 31 02:15 PM	ALBION SC Los Angeles 12th · 1-1-2 · GD -2	Away Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School · turf?	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	2–1	1.89	2.13	Swing game
Sun Nov 1 12:05 PM	Oaks FC 13th · 0-1-1 · GD -5	Home Bell Gardens High School · turf?	●○○○○ Favorable	78%	3–1	2.47	2.19	Bank it
Sun Nov 8 12:05 PM	ALBION SC Antelope Valley 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +4	Home Bell Gardens High School · turf?	●●●○○ Toss-up	48%	2–1	1.67	2.11	Swing game
Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM	Fram Soccer Club 9th · 1-1-1 · GD +1	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	1–1	1.90	2.09	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM	Total Futbol Academy 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +9	Away TBD	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.86	1.95	Upside
Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM	Rangers FC 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +3	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	46%	1–1	1.61	1.92	Swing game
Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM	AC Brea 7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	1–1	1.63	1.89	Swing game
Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM	ALBION SC Santa Monica 11th · 0-2-0 · GD +0	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	1–0	1.79	1.88	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM	Los Angeles SC 8th · 1-0-1 · GD -1	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	1–1	1.76	1.87	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM	City SC Los Angeles 5th · 1-1-0 · GD +5	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	34%	1–2	1.24	1.83	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Total Futbol Academy

3.00

WWW

-0.05

-0.11

98%

1.5

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	AC Brea (7th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Los Angeles SC (8th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	5–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at City SC Los Angeles · Sun Nov 1 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 at LA Surf Futures See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	LA Surf Futures (14th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	FC Golden State Force (4th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	1–0	62%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Oaks FC (13th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	LAIFC (10th)	2–1	73%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	2–1	64%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Central Cal Aztecs

2.33

DWW

+0.50

-0.19

64%

4.1

W	Sat Oct 17	at	LAIFC (10th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Golden State Force (4th)	3–1
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Los Angeles See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	1–0	49%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	LA Surf Futures (14th)	4–0	90%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	AC Brea (7th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Oaks FC (13th)	3–1	67%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Tue May 25	at	Los Angeles SC (8th)	2–1	48%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rangers FC

2.33

DWW

+0.31

-0.13

58%

4.3

W	Sat Oct 17	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–0
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	2–2

Next: Sat Nov 7 at LAIFC · Sun Nov 8 vs Los Angeles SC · Sun Nov 22 vs AC Brea See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	at	LAIFC (10th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Los Angeles SC (8th)	1–1	56%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	AC Brea (7th)	1–1	52%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	LA Surf Futures (14th)	3–0	87%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FC Golden State Force (4th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	3–0	82%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Oaks FC (13th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	1–0	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	1–1	52%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Golden State Force

2.00

LWW

-0.45

+0.04

53%

4.7

W	Sat Oct 17	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	4–0
W	Sun Oct 11	at	LAIFC (10th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	1–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Surf Futures · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC Los Angeles · Sun Nov 1 vs Oaks FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LA Surf Futures (14th)	3–0	90%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Oaks FC (13th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	1–1	56%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	AC Brea (7th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	1–0	51%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Los Angeles SC (8th)	1–1	51%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–2	34%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC Los Angeles

2.00

-0.46

+0.01

61%

4.2

W	Sat Sep 19	at	Oaks FC (13th)	7–2
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	0–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 7 at LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	LAIFC (10th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	AC Brea (7th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LA Surf Futures (14th)	3–1	88%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Los Angeles SC (8th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	FC Golden State Force (4th)	2–1	45%
·	Tue May 25	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	2–1	50%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Antelope Valley

1.50

-0.62

+0.08

25%

6.6

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	5–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oaks FC · Sat Oct 31 at Fram Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at FC Golden State Force See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Oaks FC (13th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	FC Golden State Force (4th)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Los Angeles SC (8th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	AC Brea (7th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	LAIFC (10th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	LA Surf Futures (14th)	3–0	89%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	52%
·	Tue May 25	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AC Brea

1.50

-0.09

+0.04

13%

7.9

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fram Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sat Nov 21 vs Oaks FC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	1–0	41%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Oaks FC (13th)	2–1	66%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–1	26%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Los Angeles SC (8th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	FC Golden State Force (4th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LAIFC (10th)	2–1	44%
·	Sat May 22	vs	LA Surf Futures (14th)	3–0	83%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Los Angeles SC

-1

1.50

+0.78

-0.11

8.5

L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Los Angeles · Sat Nov 7 vs Oaks FC · Sun Nov 8 at Rangers FC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Oaks FC (13th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–1	22%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	LAIFC (10th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	LA Surf Futures (14th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	AC Brea (7th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC Golden State Force (4th)	1–1	26%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–0	78%
·	Sat May 15	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	0–1	29%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	1–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Fram Soccer Club

1.33

LDW

-0.76

+0.19

9.2

W	Sat Oct 17	at	LA Surf Futures (14th)	3–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Los Angeles SC (8th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Brea · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Mar 6 at FC Golden State Force See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	AC Brea (7th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Golden State Force (4th)	1–1	22%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Oaks FC (13th)	2–1	62%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	LAIFC (10th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–1	24%
·	Sun May 23	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–0	72%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LAIFC

1.00

WLL

-0.09

+0.04

8.5

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	2–3
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	FC Golden State Force (4th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	LA Surf Futures (14th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sun Nov 1 at City SC Los Angeles · Sat Nov 7 vs Rangers FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Los Angeles SC (8th)	2–1	50%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Oaks FC (13th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	1–2	36%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	1–2	13%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	AC Brea (7th)	1–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Santa Monica

1.00

+0.47

-0.08

8.8

D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	0–0
D	Sun Sep 13	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	0–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAIFC · Sun Oct 25 vs Oaks FC · Sat Oct 31 at Central Cal Aztecs See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	LAIFC (10th)	1–1	31%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Oaks FC (13th)	1–0	56%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	0–1	25%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	AC Brea (7th)	0–1	30%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	1–0	65%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	1–1	32%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	0–1	14%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–0	45%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	LA Surf Futures (14th)	2–0	72%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FC Golden State Force (4th)	0–1	22%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	0–1	24%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Los Angeles SC (8th)	1–0	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Los Angeles

-2

1.00

LWLD

-0.26

+0.13

10.6

D	Sat Oct 17	at	Oaks FC (13th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	LA Surf Futures (14th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	1–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Los Angeles SC · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Golden State Force · Sat Nov 7 at Central Cal Aztecs See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Los Angeles SC (8th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Golden State Force (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	LAIFC (10th)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	AC Brea (7th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	0–1	27%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	1–2	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oaks FC

-5

0.50

+0.26

+0.03

12.3

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sun Nov 1 at FC Golden State Force See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	1–3	12%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	0–1	20%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Golden State Force (4th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Los Angeles SC (8th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	AC Brea (7th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LAIFC (10th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	1–3	18%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LA Surf Futures (14th)	3–1	69%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Surf Futures

-12

0.00

LLL

-0.01

+0.19

14.5

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	LAIFC (10th)	0–6

Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Golden State Force · Sat Nov 7 vs Total Futbol Academy · Sat Mar 6 at Central Cal Aztecs See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Golden State Force (4th)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	0–4	4%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Los Angeles SC (8th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–3	5%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	LA Surf LC (15th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Oaks FC (13th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat May 22	at	AC Brea (7th)	0–3	7%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Surf LC

-13

0.00

LLL

+0.53

+0.05

14.4

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Golden State Force (4th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 19	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (6th)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	AC Brea (7th)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Central Cal Aztecs · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC Los Angeles See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Central Cal Aztecs (2nd)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Total Futbol Academy (1st)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (11th)	0–1	12%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Oaks FC (13th)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	LAIFC (10th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	LA Surf Futures (14th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Los Angeles SC (8th)	0–2	8%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Fram Soccer Club (9th)	0–2	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.79 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.