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City SC Los Angeles

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U15 · 15 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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5th
1-1-0 record · 2 played
2.00 points per game
+5 goal diff · 7–2
DWlast 2
64% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.1
-0.46 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:45 PM

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City SC Los Angeles
5th · 2.00 PPG
vs
Total Futbol Academy
1st · 3.00 PPG

Lawndale High School, Stadium Field ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.1 against · 1.10 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los AngelesTotal Futbol Academy
Position5th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-1-03-0-0
Points per game2.003.00
Goals for / game3.53.3
Goals against / game1.00.3
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W DW W W
Biggest win7–2 at Oaks FC5–1 at ALBION SC Los Angeles
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.90+1.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.46-0.05

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Total Futbol Academy score 3.3/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Total Futbol Academy concede only 0.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 30%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Total Futbol Academy have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    FC Golden State Force sit 4th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above FC Golden State Force on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles – Total Futbol Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.33 PPG
8th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 8
Win
2.33 PPG
1st▲ up 4 2nd▲ up 3 2nd▲ up 3
Draw
1.67 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 6
Loss
1.33 PPG
8th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 8

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

9% finish 1st
64% top 4
36% below the top 4
4.1 average finish
  1. 1st 9%
  2. 2nd 20%
  3. 3rd 18%
  4. 4th 16%
  5. 5th 11%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.40) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
2 Central Cal Aztecs 2.33 (+0.33) 2nd (1.92) A point next game
3 Rangers FC 2.33 (+0.33) 3rd (1.89) A point next game
4 FC Golden State Force 2.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.83) A point next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles to Total Futbol Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
0 favour them
+1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
7–2 1–1 1–5 City SC Los Angeles 5th Oaks FC 13th ALBION SC Los Angel… 12th Total Futbol Academy 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 10th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:45 PM
Total Futbol Academy
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +9
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.10 1.70 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:45 PM
LAIFC
10th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 1.77 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
03:30 PM
LA Surf LC
15th · 0-0-3 · GD -13
Away
silverlakes
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
3–0 2.72 1.96 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
AC Brea
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.66 1.91 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club
9th · 1-1-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.96 1.92 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
01:00 PM
Central Cal Aztecs
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
Kaiser Sports Village
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.41 1.85 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
3–1 2.70 1.95 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
Rangers FC
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.37 1.89 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.06 1.91 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
12th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.20 1.93 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.90 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +4
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.71 1.89 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy 3300 101+9 93.00 WWW -0.05 -0.11 98% 1.5
2 Central Cal Aztecs 3210 85+3 72.33 DWW +0.50 -0.19 64% 4.1
3 Rangers FC 3210 63+3 72.33 DWW +0.31 -0.13 57% 4.3
4 FC Golden State Force 3201 83+5 62.00 LWW -0.45 +0.04 53% 4.7
5 City SC Los Angeles 2110 72+5 42.00 DW -0.46 +0.01 64% 4.1
6 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 62+4 31.50 WL -0.62 +0.08 24% 6.6
7 AC Brea 2101 43+1 31.50 WL -0.09 +0.04 13% 7.9
8 Los Angeles SC 2101 23-1 31.50 WL +0.78 -0.11 8% 8.5
9 Fram Soccer Club 3111 43+1 41.33 LDW -0.76 +0.19 4% 9.2
10 LAIFC 3102 86+2 31.00 WLL -0.09 +0.04 9% 8.4
11 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2020 00+0 21.00 DD +0.47 -0.08 6% 8.9
12 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4112 68-2 41.00 LWLD -0.26 +0.13 1% 10.6
13 Oaks FC 2011 38-5 10.50 LD +0.26 +0.03 0% 12.4
14 LA Surf Futures 3003 113-12 00.00 LLL -0.01 +0.19 0% 14.4
15 LA Surf LC 3003 013-13 00.00 LLL +0.53 +0.05 0% 14.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.79 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.