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City SC Los Angeles

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U13 · 15 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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13th
0-0-2 record · 2 played
0.00 points per game
-7 goal diff · 3–10
LLlast 2
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.9
+1.55 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:30 PM

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City SC Los Angeles
13th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Total Futbol Academy
6th · 2.00 PPG

Lawndale High School, Stadium Field ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.8 for, 3.6 against · 0.60 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los AngelesTotal Futbol Academy
Position13th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-22-0-1
Points per game0.002.00
Goals for / game1.53.3
Goals against / game5.01.3
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L LL W W
Biggest win—6–0 at Los Angeles SC
Worst loss3–9 at Oaks FC1–4 vs AC Brea
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.04+0.95
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.55+0.14

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Total Futbol Academy score 3.3/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 16%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    FC Golden State Force sit 12th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above FC Golden State Force on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles – Total Futbol Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
14th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG
10th▲ up 3 10th▲ up 3 12th▲ up 1
Draw
0.33 PPG
12th▲ up 1 13th— holds 15th▼ down 2
Loss
0.00 PPG
14th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we fall to at least 14th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 13%
  10. 10th 20%
  11. 11th 17%
  12. 12th 15%
  13. 13th 12%
  14. 14th 8%
  15. 15th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.49) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
2 Oaks FC 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.22) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 ALBION SC Santa Monica 3.00 (+3.00) 5th (2.02) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 Rangers FC 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.17) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
5 LAIFC 2.33 (+2.33) 4th (2.10) 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
6 Total Futbol Academy 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.92) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
7 Fram Soccer Club 2.00 (+2.00) 8th (1.39) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
8 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 1.50 (+1.50) 9th (1.23) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
9 Central Cal Aztecs 1.33 (+1.33) 7th (1.47) 19 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
10 ALBION SC Los Angeles 1.00 (+1.00) 12th (0.86) Win next game
11 LA Surf LC 1.00 (+1.00) 14th (0.71) Win next game
12 FC Golden State Force 0.00 (+0.00) 11th (0.87) Already ahead

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles to Total Futbol Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–9 6–0 0–3 City SC Los Angeles 13th Oaks FC 2nd ALBION SC Los Angel… 10th Total Futbol Academy 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 19 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.14 · 14th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
02:30 PM
Total Futbol Academy
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +6
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.60 0.20 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:30 PM
LAIFC
5th · 2-1-0 · GD +10
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.43 0.26 Upside
Sat Nov 7
05:15 PM
LA Surf LC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -12
Away
silverlakes
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.78 0.56 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
AC Brea
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.11 0.49 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club
7th · 2-0-1 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.13 0.58 Upside
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
Central Cal Aztecs
9th · 1-1-1 · GD -1
Away
Kaiser Sports Village
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.80 0.61 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
15th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
3–2 1.96 0.76 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
Rangers FC
4th · 2-0-0 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.31 0.71 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC
14th · 0-0-2 · GD -7
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.79 0.81 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.80 0.89 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.41 0.93 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 0.95 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea 2200 141+13 63.00 WW -0.29 -0.10 97% 1.7
2 Oaks FC 2200 153+12 63.00 WW -1.14 +0.05 78% 3.1
3 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2200 71+6 63.00 WW -0.59 +0.04 49% 4.5
4 Rangers FC 2200 60+6 63.00 WW -0.17 -0.04 72% 3.5
5 LAIFC 3210 111+10 72.33 WWD -0.88 +0.17 63% 3.9
6 Total Futbol Academy 3201 104+6 62.00 WWL +0.14 -0.05 36% 5.0
7 Fram Soccer Club 3201 88+0 62.00 WLW -0.95 +0.29 2% 8.2
8 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 34-1 31.50 WL -0.17 +0.11 1% 9.1
9 Central Cal Aztecs 3111 45-1 41.33 LWD +0.72 -0.16 2% 7.6
10 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3102 210-8 31.00 LWL +0.29 +0.09 0% 11.7
11 LA Surf LC 3102 113-12 31.00 LLW +0.47 +0.05 0% 12.7
12 FC Golden State Force 3003 25-3 00.00 LLL -0.17 +0.12 0% 11.3
13 City SC Los Angeles 2002 310-7 00.00 LL +1.55 -0.14 0% 10.9
14 Los Angeles SC 2002 18-7 00.00 LL +0.40 +0.07 0% 12.3
15 LA Surf Futures 3003 216-14 00.00 LLL -0.03 +0.25 0% 14.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.