TableChase Clubs

Fram Soccer Club

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U13 · 15 teams · Fram CQ (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
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7th
2-0-1 record · 3 played
2.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 8–8
WLWlast 3
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.2
-0.95 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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Fram Soccer Club
7th · 2.00 PPG
vs
AC Brea
1st · 3.00 PPG

South High School, Grass Soccer Field ↗ · grass

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.8 for, 4.3 against · 0.42 expected points)

Season so farFram Soccer ClubAC Brea
Position7th1st
Record (W-D-L)2-0-12-0-0
Points per game2.003.00
Goals for / game2.77.0
Goals against / game2.70.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W L WW W
Biggest win5–1 at LA Surf Futures10–0 at LA Surf LC
Worst loss1–6 at ALBION SC Santa Monica—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.17+2.47
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.95-0.29

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    AC Brea score 7.0/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    AC Brea concede only 0.5/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 11%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Grass field
    Venue listed as "Grass Soccer Field" at South High School.

    If the team trains on turf: the ball will be slower and bounce less true. Weight passes harder, favour early crosses in the final third, and bring FG/SG cleats. Warm up on the field, not the track.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Total Futbol Academy sit 6th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above Total Futbol Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AC Brea game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fram Soccer Club – AC Brea) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.50 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2
Win
2.25 PPG
5th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.75 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.50 PPG
7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
8.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 23%
  8. 8th 26%
  9. 9th 20%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 2%
  13. 13th 1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.49) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
2 Oaks FC 3.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.22) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
3 ALBION SC Santa Monica 3.00 (+1.00) 5th (2.02) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 Rangers FC 3.00 (+1.00) 3rd (2.17) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
5 LAIFC 2.33 (+0.33) 4th (2.10) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
6 Total Futbol Academy 2.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.92) A point next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link Fram Soccer Club to AC Brea through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-8.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 0–6 1–4 Fram Soccer Club 7th Los Angeles SC 14th Total Futbol Academy 6th AC Brea 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 19 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.29 · 1st hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
AC Brea
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +13
Home
South High School · grass
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–4 0.42 1.61 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
8th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Home
South High School · grass
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–2 1.66 1.62 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.50 1.60 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
13th · 0-0-2 · GD -7
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
3–2 1.70 1.61 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM
Oaks FC
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +12
Home
LA Galaxy Soccer Complex (Toyota Sports Complex)
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.61 1.49 Upside
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +6
Home
South High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–2 0.97 1.43 Upside
Sat Apr 3
11:00 AM
Central Cal Aztecs
9th · 1-1-1 · GD -1
Home
South High School · grass
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.48 1.43 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.89 1.48 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
LAIFC
5th · 2-1-0 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.50 1.40 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Rangers FC
4th · 2-0-0 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.55 1.33 Upside
Sun May 23
01:00 PM
LA Surf LC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -12
Away
San Marino High School
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–1 2.16 1.39 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea 2200 141+13 63.00 WW -0.29 -0.10 97% 1.8
2 Oaks FC 2200 153+12 63.00 WW -1.14 +0.05 80% 3.1
3 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2200 71+6 63.00 WW -0.59 +0.04 45% 4.5
4 Rangers FC 2200 60+6 63.00 WW -0.17 -0.04 73% 3.5
5 LAIFC 3210 111+10 72.33 WWD -0.88 +0.17 63% 3.9
6 Total Futbol Academy 3201 104+6 62.00 WWL +0.14 -0.05 38% 4.9
7 Fram Soccer Club 3201 88+0 62.00 WLW -0.95 +0.29 2% 8.2
8 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 34-1 31.50 WL -0.17 +0.11 1% 9.0
9 Central Cal Aztecs 3111 45-1 41.33 LWD +0.72 -0.16 2% 7.7
10 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3102 210-8 31.00 LWL +0.29 +0.09 0% 11.7
11 LA Surf LC 3102 113-12 31.00 LLW +0.47 +0.05 0% 12.7
12 FC Golden State Force 3003 25-3 00.00 LLL -0.17 +0.12 0% 11.3
13 City SC Los Angeles 2002 310-7 00.00 LL +1.55 -0.14 0% 10.8
14 Los Angeles SC 2002 18-7 00.00 LL +0.40 +0.07 0% 12.3
15 LA Surf Futures 3003 216-14 00.00 LLL -0.03 +0.25 0% 14.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.