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Villarreal Las Vegas Academy

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U14 · 19 teams · Villarreal Las Vegas Academy (all teams)

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16th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
4% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.3
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Dec 6, 09:00 AM

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Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
16th · 0.00 PPG
at
ALBION SC Las Vegas
14th · 0.00 PPG

Aventura Park, South Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.2 against · 1.25 expected points)

Season so farVillarreal Las Vegas AcademyALBION SC Las Vegas
Position16th14th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    ALBION SC Las Vegas average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.0); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Aventura Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    BVBIA Las Vegas sit 15th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above BVBIA Las Vegas on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Las Vegas game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Villarreal Las Vegas Academy – ALBION SC Las Vegas) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 30 – Sun Dec 6); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
3rd▲ up 13 3rd▲ up 13 4th▲ up 12
Draw
1.00 PPG
13th▲ up 3 13th▲ up 3 14th▲ up 2
Loss
0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 15th if every rival drops points, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
4% top 4
96% below the top 4
10.3 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 9%
  12. 12th 9%
  13. 13th 9%
  14. 14th 10%
  15. 15th 8%
  16. 16th 4%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado Rush - COS 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.65) Win next game
2 Utah Athletic (North) 3.00 (+3.00) 4th (2.12) Win next game
3 ALBION SC Utah 2.40 (+2.40) 2nd (2.23) A point next game
4 Colorado United 2.40 (+2.40) 3rd (2.15) A point next game
5 Colorado Rush 2.25 (+2.25) 6th (1.76) A point next game
6 Utah Athletic 2.25 (+2.25) 8th (1.58) A point next game
7 Colorado Elevation FC 1.80 (+1.80) 10th (1.39) A point next game
8 El Paso Surf 1.75 (+1.75) 5th (2.03) A point next game
9 Denver Kickers Sports Club 1.50 (+1.50) 7th (1.65) A point next game
10 BVBIA Arizona 1.20 (+1.20) 11th (1.34) A point next game
11 City SC NOCO 1.17 (+1.17) 13th (1.28) A point next game
12 ALBION SC Boulder County 0.80 (+0.80) 15th (1.25) Already ahead
13 AZ SandSharks 0.67 (+0.67) 16th (0.77) Already ahead
14 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 12th (1.31) Already ahead
15 BVBIA Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 14th (1.27) Already ahead

Position over the season

13 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 9th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Dec 6
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Las Vegas
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Aventura Park
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.25 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Las Vegas
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.40 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
01:00 PM
Utah Athletic (North)
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.15 1.32 Upside
Sun Jan 31
01:00 PM
Inter Utah SC
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.43 1.60 Bank it
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +7
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.18 1.51 Upside
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Utah
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.56 1.35 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Inter Utah SC
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
3–1 2.18 1.47 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
10:30 AM
BVBIA Las Vegas
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.44 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
13th · 1-1-4 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.07 1.51 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
10th · 2-0-3 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.30 1.49 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
BVBIA Las Vegas
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.50 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
8th · 2-1-1 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.81 1.44 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
13th · 1-1-4 · GD -13
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–1 2.30 1.51 Bank it
Sat May 8
11:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +24
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.35 1.42 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado Rush - COS 5500 262+24 153.00 WWWWW -0.91 -0.22 100% 1.2
2 Utah Athletic (North) 2200 42+2 63.00 WW +1.37 -0.46 62% 4.2
3 ALBION SC Utah 5401 132+11 122.40 LWWWW -0.52 +0.04 78% 3.3
4 Colorado United 5401 166+10 122.40 WWLWW -0.01 -0.22 76% 3.6
5 Colorado Rush 4301 84+4 92.25 LWWW -0.39 +0.01 12% 6.8
6 Utah Athletic 4301 87+1 92.25 WWWL -0.43 +0.24 7% 8.8
7 Colorado Elevation FC 5302 1116-5 91.80 LLWWW +0.39 -0.14 0% 10.9
8 El Paso Surf 4211 164+12 71.75 DWLW -0.94 -0.07 52% 4.7
9 Denver Kickers Sports Club 4202 147+7 61.50 WLWL -0.73 +0.01 5% 7.9
10 BVBIA Arizona 5203 98+1 61.20 LWLLW -0.61 -0.05 1% 11.1
11 City SC NOCO 6213 1311+2 71.17 WLDLL -0.62 +0.17 0% 11.9
12 ALBION SC Boulder County 5113 58-3 40.80 WLDLL +1.03 -0.19 0% 12.3
13 AZ SandSharks 6114 316-13 40.67 DLLLL +0.68 -0.24 0% 15.8
14 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.22 ——
15 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.33 ——
16 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
17 Inter Utah SC 4004 418-14 00.00 LLLL +0.68 +0.13 0% 17.7
18 Colorado Storm 4004 221-19 00.00 LLLL +0.98 +0.07 0% 17.9
19 ALBION SC Denver 4004 020-20 00.00 LLLL +1.06 +0.12 0% 18.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.04 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.