Inter Utah SC
Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U14 · 19 teams · Inter Utah SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:30 PM
Lone Peak High School, Soccer Field ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.6 against · 1.56 expected points)
| Season so far | Inter Utah SC | AZ SandSharks |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 17th | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-4 | 1-1-4 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L | L L L L D |
| Biggest win | — | 2–1 at BVBIA Arizona |
| Worst loss | 1–10 at El Paso Surf | 1–5 at El Paso Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.81 | -1.33 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.68 | +0.68 |
Common opponents: Utah Athletic — we 2–3; they 0–3. ALBION SC Utah — we 0–1; they 0–4. BVBIA Arizona — we 1–4; they 2–1, 0–3. El Paso Surf — we 1–10; they 0–0, 1–5.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
AZ SandSharks average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 2.0); blanked in 4 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at ALBION SC Utah.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 45% / draw 22% / loss 33%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
AZ SandSharks have lost 4 straight (form: DLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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What a win does
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy sit 16th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Villarreal Las Vegas Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the AZ SandSharks game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Inter Utah SC – AZ SandSharks) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.20 PPG |
14th▲ up 3 | 14th▲ up 3 | 15th▲ up 2 |
| Win 0.60 PPG |
13th▲ up 4 | 13th▲ up 4 | 14th▲ up 3 |
| Draw 0.20 PPG |
14th▲ up 3 | 14th▲ up 3 | 15th▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
17th— holds | 17th— holds | 18th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 14th if every rival drops points, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th <1%
- 13th <1%
- 14th <1%
- 15th 2%
- 16th 11%
- 17th 28%
- 18th 28%
- 19th 30%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.08 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Rush - COS | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.65) | 39 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Utah Athletic (North) | 3.00 (+3.00) | 4th (2.12) | 39 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | ALBION SC Utah | 2.40 (+2.40) | 2nd (2.23) | 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Colorado United | 2.40 (+2.40) | 3rd (2.15) | 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Colorado Rush | 2.25 (+2.25) | 6th (1.76) | 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 6 | Utah Athletic | 2.25 (+2.25) | 8th (1.58) | 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 7 | Colorado Elevation FC | 1.80 (+1.80) | 10th (1.39) | 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 8 | El Paso Surf | 1.75 (+1.75) | 5th (2.03) | 23 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 9 | Denver Kickers Sports Club | 1.50 (+1.50) | 7th (1.65) | 20 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 10 | BVBIA Arizona | 1.20 (+1.20) | 11th (1.34) | 16 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 11 | City SC NOCO | 1.17 (+1.17) | 13th (1.28) | 16 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
| 12 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0.80 (+0.80) | 15th (1.25) | 11 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
| 13 | AZ SandSharks | 0.67 (+0.67) | 16th (0.77) | 9 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
| 14 | ALBION SC Las Vegas | 0.00 (+0.00) | 12th (1.31) | Already ahead |
| 15 | BVBIA Las Vegas | 0.00 (+0.00) | 14th (1.27) | Already ahead |
| 16 | Villarreal Las Vegas Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.42) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
14 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Inter Utah SC to AZ SandSharks through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.13 · 5th hardest of 19
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 03:30 PM |
AZ SandSharks 13th · 1-1-4 · GD -13 |
Home Lone Peak High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.56 | 0.31 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
BVBIA Arizona 10th · 2-0-3 · GD +1 |
Home Lone Peak High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.74 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 05:00 PM |
Utah Athletic 6th · 3-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away Lakeside Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.45 | 0.39 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 10:00 AM |
Utah Athletic (North) 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +2 |
Away Murray Park Turf Fields · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–3 | 0.28 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 10:30 AM |
BVBIA Las Vegas 15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Chaparral Highschool · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.45 | 0.39 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 01:00 PM |
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.45 | 0.39 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 11:00 AM |
Utah Athletic (North) 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +2 |
Home Lone Peak High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.43 | 0.40 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 12:00 AM |
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–3 | 0.67 | 0.42 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 09:00 AM |
ALBION SC Utah 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home Lone Peak High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.23 | 0.40 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Colorado Rush - COS | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | +24 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.91 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Colorado Rush · Sun Nov 15 at City SC NOCO · Sat Dec 5 vs Denver Kickers Sports Club See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Utah Athletic (North) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | +1.37 | -0.46 | 63% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs BVBIA Arizona · Sun Oct 25 vs AZ SandSharks · Sat Nov 7 at Utah Athletic See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Utah | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | -0.52 | +0.04 | 79% | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs El Paso Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Utah Athletic · Sat Nov 14 at Utah Athletic (North) See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Colorado United | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 12 | 2.40 | WWLWW | -0.01 | -0.22 | 76% | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Denver · Sat Nov 7 vs Denver Kickers Sports Club · Sat Nov 14 vs City SC NOCO See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Colorado Rush | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | -0.39 | +0.01 | 11% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Denver Kickers Sports Club · Sat Nov 14 vs Colorado Rush - COS · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Elevation FC See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Utah Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -0.43 | +0.24 | 6% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs El Paso Surf · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC Utah · Sat Nov 7 vs Utah Athletic (North) See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Colorado Elevation FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | +0.39 | -0.14 | 0% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Denver · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Boulder County · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | El Paso Surf | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 4 | +12 | 7 | 1.75 | DWLW | -0.94 | -0.07 | 52% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Utah · Sun Oct 25 at Utah Athletic · Sat Mar 6 vs ALBION SC Denver See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Denver Kickers Sports Club | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 6 | 1.50 | WLWL | -0.73 | +0.01 | 5% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado Rush · Sat Nov 7 at Colorado United · Sat Nov 14 vs Colorado Storm See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | BVBIA Arizona | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 6 | 1.20 | LWLLW | -0.61 | -0.05 | 1% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Utah Athletic (North) · Sun Oct 25 at Inter Utah SC · Sat Mar 6 vs ALBION SC Boulder County See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | City SC NOCO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 7 | 1.17 | WLDLL | -0.62 | +0.17 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Colorado United · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush - COS · Sat Jan 23 at Colorado United See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | 0.80 | WLDLL | +1.03 | -0.19 | 0% | 12.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Elevation FC · Sat Nov 14 at ALBION SC Denver · Sat Nov 21 at Colorado Rush See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | AZ SandSharks | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLLL | +0.68 | -0.24 | 0% | 15.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Inter Utah SC · Sun Oct 25 at Utah Athletic (North) · Sat Mar 6 vs Colorado Elevation FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | ALBION SC Las Vegas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.22 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 at BVBIA Las Vegas · Sat Dec 5 vs BVBIA Las Vegas · Sun Dec 6 vs Villarreal Las Vegas Academy See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | BVBIA Las Vegas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.33 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 vs ALBION SC Las Vegas · Sat Dec 5 at ALBION SC Las Vegas · Sun Jan 24 vs Utah Athletic See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Villarreal Las Vegas Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.03 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 6 at ALBION SC Las Vegas · Sun Jan 24 vs ALBION SC Las Vegas · Sat Jan 30 vs Utah Athletic (North) See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | Inter Utah SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.68 | +0.13 | 0% | 17.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AZ SandSharks · Sun Oct 25 vs BVBIA Arizona · Sat Nov 14 at Utah Athletic See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | Colorado Storm | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 21 | -19 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.98 | +0.07 | 0% | 17.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Denver Kickers Sports Club · Sat Dec 19 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Rush See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 19 | ALBION SC Denver | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20 | -20 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +1.06 | +0.12 | 0% | 18.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Colorado United · Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Elevation FC · Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Boulder County See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.04 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.