TableChase Clubs

Utah Athletic

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U14 · 19 teams · Utah Athletic (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
6th
3-0-1 record · 4 played
2.25 points per game
+1 goal diff · 8–7
WWWLlast 4
5% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.0
-0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Utah Athletic
6th · 2.25 PPG
vs
El Paso Surf
8th · 1.75 PPG

Lehi High School, Football Stadium Field (Soccer) ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 for, 2.8 against · 0.83 expected points)

Season so farUtah AthleticEl Paso Surf
Position6th8th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-12-1-1
Points per game2.251.75
Goals for / game2.04.0
Goals against / game1.81.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L W W WW L W D
Biggest win3–0 at AZ SandSharks10–1 vs Inter Utah SC
Worst loss0–4 vs ALBION SC Utah1–2 vs Utah Athletic (North)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.03+1.44
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.43-0.94

Common opponents: Inter Utah SC — we 3–2; they 10–1. AZ SandSharks — we 3–0; they 0–0, 5–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    El Paso Surf score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    El Paso Surf concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs ALBION SC Utah.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 22%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Colorado Rush sit 5th on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.25.

    A point moves us above Colorado Rush on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the El Paso Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Utah Athletic – El Paso Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.80 PPG
7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1
Win
2.40 PPG
5th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 1
Draw
2.00 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Loss
1.80 PPG
7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
5% top 4
95% below the top 4
9.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 8%
  12. 12th 8%
  13. 13th 6%
  14. 14th 4%
  15. 15th 3%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th
  19. 19th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado Rush - COS 3.00 (+0.75) 1st (2.65) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
2 Utah Athletic (North) 3.00 (+0.75) 4th (2.12) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
3 ALBION SC Utah 2.40 (+0.15) 2nd (2.23) Win next game
4 Colorado United 2.40 (+0.15) 3rd (2.15) Win next game
5 Colorado Rush 2.25 (+0.00) 6th (1.76) A point next game

How the results connect

12 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Utah Athletic to El Paso Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
3 even
7 favour them
-2.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 1–5 0–0 3–2 1–10 0–4 4–0 2–1 1–2 3–0 1–2 2–1 4–1 1–0 Utah Athletic 6th AZ SandSharks 13th Inter Utah SC 17th ALBION SC Utah 3rd BVBIA Arizona 10th Utah Athletic (Nort… 2nd El Paso Surf 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 19th Aug 29 Sep 13 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.24 · 2nd hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:00 AM
El Paso Surf
8th · 2-1-1 · GD +12
Home
Lehi High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.83 1.97 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:00 PM
ALBION SC Utah
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11
Away
Trailside East Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.58 1.73 Upside
Sat Nov 7
05:00 PM
Utah Athletic (North)
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +2
Home
Lakeside Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.17 1.65 Upside
Sat Nov 14
05:00 PM
Inter Utah SC
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -14
Home
Lakeside Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.43 1.75 Bank it
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Las Vegas
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.27 1.70 Upside
Sun Jan 24
10:30 AM
BVBIA Las Vegas
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.27 1.65 Upside
Sat Feb 20
08:00 AM
Utah Athletic (North)
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +2
Away
Murray Park Turf Fields · turf
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.91 1.59 Upside
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
BVBIA Las Vegas
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.56 1.58 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Las Vegas
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.56 1.58 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado Rush - COS 5500 262+24 153.00 WWWWW -0.91 -0.22 100% 1.2
2 Utah Athletic (North) 2200 42+2 63.00 WW +1.37 -0.46 64% 4.1
3 ALBION SC Utah 5401 132+11 122.40 LWWWW -0.52 +0.04 82% 3.2
4 Colorado United 5401 166+10 122.40 WWLWW -0.01 -0.22 76% 3.6
5 Colorado Rush 4301 84+4 92.25 LWWW -0.39 +0.01 12% 6.8
6 Utah Athletic 4301 87+1 92.25 WWWL -0.43 +0.24 5% 9.0
7 Colorado Elevation FC 5302 1116-5 91.80 LLWWW +0.39 -0.14 0% 10.9
8 El Paso Surf 4211 164+12 71.75 DWLW -0.94 -0.07 50% 4.7
9 Denver Kickers Sports Club 4202 147+7 61.50 WLWL -0.73 +0.01 5% 7.8
10 BVBIA Arizona 5203 98+1 61.20 LWLLW -0.61 -0.05 0% 11.2
11 City SC NOCO 6213 1311+2 71.17 WLDLL -0.62 +0.17 0% 12.0
12 ALBION SC Boulder County 5113 58-3 40.80 WLDLL +1.03 -0.19 0% 12.3
13 AZ SandSharks 6114 316-13 40.67 DLLLL +0.68 -0.24 0% 15.9
14 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.22 ——
15 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.33 ——
16 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
17 Inter Utah SC 4004 418-14 00.00 LLLL +0.68 +0.13 0% 17.7
18 Colorado Storm 4004 221-19 00.00 LLLL +0.98 +0.07 0% 17.9
19 ALBION SC Denver 4004 020-20 00.00 LLLL +1.06 +0.12 0% 18.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.04 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.