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Colorado Rush - COS

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U14 · 19 teams · Colorado Rush - COS (all teams)

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1st
5-0-0 record · 5 played
3.00 points per game
+24 goal diff · 26–2
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
-0.91 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 14, 03:00 PM

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Colorado Rush - COS
1st · 3.00 PPG
at
Colorado Rush
5th · 2.25 PPG

Stargate Charter School, Stargate West ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.2 against · 2.21 expected points)

Season so farColorado Rush - COSColorado Rush
Position1st5th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-03-0-1
Points per game3.002.25
Goals for / game5.22.0
Goals against / game0.41.0
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WW W W L
Biggest win9–0 at Colorado Storm3–0 vs ALBION SC Boulder County
Worst loss—0–3 at Colorado United
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.68+0.55
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.91-0.39

Common opponents: ALBION SC Boulder County — we 2–1; they 3–0. Colorado United — we 5–0; they 0–3. ALBION SC Denver — we 4–0; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Colorado Rush concede only 1.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 68% / draw 17% / loss 15%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    Colorado Rush have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:00 PM at Stargate Charter School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Rush game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Rush - COS – Colorado Rush) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.67 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.50 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

88% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 88%
  2. 2nd 10%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

11 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado Rush - COS to Colorado Rush through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
3 favour them
+2.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–0 0–2 2–1 0–3 5–0 3–0 0–0 1–3 1–3 6–1 0–5 0–6 3–2 9–0 2–4 0–5 Colorado Rush - COS 1st ALBION SC Denver 19th ALBION SC Boulder C… 12th Colorado United 4th Colorado Elevation … 7th Colorado Storm 18th City SC NOCO 11th Colorado Rush 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 19th Aug 29 Sep 13 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.22 · 16th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM
Colorado Rush
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Away
Stargate Charter School
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.21 2.87 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
City SC NOCO
11th · 2-1-3 · GD +2
Away
Mountain View High School_Colorado · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.53 2.82 Bank it
Sat Dec 5
02:45 PM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Mountain Lion Stadium · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.56 2.79 Bank it
Sat Jan 23
01:00 PM
Colorado Storm
18th · 0-0-4 · GD -19
Away
Douglas County Fairgrounds
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–0 2.96 2.81 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.21 2.75 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
12th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
2–0 2.51 2.73 Bank it
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
7th · 3-0-2 · GD -5
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–1 2.72 2.73 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -20
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
6–0 2.98 2.75 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +7
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.56 2.73 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
Colorado Storm
18th · 0-0-4 · GD -19
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.98 2.75 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
11th · 2-1-3 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
3–1 2.69 2.75 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
12th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
3–0 2.67 2.74 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -20
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
5–0 2.96 2.75 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
7th · 3-0-2 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.84 2.76 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Colorado United
4th · 4-0-1 · GD +10
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.24 2.73 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–1 2.43 2.72 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
05:00 PM
Colorado United
4th · 4-0-1 · GD +10
Away
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 2.68 Swing game
Sun May 2
11:00 AM
City SC NOCO
11th · 2-1-3 · GD +2
Away
Mountain View High School_Colorado · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.53 2.68 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.34 2.66 Bank it
Sat May 8
11:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.54 2.66 Bank it
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
BVBIA Las Vegas
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.54 2.65 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado Rush - COS 5500 262+24 153.00 WWWWW -0.91 -0.22 100% 1.1
2 Utah Athletic (North) 2200 42+2 63.00 WW +1.37 -0.46 64% 4.2
3 ALBION SC Utah 5401 132+11 122.40 LWWWW -0.52 +0.04 78% 3.3
4 Colorado United 5401 166+10 122.40 WWLWW -0.01 -0.22 76% 3.6
5 Colorado Rush 4301 84+4 92.25 LWWW -0.39 +0.01 11% 6.9
6 Utah Athletic 4301 87+1 92.25 WWWL -0.43 +0.24 6% 8.9
7 Colorado Elevation FC 5302 1116-5 91.80 LLWWW +0.39 -0.14 0% 10.9
8 El Paso Surf 4211 164+12 71.75 DWLW -0.94 -0.07 52% 4.6
9 Denver Kickers Sports Club 4202 147+7 61.50 WLWL -0.73 +0.01 4% 8.0
10 BVBIA Arizona 5203 98+1 61.20 LWLLW -0.61 -0.05 0% 11.3
11 City SC NOCO 6213 1311+2 71.17 WLDLL -0.62 +0.17 0% 11.9
12 ALBION SC Boulder County 5113 58-3 40.80 WLDLL +1.03 -0.19 0% 12.2
13 AZ SandSharks 6114 316-13 40.67 DLLLL +0.68 -0.24 0% 15.9
14 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.22 ——
15 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.33 ——
16 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
17 Inter Utah SC 4004 418-14 00.00 LLLL +0.68 +0.13 0% 17.7
18 Colorado Storm 4004 221-19 00.00 LLLL +0.98 +0.07 0% 17.9
19 ALBION SC Denver 4004 020-20 00.00 LLLL +1.06 +0.12 0% 18.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.04 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.