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ALBION SC Denver

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U14 · 19 teams · ALBION SC Denver (all teams)

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19th
0-0-4 record · 4 played
0.00 points per game
-20 goal diff · 0–20
LLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 18.1
+1.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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ALBION SC Denver
19th · 0.00 PPG
at
Colorado United
4th · 2.40 PPG

Cornerstone Park, Turf #4 ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.7 for, 4.9 against · 0.07 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC DenverColorado United
Position19th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-44-0-1
Points per game0.002.40
Goals for / game0.03.2
Goals against / game5.01.2
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless41
Form (recent first)L L L LW W L W W
Biggest win—5–0 at Colorado Elevation FC
Worst loss0–8 at Denver Kickers Sports Club0–5 at Colorado Rush - COS
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.40+1.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.06-0.01

Common opponents: Colorado Rush — we 0–2; they 3–0. Colorado Rush - COS — we 0–4; they 0–5.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Colorado United score 3.2/game — well above the league's 2.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–8 at Denver Kickers Sports Club, 0–6 at City SC NOCO, 0–2 vs Colorado Rush, 0–4 at Colorado Rush - COS.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 1%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Cornerstone Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Colorado Storm sit 18th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Colorado Storm on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Denver – Colorado United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 19th— holds 19th— holds 19th— holds
Win
0.60 PPG		 14th▲ up 5 14th▲ up 5 15th▲ up 4
Draw
0.20 PPG		 14th▲ up 5 14th▲ up 5 15th▲ up 4
Loss
0.00 PPG		 19th— holds 19th— holds 19th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 19th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
18.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th 3%
  17. 17th 22%
  18. 18th 33%
  19. 19th 42%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.54 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado Rush - COS 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.65) 78 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 70 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Utah Athletic (North) 3.00 (+3.00) 4th (2.12) 78 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection
3 ALBION SC Utah 2.40 (+2.40) 2nd (2.23) 63 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection
4 Colorado United 2.40 (+2.40) 3rd (2.15) 63 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection
5 Colorado Rush 2.25 (+2.25) 6th (1.76) 59 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
6 Utah Athletic 2.25 (+2.25) 8th (1.58) 59 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
7 Colorado Elevation FC 1.80 (+1.80) 10th (1.39) 47 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
8 El Paso Surf 1.75 (+1.75) 5th (2.03) 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
9 Denver Kickers Sports Club 1.50 (+1.50) 7th (1.65) 39 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
10 BVBIA Arizona 1.20 (+1.20) 11th (1.34) 32 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
11 City SC NOCO 1.17 (+1.17) 13th (1.28) 31 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
12 ALBION SC Boulder County 0.80 (+0.80) 15th (1.25) 21 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
13 AZ SandSharks 0.67 (+0.67) 16th (0.77) 18 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
14 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 12th (1.31) Already ahead
15 BVBIA Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 14th (1.27) Already ahead
16 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0.00 (+0.00) 9th (1.42) Already ahead
17 Inter Utah SC 0.00 (+0.00) 17th (0.40) Already ahead
18 Colorado Storm 0.00 (+0.00) 18th (0.40) Already ahead

How the results connect

12 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Denver to Colorado United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
10 favour them
-6.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 5–0 0–2 0–3 9–0 0–5 3–0 1–3 6–1 0–5 2–1 0–6 0–0 4–2 1–3 2–3 0–8 0–3 3–4 ALBION SC Denver 19th Colorado Rush - COS 1st Colorado Rush 5th City SC NOCO 11th Denver Kickers Spor… 9th Colorado Storm 18th ALBION SC Boulder C… 12th Colorado Elevation … 7th Colorado United 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 19th Aug 29 Sep 13 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.12 · 6th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM		 Colorado United
4th · 4-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
Cornerstone Park · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–4 0.07 0.01 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:00 AM		 Colorado Elevation FC
7th · 3-0-2 · GD -5		 Home
Aurora Sports Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.47 0.09 Upside
Sat Nov 14
12:00 PM		 ALBION SC Boulder County
12th · 1-1-3 · GD -3		 Home
Parkfield Lake Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 0–2 0.55 0.15 Upside
Fri Dec 25
08:00 AM		 Colorado Storm
18th · 0-0-4 · GD -19		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 1–1 1.37 0.31 Upside
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM		 Denver Kickers Sports Club
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +7		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.19 0.29 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM		 City SC NOCO
11th · 2-1-3 · GD +2		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–3 0.25 0.29 Upside
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Boulder County
12th · 1-1-3 · GD -3		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 0–2 0.40 0.30 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 Colorado Elevation FC
7th · 3-0-2 · GD -5		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.47 0.31 Upside
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM		 Colorado Storm
18th · 0-0-4 · GD -19		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 1–1 1.37 0.39 Upside
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM		 Colorado Rush
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–3 0.18 0.38 Upside
Sat Feb 20
12:00 AM		 Colorado Rush - COS
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +24		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–6 0.01 0.35 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 Colorado United
4th · 4-0-1 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.12 0.34 Upside
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM		 Denver Kickers Sports Club
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +7		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.11 0.33 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 City SC NOCO
11th · 2-1-3 · GD +2		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.39 0.33 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM		 El Paso Surf
8th · 2-1-1 · GD +12		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.05 0.32 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 AZ SandSharks
13th · 1-1-4 · GD -13		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–1 0.86 0.34 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 Colorado Rush - COS
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +24		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–5 0.03 0.33 Upside
Sat Apr 3
09:00 AM		 Colorado Storm
18th · 0-0-4 · GD -19		 Away
Douglas County Fairgrounds		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.09 0.36 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Colorado Rush
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +4		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–3 0.27 0.36 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Boulder County
12th · 1-1-3 · GD -3		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 0–2 0.55 0.37 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Colorado Elevation FC
7th · 3-0-2 · GD -5		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.30 0.36 Upside
Sun May 2
01:00 PM		 Colorado United
4th · 4-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
Cornerstone Park · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–4 0.07 0.35 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado Rush - COS 5500 262+24 153.00 WWWWW -0.91 -0.22 100% 1.2
2 Utah Athletic (North) 2200 42+2 63.00 WW +1.37 -0.46 63% 4.2
3 ALBION SC Utah 5401 132+11 122.40 LWWWW -0.52 +0.04 78% 3.3
4 Colorado United 5401 166+10 122.40 WWLWW -0.01 -0.22 77% 3.6
5 Colorado Rush 4301 84+4 92.25 LWWW -0.39 +0.01 11% 6.9
6 Utah Athletic 4301 87+1 92.25 WWWL -0.43 +0.24 7% 8.7
7 Colorado Elevation FC 5302 1116-5 91.80 LLWWW +0.39 -0.14 0% 11.0
8 El Paso Surf 4211 164+12 71.75 DWLW -0.94 -0.07 53% 4.6
9 Denver Kickers Sports Club 4202 147+7 61.50 WLWL -0.73 +0.01 4% 7.9
10 BVBIA Arizona 5203 98+1 61.20 LWLLW -0.61 -0.05 0% 11.2
11 City SC NOCO 6213 1311+2 71.17 WLDLL -0.62 +0.17 0% 12.0
12 ALBION SC Boulder County 5113 58-3 40.80 WLDLL +1.03 -0.19 0% 12.2
13 AZ SandSharks 6114 316-13 40.67 DLLLL +0.68 -0.24 0% 15.9
14 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.22 ——
15 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.33 ——
16 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
17 Inter Utah SC 4004 418-14 00.00 LLLL +0.68 +0.13 0% 17.7
18 Colorado Storm 4004 221-19 00.00 LLLL +0.98 +0.07 0% 17.8
19 ALBION SC Denver 4004 020-20 00.00 LLLL +1.06 +0.12 0% 18.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.04 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.