JB Marine Soccer Club
Elite Academy League · Mid-America U14 · 17 teams · JB Marine Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Feb 20, 11:00 AM
Creve Coeur Park Soccer Complex, Field 5 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.8 against · 1.59 expected points)
| Season so far | JB Marine Soccer Club | Hoosier FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | D |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | -0.08 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.54 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Hoosier FC average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 0 of 1.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 46% / draw 21% / loss 33%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
What a win does
Forward Madison sit 14th on 0.25 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Forward Madison on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Hoosier FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (JB Marine Soccer Club – Hoosier FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Feb 15 – Sun Feb 21); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 12 | 3rd▲ up 12 | 3rd▲ up 12 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 12 | 3rd▲ up 12 | 3rd▲ up 12 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
11th▲ up 4 | 11th▲ up 4 | 11th▲ up 4 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
15th— holds | 15th— holds | 15th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 3%
- 6th 4%
- 7th 7%
- 8th 8%
- 9th 13%
- 10th 12%
- 11th 14%
- 12th 14%
- 13th 14%
- 14th 5%
- 15th 2%
- 16th 1%
- 17th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orland Park Sting FC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.44) | Win next game |
| 2 | FC Stars | 3.00 (+3.00) | 5th (1.86) | Win next game |
| 3 | United Elite SC | 2.60 (+2.60) | 2nd (2.41) | A point next game |
| 4 | Team Chicago | 2.40 (+2.40) | 3rd (2.32) | A point next game |
| 5 | USA of Indiana | 2.40 (+2.40) | 4th (1.98) | A point next game |
| 6 | Chicago Empire FC | 2.00 (+2.00) | 6th (1.80) | A point next game |
| 7 | Croatian Eagles SC | 1.50 (+1.50) | 7th (1.71) | A point next game |
| 8 | Chicago Rush | 1.50 (+1.50) | 9th (1.42) | A point next game |
| 9 | Indy Premier SC | 1.00 (+1.00) | 11th (1.21) | A point next game |
| 10 | Hoosier FC | 1.00 (+1.00) | 12th (1.20) | A point next game |
| 11 | JaHBat | 1.00 (+1.00) | 13th (1.10) | A point next game |
| 12 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 0.75 (+0.75) | 8th (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 13 | FC1 Academy | 0.50 (+0.50) | 16th (0.43) | Already ahead |
| 14 | Forward Madison | 0.25 (+0.25) | 14th (0.57) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
11 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.23 · 4th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Feb 20 11:00 AM |
Hoosier FC 10th · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Home Creve Coeur Park Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–1 | 1.59 | 1.59 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 11:00 AM |
USA of Indiana 5th · 4-0-1 · GD +9 |
Home Creve Coeur Park Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.96 | 1.27 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy 13th · 1-0-5 · GD -26 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–0 | 2.59 | 1.71 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
Team Chicago 4th · 4-0-1 · GD +17 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
Indy Premier SC 9th · 1-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.21 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Orland Park Sting FC 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.42 | 1.19 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 12th · 1-0-3 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.39 | 1.22 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
United Elite SC 3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +13 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.61 | 1.14 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 17th · 0-0-3 · GD -13 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.31 | 1.27 | Bank it |
| Sun May 16 12:00 AM |
Chicago Rush 8th · 2-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–2 | 1.13 | 1.26 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orland Park Sting FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | +14 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.79 | +0.13 | 96% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sun Nov 22 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 vs Forward Madison See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | FC Stars | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.71 | +0.06 | 31% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at United Elite SC · Thu Nov 12 vs FC1 Academy · Sun Nov 15 vs Hoosier FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | United Elite SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | +0.14 | -0.22 | 96% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs FC Stars · Sat Nov 21 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 vs North Shore United Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Team Chicago | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | -0.49 | +0.00 | 91% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs JaHBat · Sun Mar 7 vs JB Marine Soccer Club · Sat Mar 20 at Hoosier FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | USA of Indiana | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWLW | -0.02 | +0.29 | 44% | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 21 vs Indy Premier SC · Sat Feb 27 at JB Marine Soccer Club · Sun Mar 14 vs FC1 Academy See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Chicago Empire FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.62 | -0.21 | 22% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs North Shore United Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sun Mar 7 at JaHBat See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Croatian Eagles SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.32 | -0.10 | 13% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 22 at Forward Madison · Sat Mar 13 vs JaHBat · Sun Mar 14 vs Chicago Rush See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Chicago Rush | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 6 | 1.50 | WLLW | -0.76 | +0.24 | 2% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at Indy Premier SC · Sun Nov 8 at Hoosier FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Indy Premier SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | -0.07 | +0.32 | 1% | 10.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Chicago Rush · Sun Nov 8 vs Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Nov 21 at USA of Indiana See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Hoosier FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | -0.54 | +0.18 | 1% | 10.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Nov 14 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sun Nov 15 at FC Stars See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | JaHBat | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | 1.00 | LDLW | +0.12 | -0.02 | 0% | 11.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at Team Chicago · Sun Mar 7 vs Chicago Empire FC · Sat Mar 13 at Croatian Eagles SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.44 | -0.17 | 2% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Chicago Empire FC · Sun Nov 8 at Orland Park Sting FC · Sat Mar 6 at Chicago City Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | FC1 Academy | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 27 | -26 | 3 | 0.50 | LLWLL | +0.48 | -0.03 | 0% | 15.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Nov 12 at FC Stars · Sat Mar 6 vs JB Marine Soccer Club · Sun Mar 7 vs Forward Madison See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | Forward Madison | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | -16 | 1 | 0.25 | LDLL | +1.17 | -0.47 | 0% | 14.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 21 vs North Shore United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 22 vs Croatian Eagles SC · Sat Mar 6 at Orland Park Sting FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | JB Marine Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.23 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 vs Hoosier FC · Sat Feb 27 vs USA of Indiana · Sat Mar 6 at FC1 Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | North Shore United Soccer Club | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | -0.27 | +0.15 | 0% | 15.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Chicago Empire FC · Sat Nov 21 at Forward Madison · Sat Mar 6 at United Elite SC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.42 | +0.05 | 0% | 15.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Chicago Rush · Sun Nov 8 at Indy Premier SC · Sat Nov 14 vs Hoosier FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.17 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.