PacNW SC Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northwest GU11 · 10 teams · PacNW (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM
Starfire Sports, Field 10 (Mod) ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.2 against · 1.43 expected points)
| Season so far | PacNW SC Pre | Washington Premier Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 1-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L W W | L D L L W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Snohomish United Pre | 3–0 vs Eastside FC Pre- II |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at XF Pre- 2 | 0–1 at XF Pre- 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.02 | +0.10 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.02 | +0.44 |
Common opponents: Northwest United Pre — we 1–2; they 2–2. Eastside FC Pre- II — we 0–0; they 3–0. XF Pre- 2 — we 0–3; they 0–1.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–0 vs Eastside FC Pre- II, 0–3 at XF Pre- 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 39%; a draw (27%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Washington Premier Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PacNW SC Pre – Washington Premier Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.33 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.67 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.17 PPG |
7th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 16%
- 6th 30%
- 7th 49%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.56 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XF Pre- 1 | 3.00 (+1.60) | 1st (2.47) | 47 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 2 | Seattle United Pre | 2.60 (+1.20) | 2nd (2.31) | 40 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 3 | Eastside FC Pre- I | 2.25 (+0.85) | 3rd (2.07) | 34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 4 | XF Pre- 2 | 2.00 (+0.60) | 4th (1.85) | 29 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
How the results connect
13 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link PacNW SC Pre to Washington Premier Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.34 · 1st hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM |
Washington Premier Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD +0 |
Home Starfire Sports |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.43 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 07:30 AM |
Seattle United Pre 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +16 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
0–2 | 0.49 | 1.27 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 TBD |
Eastside FC Pre- I 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–1 | 0.94 | 1.23 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 16 TBD |
XF Pre- 1 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
0–2 | 0.55 | 1.16 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 01:30 PM |
Snohomish United Pre 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–0 | 2.28 | 1.27 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 30 TBD |
Seattle United Pre Copa 10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
2–0 | 2.58 | 1.39 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 6 TBD |
Northwest United Pre 6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.44 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 02:00 PM |
Eastside FC Pre- II 8th · 0-1-3 · GD -12 |
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
1–0 | 2.13 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 20 TBD |
XF Pre- 2 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.19 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 12:00 PM |
Washington Premier Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.21 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Seattle United Pre 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +16 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
0–2 | 0.66 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 PM |
Eastside FC Pre- I 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
0–1 | 0.74 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
XF Pre- 1 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–2 | 0.40 | 1.28 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XF Pre- 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | +14 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -1.23 | -0.10 | 100% | 1.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Northwest United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Eastside FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 at XF Pre- 2 See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Seattle United Pre | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | +16 | 13 | 2.60 | WDWWW | -0.60 | -0.09 | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs PacNW SC Pre · Sat Dec 12 at XF Pre- 1 See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Eastside FC Pre- I | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.08 | -0.25 | 96% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Seattle United Pre Copa · Sat Nov 14 at PacNW SC Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | XF Pre- 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 12 | 2.00 | LWLWW | +0.27 | -0.29 | 83% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sat Dec 5 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | PacNW SC Pre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | WWLDL | -1.02 | +0.34 | 3% | 6.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Eastside FC Pre- I See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Northwest United Pre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 5 | 1.25 | DWDL | +0.60 | -0.26 | 13% | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sun Nov 1 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Washington Premier Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLDL | +0.44 | -0.23 | 5% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sat Dec 12 vs Snohomish United Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eastside FC Pre- II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 1 | 0.25 | LLLD | +0.62 | -0.02 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 1 · Sat Nov 14 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Dec 5 at Seattle United Pre Copa See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Snohomish United Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.06 | +0.01 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Seattle United Pre Copa · Sun Nov 1 vs Northwest United Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Eastside FC Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Seattle United Pre Copa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 | -17 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.31 | +0.01 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Nov 14 at Northwest United Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.