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Snohomish United Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northwest GU11 · 10 teams · Snohomish United (all teams)

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9th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-14 goal diff · 0–14
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.0
+1.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:30 AM

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Snohomish United Pre
9th · 0.00 PPG
at
Seattle United Pre Copa
10th · 0.00 PPG

Jefferson Park , Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.8 against · 1.40 expected points)

Season so farSnohomish United PreSeattle United Pre Copa
Position9th10th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-30-0-3
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game4.75.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)L L LL L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–5 vs XF Pre- 10–8 at XF Pre- 1
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.05-2.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.06+1.31

Common opponents: PacNW SC Pre — we 0–4; they 0–2. XF Pre- 1 — we 0–5; they 0–8.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Seattle United Pre Copa average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 3 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Seattle United Pre Copa concede 5.7/game; worst result 0–8 at XF Pre- 1.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–4 at PacNW SC Pre, 0–5 vs XF Pre- 1, 0–5 at Eastside FC Pre- I.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 39%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Seattle United Pre Copa have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:30 AM at Jefferson Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Eastside FC Pre- II sit 8th on 0.25 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Eastside FC Pre- II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Seattle United Pre Copa game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Snohomish United Pre – Seattle United Pre Copa) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.25 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1
Draw
0.25 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 29%
  9. 9th 41%
  10. 10th 30%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 XF Pre- 1 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.47) 54 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
2 Seattle United Pre 2.60 (+2.60) 2nd (2.31) 47 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
3 Eastside FC Pre- I 2.25 (+2.25) 3rd (2.07) 41 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
4 XF Pre- 2 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (1.85) 36 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
5 PacNW SC Pre 1.40 (+1.40) 7th (1.28) 26 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
6 Northwest United Pre 1.25 (+1.25) 5th (1.49) 23 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
7 Washington Premier Pre 0.80 (+0.80) 6th (1.34) 15 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 Eastside FC Pre- II 0.25 (+0.25) 8th (0.57) A point next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Snohomish United Pre to Seattle United Pre Copa through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 favour them
+1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 2–0 0–5 8–0 0–5 0–1 Snohomish United Pre 9th PacNW SC Pre 5th XF Pre- 1 1st Eastside FC Pre- I 3rd Seattle United Pre … 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 3rd hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:30 AM
Seattle United Pre Copa
10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17
Away far trip
Jefferson Park
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.40 0.35 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
Northwest United Pre
6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Home
Valley View Middle School
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.42 0.36 Upside
Sat Nov 14
04:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- II
8th · 0-1-3 · GD -12
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.18 0.50 Upside
Sat Dec 5
12:30 PM
XF Pre- 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4
Home
Snohomish High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.31 0.47 Upside
Sat Dec 12
12:00 PM
Washington Premier Pre
7th · 1-1-3 · GD +0
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.33 0.46 Upside
Sat Jan 16
07:30 AM
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +16
Away far trip
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.04 0.41 Upside
Sat Jan 23
01:30 PM
PacNW SC Pre
5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Home
Snohomish High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.54 0.42 Upside
Sat Feb 13
TBD
XF Pre- 1
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14
Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.03 0.39 Upside
Sat Feb 20
10:30 AM
Eastside FC Pre- I
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7
Home
Snohomish High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.19 0.37 Upside
Sat Feb 27
01:30 PM
Seattle United Pre Copa
10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17
Home
Valley View Middle School
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.68 0.47 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
01:00 PM
Northwest United Pre
6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Away
Sedro-Woolley High School
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.28 0.46 Upside
Sat Mar 20
01:30 PM
Eastside FC Pre- II
8th · 0-1-3 · GD -12
Home
Valley View Middle School
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.42 0.52 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
XF Pre- 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.50 Upside
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
Washington Premier Pre
7th · 1-1-3 · GD +0
Home
Snohomish High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.48 0.50 Upside
Sat May 1
09:00 AM
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +16
Home
Snohomish High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.08 0.48 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 XF Pre- 1 3300 140+14 93.00 WWW -1.23 -0.10 100% 1.4
2 Seattle United Pre 5410 193+16 132.60 WDWWW -0.60 -0.09 99% 2.0
3 Eastside FC Pre- I 4301 103+7 92.25 WLWW +0.08 -0.25 95% 3.0
4 XF Pre- 2 6402 117+4 122.00 LWLWW +0.27 -0.29 84% 3.9
5 PacNW SC Pre 5212 75+2 71.40 WWLDL -1.02 +0.34 3% 6.3
6 Northwest United Pre 4121 77+0 51.25 DWDL +0.60 -0.26 13% 5.4
7 Washington Premier Pre 5113 77+0 40.80 WLLDL +0.44 -0.23 5% 6.0
8 Eastside FC Pre- II 4013 012-12 10.25 LLLD +0.62 -0.02 0% 8.6
9 Snohomish United Pre 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +1.06 +0.01 0% 9.0
10 Seattle United Pre Copa 3003 017-17 00.00 LLL +1.31 +0.01 0% 9.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.