Washington Premier Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northwest GU11 · 10 teams · Washington Premier FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM
Starfire Sports, Field 10 (Mod) ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.2 for, 1.3 against · 1.30 expected points)
| Season so far | Washington Premier Pre | PacNW SC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 2-1-2 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L L W | L D L W W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Eastside FC Pre- II | 4–0 vs Snohomish United Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at XF Pre- 2 | 0–3 at XF Pre- 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.10 | +0.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.44 | -1.02 |
Common opponents: Eastside FC Pre- II — we 3–0; they 0–0. XF Pre- 2 — we 0–1; they 0–3. Northwest United Pre — we 2–2; they 1–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at XF Pre- 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 34%; a draw (27%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:00 AM at Starfire Sports.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the PacNW SC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Washington Premier Pre – PacNW SC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.83 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 1.17 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.83 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Loss 0.67 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 9th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 5%
- 5th 22%
- 6th 36%
- 7th 35%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.39 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XF Pre- 1 | 3.00 (+2.20) | 1st (2.47) | 50 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Seattle United Pre | 2.60 (+1.80) | 2nd (2.31) | 43 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 3 | Eastside FC Pre- I | 2.25 (+1.45) | 3rd (2.07) | 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
| 4 | XF Pre- 2 | 2.00 (+1.20) | 4th (1.85) | 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 5 | PacNW SC Pre | 1.40 (+0.60) | 7th (1.28) | 22 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 6 | Northwest United Pre | 1.25 (+0.45) | 5th (1.49) | 19 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
How the results connect
13 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Washington Premier Pre to PacNW SC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.23 · 7th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM |
PacNW SC Pre 5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Starfire Sports |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.30 | 0.88 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 12:00 PM |
XF Pre- 1 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
0–2 | 0.55 | 0.84 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 12:00 PM |
Snohomish United Pre 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
2–0 | 2.55 | 1.05 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 16 10:30 AM |
Seattle United Pre Copa 10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
2–0 | 2.49 | 1.21 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 23 12:00 PM |
Northwest United Pre 6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
1–1 | 1.51 | 1.24 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 30 12:30 PM |
Eastside FC Pre- II 8th · 0-1-3 · GD -12 |
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–0 | 2.21 | 1.33 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 12:00 PM |
XF Pre- 2 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–1 | 1.24 | 1.32 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 09:00 AM |
Eastside FC Pre- I 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.76 | 1.28 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 06:00 PM |
Seattle United Pre 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +16 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
0–2 | 0.48 | 1.22 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 12:00 PM |
PacNW SC Pre 5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
1–1 | 1.52 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
XF Pre- 1 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–2 | 0.40 | 1.19 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 09:00 AM |
Snohomish United Pre 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–0 | 2.37 | 1.26 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 09:00 AM |
Seattle United Pre Copa 10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
3–0 | 2.65 | 1.34 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XF Pre- 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | +14 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -1.23 | -0.10 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Northwest United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Eastside FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 at XF Pre- 2 See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Seattle United Pre | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | +16 | 13 | 2.60 | WDWWW | -0.60 | -0.09 | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs PacNW SC Pre · Sat Dec 12 at XF Pre- 1 See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Eastside FC Pre- I | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.08 | -0.25 | 95% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Seattle United Pre Copa · Sat Nov 14 at PacNW SC Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | XF Pre- 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 12 | 2.00 | LWLWW | +0.27 | -0.29 | 83% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sat Dec 5 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | PacNW SC Pre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | WWLDL | -1.02 | +0.34 | 3% | 6.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Eastside FC Pre- I See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Northwest United Pre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 5 | 1.25 | DWDL | +0.60 | -0.26 | 14% | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sun Nov 1 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Washington Premier Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLDL | +0.44 | -0.23 | 5% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sat Dec 12 vs Snohomish United Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eastside FC Pre- II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 1 | 0.25 | LLLD | +0.62 | -0.02 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 1 · Sat Nov 14 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Dec 5 at Seattle United Pre Copa See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Snohomish United Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.06 | +0.01 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Seattle United Pre Copa · Sun Nov 1 vs Northwest United Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Eastside FC Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Seattle United Pre Copa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 | -17 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.31 | +0.01 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Nov 14 at Northwest United Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.