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Eastside FC Pre- II

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northwest GU11 · 10 teams · Eastside FC (WA) (all teams)

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8th
0-1-3 record · 4 played
0.25 points per game
-12 goal diff · 0–12
LLLDlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.6
+0.62 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:30 PM

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Eastside FC Pre- II
8th · 0.25 PPG
at
XF Pre- 1
1st · 3.00 PPG

Marymoor Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.4 for, 4.3 against · 0.06 expected points)

Season so farEastside FC Pre- IIXF Pre- 1
Position8th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-1-33-0-0
Points per game0.253.00
Goals for / game0.04.7
Goals against / game3.00.0
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless40
Form (recent first)D L L LW W W
Biggest win—8–0 vs Seattle United Pre Copa
Worst loss0–7 vs Seattle United Pre—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.56+2.02
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.62-1.23

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    XF Pre- 1 score 4.7/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    XF Pre- 1 concede only 0.0/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 vs XF Pre- 2, 0–3 at Washington Premier Pre, 0–7 vs Seattle United Pre, 0–0 at PacNW SC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 1%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    XF Pre- 1 have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Marymoor Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Washington Premier Pre sit 7th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.25.

    A win moves us above Washington Premier Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the XF Pre- 1 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastside FC Pre- II – XF Pre- 1) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.20 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 10th▼ down 2
Win
0.80 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Draw
0.40 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 10th▼ down 2
Loss
0.20 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 10th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 51%
  9. 9th 33%
  10. 10th 15%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.39 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 XF Pre- 1 3.00 (+2.75) 1st (2.47) 53 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Seattle United Pre 2.60 (+2.35) 2nd (2.31) 46 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 Eastside FC Pre- I 2.25 (+2.00) 3rd (2.07) 40 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 XF Pre- 2 2.00 (+1.75) 4th (1.85) 35 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 PacNW SC Pre 1.40 (+1.15) 7th (1.28) 25 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
6 Northwest United Pre 1.25 (+1.00) 5th (1.49) 22 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Washington Premier Pre 0.80 (+0.55) 6th (1.34) Win next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Eastside FC Pre- II to XF Pre- 1 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
5 favour them
-5.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 4–0 0–5 0–3 1–2 0–1 0–2 1–3 2–0 0–8 0–7 7–0 Eastside FC Pre- II 8th PacNW SC Pre 5th Washington Premier … 7th XF Pre- 2 4th Seattle United Pre 2nd Snohomish United Pre 9th Eastside FC Pre- I 3rd Seattle United Pre … 10th XF Pre- 1 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 4th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
01:30 PM
XF Pre- 1
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14
Away
Marymoor Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.06 0.21 Upside
Sat Nov 14
04:45 PM
Snohomish United Pre
9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.57 0.44 Swing game
Sat Dec 5
07:30 AM
Seattle United Pre Copa
10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17
Away far trip
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.46 0.59 Upside
Sat Dec 12
01:00 PM
Northwest United Pre
6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.54 0.58 Upside
Sat Jan 16
04:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- I
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7
Away
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.18 0.54 Upside
Sat Jan 23
TBD
XF Pre- 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.29 0.51 Upside
Sat Jan 30
12:30 PM
Washington Premier Pre
7th · 1-1-3 · GD +0
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.59 0.52 Upside
Sat Feb 6
11:00 AM
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +16
Away far trip
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.08 0.48 Upside
Sat Feb 13
02:00 PM
PacNW SC Pre
5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
14%
0–1 0.65 0.49 Upside
Sat Mar 13
09:00 AM
XF Pre- 1
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.11 0.47 Upside
Sat Mar 20
01:30 PM
Snohomish United Pre
9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Away far trip
Valley View Middle School
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.33 0.52 Upside
Sat Apr 3
10:15 AM
Seattle United Pre Copa
10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.72 0.60 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
Northwest United Pre
6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Away far trip
Skagit Valley College
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.38 0.59 Upside
Sat May 1
01:30 PM
Eastside FC Pre- I
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.28 0.57 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 XF Pre- 1 3300 140+14 93.00 WWW -1.23 -0.10 100% 1.4
2 Seattle United Pre 5410 193+16 132.60 WDWWW -0.60 -0.09 100% 2.0
3 Eastside FC Pre- I 4301 103+7 92.25 WLWW +0.08 -0.25 95% 3.0
4 XF Pre- 2 6402 117+4 122.00 LWLWW +0.27 -0.29 83% 3.9
5 PacNW SC Pre 5212 75+2 71.40 WWLDL -1.02 +0.34 3% 6.3
6 Northwest United Pre 4121 77+0 51.25 DWDL +0.60 -0.26 15% 5.4
7 Washington Premier Pre 5113 77+0 40.80 WLLDL +0.44 -0.23 5% 6.0
8 Eastside FC Pre- II 4013 012-12 10.25 LLLD +0.62 -0.02 0% 8.6
9 Snohomish United Pre 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +1.06 +0.01 0% 9.0
10 Seattle United Pre Copa 3003 017-17 00.00 LLL +1.31 +0.01 0% 9.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.