Seattle United Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northwest GU11 · 10 teams · Seattle United (all teams)

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2nd

4-1-0 record · 5 played

2.60 points per game

+16 goal diff · 19–3

WDWWWlast 5

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0

-0.60 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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Seattle United Pre
2nd · 2.60 PPG

Eastside FC Pre- I
3rd · 2.25 PPG

Jefferson Park , Field 1 ↗

55% 21% 24%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.3 against · 1.87 expected points)

Season so far	Seattle United Pre	Eastside FC Pre- I
Position	2nd	3rd
Record (W-D-L)	4-1-0	3-0-1
Points per game	2.60	2.25
Goals for / game	3.8	2.5
Goals against / game	0.6	0.8
Clean sheets	2	1
Held scoreless	0	1
Form (recent first)	W W W D W	W W L W
Biggest win	7–0 at Seattle United Pre Copa	5–0 vs Snohomish United Pre
Worst loss	—	0–1 vs XF Pre- 1
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.80	+1.03
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.60	+0.08

Common opponents: XF Pre- 2 — we 2–1; they 3–1. Washington Premier Pre — we 2–1; they 2–1.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Eastside FC Pre- I score 2.5/game — well above the league's 1.8.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
Eastside FC Pre- I concede only 0.8/game with 1 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Swing game — small margins
Win 55% / draw 21% / loss 24%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eastside FC Pre- I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Seattle United Pre – Eastside FC Pre- I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.67 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Win 2.67 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Draw 2.33 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Loss 2.17 PPG	3rd▼ down 1	3rd▼ down 1	3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

30% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

2.0 average finish

1st 30%
2nd 49%
3rd 17%
4th 4%
5th <1%
6th <1%
7th
8th
9th
10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.89 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	XF Pre- 1	3.00 (+0.40)	1st (2.47)	41 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Seattle United Pre to Eastside FC Pre- I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

2 even

4 favour them

+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.09 · 5th hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM	Eastside FC Pre- I 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7	Home Jefferson Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	55%	2–1	1.87	2.48	Swing game
Sat Oct 31 07:30 AM	PacNW SC Pre 5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2	Home TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	73%	2–0	2.35	2.46	Bank it
Sat Dec 12 TBD	XF Pre- 1 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14	Away	●●●●○ Tough	28%	1–1	1.06	2.29	Upside
Sat Jan 16 07:30 AM	Snohomish United Pre 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14	Home TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	97%	5–0	2.94	2.36	Bank it
Sat Jan 23 05:30 PM	Seattle United Pre Copa 10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17	Home TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	98%	6–0	2.96	2.42	Bank it
Sat Jan 30 01:00 PM	Northwest United Pre 6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0	Away far trip Sedro-Woolley High School	●●○○○ Lean win	68%	2–1	2.20	2.40	Swing game
Sat Feb 6 11:00 AM	Eastside FC Pre- II 8th · 0-1-3 · GD -12	Home TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	95%	4–0	2.88	2.44	Bank it
Sat Feb 13 TBD	XF Pre- 2 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	2–1	1.90	2.40	Swing game
Sat Feb 20 06:00 PM	Washington Premier Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD +0	Home TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	2–0	2.36	2.40	Bank it
Sat Feb 27 12:45 PM	Eastside FC Pre- I 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +7	Away far trip PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS	●●●○○ Toss-up	46%	1–1	1.61	2.34	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 TBD	PacNW SC Pre 5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2	Away	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	2–0	2.15	2.33	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 11:00 AM	XF Pre- 1 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14	Home TBD	●●●●○ Tough	37%	1–1	1.33	2.27	Upside
Sat May 1 09:00 AM	Snohomish United Pre 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14	Away far trip Snohomish High School · turf	●○○○○ Favorable	95%	4–0	2.89	2.31	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

XF Pre- 1

+14

3.00

WWW

-1.23

-0.10

100%

1.4

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	8–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Northwest United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Eastside FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 at XF Pre- 2 See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Northwest United Pre (6th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	4–0	96%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	2–1	62%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	2–0	70%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	2–0	69%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	5–0	98%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	5–0	98%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Northwest United Pre (6th)	3–0	80%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	3–0	93%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	2–0	70%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	2–0	77%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1	41%
·	Sat May 1	vs	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	2–0	76%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Seattle United Pre

+16

2.60

WDWWW

-0.60

-0.09

100%

2.0

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	2–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	7–0
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Northwest United Pre (6th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	7–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs PacNW SC Pre · Sat Dec 12 at XF Pre- 1 See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	2–0	73%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	5–0	97%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Northwest United Pre (6th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	2–0	74%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	2–0	65%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–1	37%
·	Sat May 1	at	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	4–0	95%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside FC Pre- I

2.25

WLWW

+0.08

-0.25

96%

3.0

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	5–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Seattle United Pre Copa · Sat Nov 14 at PacNW SC Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	1–1	52%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Northwest United Pre (6th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	1–1	52%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	3–0	89%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	1–0	60%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Northwest United Pre (6th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat May 1	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	2–0	83%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

XF Pre- 2

2.00

LWLWW

+0.27

-0.29

83%

3.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Northwest United Pre (6th)	3–2
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	2–0

Next: Sat Nov 14 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sat Dec 5 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	3–0	82%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	4–0	91%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	2–0	82%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–2	13%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Northwest United Pre (6th)	2–1	53%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PacNW SC Pre

1.40

WWLDL

-1.02

+0.34

6.3

L	Sat Oct 17	at	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	0–3
D	Sat Oct 3	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Northwest United Pre (6th)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Eastside FC Pre- I See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–2	11%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	1–1	23%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–2	12%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	2–0	70%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	2–0	82%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Northwest United Pre (6th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	1–0	64%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–2	15%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	0–1	17%
·	Sat May 1	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–2	8%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Northwest United Pre

1.25

DWDL

+0.60

-0.26

13%

5.4

L	Sat Oct 10	vs	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	2–3
D	Sun Oct 4	vs	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sun Nov 1 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	3–0	84%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	2–0	78%
·	Sat May 1	at	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	1–2	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Washington Premier Pre

0.80

WLLDL

+0.44

-0.23

6.0

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	1–2
D	Sun Oct 4	at	Northwest United Pre (6th)	2–2
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sat Dec 12 vs Snohomish United Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–2	13%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	2–0	81%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	2–0	79%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Northwest United Pre (6th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	2–0	67%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–2	11%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	2–0	74%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	3–0	85%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside FC Pre- II

-12

0.25

LLLD

+0.62

-0.02

8.6

D	Sat Oct 3	at	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 1 · Sat Nov 14 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Dec 5 at Seattle United Pre Copa See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Northwest United Pre (6th)	0–2	12%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	0–2	6%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	0–2	13%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	0–1	14%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–3	2%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Northwest United Pre (6th)	0–2	8%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	0–2	5%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Snohomish United Pre

-14

0.00

LLL

+1.06

+0.01

9.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	0–5
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 12	at	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Seattle United Pre Copa · Sun Nov 1 vs Northwest United Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Eastside FC Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	1–1	39%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Northwest United Pre (6th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	0–2	7%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	0–2	12%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Seattle United Pre Copa (10th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Northwest United Pre (6th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	0–2	11%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–4	1%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Seattle United Pre Copa

-17

0.00

LLL

+1.31

+0.01

9.4

L	Sat Oct 17	at	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–8
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Nov 14 at Northwest United Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Northwest United Pre (6th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Seattle United Pre (2nd)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	PacNW SC Pre (5th)	0–2	6%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	XF Pre- 1 (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Snohomish United Pre (9th)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Eastside FC Pre- I (3rd)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Northwest United Pre (6th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Eastside FC Pre- II (8th)	1–1	27%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	XF Pre- 2 (4th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat May 1	at	Washington Premier Pre (7th)	0–3	5%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.