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Eastside FC Pre- I

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northwest GU11 · 10 teams · Eastside FC (WA) (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 54 minutes ago.
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3rd
3-0-1 record · 4 played
2.25 points per game
+7 goal diff · 10–3
WLWWlast 4
96% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.0
+0.08 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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Eastside FC Pre- I
3rd · 2.25 PPG
at
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 2.60 PPG

Jefferson Park , Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.1 against · 0.92 expected points)

Season so farEastside FC Pre- ISeattle United Pre
Position3rd2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-0-14-1-0
Points per game2.252.60
Goals for / game2.53.8
Goals against / game0.80.6
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W W L WW W W D W
Biggest win5–0 vs Snohomish United Pre7–0 at Seattle United Pre Copa
Worst loss0–1 vs XF Pre- 1—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.03+1.80
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.08-0.60

Common opponents: XF Pre- 2 — we 3–1; they 2–1. Washington Premier Pre — we 2–1; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Seattle United Pre score 3.8/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Seattle United Pre concede only 0.6/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs XF Pre- 1.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 24%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Seattle United Pre have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Jefferson Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Seattle United Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastside FC Pre- I – Seattle United Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.80 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Win
2.40 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
2.00 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
1.80 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

6% finish 1st
96% top 4
4% below the top 4
3.0 average finish
  1. 1st 6%
  2. 2nd 21%
  3. 3rd 49%
  4. 4th 21%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.83 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 XF Pre- 1 3.00 (+0.75) 1st (2.47) 45 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
2 Seattle United Pre 2.60 (+0.35) 2nd (2.31) 38 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Eastside FC Pre- I to Seattle United Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
2 even
3 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 1–2 3–1 1–2 0–1 8–0 0–7 0–1 2–2 1–1 3–0 0–7 2–0 3–2 Eastside FC Pre- I 3rd Washington Premier … 7th XF Pre- 2 4th XF Pre- 1 1st Seattle United Pre … 10th Northwest United Pre 6th Eastside FC Pre- II 8th Seattle United Pre 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.25 · 8th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +16
Away far trip
Jefferson Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.92 1.98 Upside
Sat Oct 31
02:15 PM
Seattle United Pre Copa
10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
4–0 2.89 2.13 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
TBD
PacNW SC Pre
5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
1–1 1.81 2.09 Swing game
Sat Dec 5
10:15 AM
Northwest United Pre
6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.08 2.09 Swing game
Sat Jan 16
04:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- II
8th · 0-1-3 · GD -12
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
3–0 2.73 2.16 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
04:15 PM
XF Pre- 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
1–1 1.79 2.12 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
TBD
XF Pre- 1
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14
Away
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.77 2.00 Upside
Sat Feb 13
09:00 AM
Washington Premier Pre
7th · 1-1-3 · GD +0
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.03 2.00 Swing game
Sat Feb 20
10:30 AM
Snohomish United Pre
9th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
3–0 2.73 2.06 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
12:45 PM
Seattle United Pre
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +16
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.17 1.99 Upside
Sat Mar 13
02:30 PM
Seattle United Pre Copa
10th · 0-0-3 · GD -17
Away far trip
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.81 2.05 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 PM
PacNW SC Pre
5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
1–0 2.03 2.05 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
01:00 PM
Northwest United Pre
6th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Away far trip
Skagit Valley College
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.83 2.04 Swing game
Sat May 1
01:30 PM
Eastside FC Pre- II
8th · 0-1-3 · GD -12
Away
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
2–0 2.61 2.07 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 XF Pre- 1 3300 140+14 93.00 WWW -1.23 -0.10 100% 1.4
2 Seattle United Pre 5410 193+16 132.60 WDWWW -0.60 -0.09 100% 2.0
3 Eastside FC Pre- I 4301 103+7 92.25 WLWW +0.08 -0.25 96% 3.0
4 XF Pre- 2 6402 117+4 122.00 LWLWW +0.27 -0.29 84% 3.9
5 PacNW SC Pre 5212 75+2 71.40 WWLDL -1.02 +0.34 2% 6.3
6 Northwest United Pre 4121 77+0 51.25 DWDL +0.60 -0.26 13% 5.4
7 Washington Premier Pre 5113 77+0 40.80 WLLDL +0.44 -0.23 6% 6.0
8 Eastside FC Pre- II 4013 012-12 10.25 LLLD +0.62 -0.02 0% 8.6
9 Snohomish United Pre 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +1.06 +0.01 0% 9.0
10 Seattle United Pre Copa 3003 017-17 00.00 LLL +1.31 +0.01 0% 9.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.