PSA North Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU11 · 8 teams · Princeton SA (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:30 PM
Pace University, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.7 against · 2.20 expected points)
| Season so far | PSA North Pre | Quickstrike FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-3 | 0-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 7.7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L | L L L |
| Biggest win | 1–0 at Manhattan SC Pre | — |
| Worst loss | 1–6 at East Coast Surf Pre | 0–11 vs Manhattan SC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.50 | -3.29 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +2.23 | +1.31 |
Common opponents: Force FC Pre — we 1–2; they 2–10. Manhattan SC Pre — we 1–0; they 0–11.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Quickstrike FC Pre average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 2.9); blanked in 2 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Quickstrike FC Pre concede 7.7/game; worst result 0–11 vs Manhattan SC Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 69% / draw 14% / loss 17%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Confidence is low on their side
Quickstrike FC Pre have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
-
Away game
Kickoff 05:30 PM at Pace University.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Quickstrike FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSA North Pre – Quickstrike FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.20 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 1.20 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 0.80 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Loss 0.60 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 3%
- 4th 16%
- 5th 31%
- 6th 47%
- 7th 2%
- 8th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Coast Surf Pre | 3.00 (+2.25) | 1st (2.46) | 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Force FC Pre | 3.00 (+2.25) | 3rd (2.02) | 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 3 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 3.00 (+2.25) | 4th (1.49) | 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 4 | Manhattan SC Pre | 2.00 (+1.25) | 2nd (2.14) | 25 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
How the results connect
2 chains · 4 teams
Paths of results that link PSA North Pre to Quickstrike FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.78 · 8th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26 06:00 PM no score posted |
PDA SCP Pre 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -16 |
Home Cedar Grove High School |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.29 | 1.06 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 05:30 PM |
Quickstrike FC Pre 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -21 |
Away far trip
Pace University · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.20 | 1.25 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
Quickstrike FC Pre 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -21 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
3–1 | 2.45 | 1.42 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Force FC Pre 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +9 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–3 | 0.75 | 1.34 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Long Island Slammers Pre 3rd · 1-0-0 · GD +2 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–2 | 1.22 | 1.32 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- Northeast 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Manhattan SC Pre 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +16 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.49 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Long Island Slammers Pre 3rd · 1-0-0 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.95 | 1.22 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- Northeast 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 0.98 | 1.20 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
PDA SCP Pre 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -16 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.02 | 1.26 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | East Coast Surf Pre | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | +17 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -1.25 | -0.14 | 100% | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Force FC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Manhattan SC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Long Island Slammers Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Force FC Pre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -1.89 | +0.09 | 96% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs PDA SCP Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Quickstrike FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -3.29 | +0.24 | 49% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs SUSA FC Pre- Northeast · Sat Oct 24 at Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at East Coast Surf Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Manhattan SC Pre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | +16 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -2.12 | +0.19 | 99% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs Long Island Slammers Pre · Sun Mar 7 vs SUSA FC Pre- Northeast See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | PSA North Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +2.23 | -0.78 | 20% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs PDA SCP Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs Quickstrike FC Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SUSA FC Pre- Northeast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Sep 26 at Long Island Slammers Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Force FC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs East Coast Surf Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | PDA SCP Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +2.44 | +0.04 | 0% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at PSA North Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Force FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.31 | +0.26 | 0% | 7.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Long Island Slammers Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North Pre · Sat Oct 31 at PDA SCP Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.94 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.