Quickstrike FC Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU11 · 8 teams · Quickstrike FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.6 for, 4.2 against · 0.39 expected points)
| Season so far | Quickstrike FC Pre | Long Island Slammers Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-3 | 1-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 7.7 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L | W |
| Biggest win | — | 2–0 vs Quickstrike FC Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–11 vs Manhattan SC Pre | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -3.23 | +0.16 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.11 | -3.23 |
Already played this season: Sat Sep 12 0–2 at Long Island Slammers Pre (L)
Game plan
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Long Island Slammers Pre, 0–11 vs Manhattan SC Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 10%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
What a win does
PDA SCP Pre sit 7th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above PDA SCP Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Long Island Slammers Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Quickstrike FC Pre – Long Island Slammers Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
6th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 0.25 PPG |
6th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th <1%
- 6th 1%
- 7th 28%
- 8th 72%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Coast Surf Pre | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.59) | 42 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 3.00 (+3.00) | 4th (1.52) | 42 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 3 | Manhattan SC Pre | 2.00 (+2.00) | 2nd (2.15) | 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 4 | Force FC Pre | 2.00 (+2.00) | 3rd (1.80) | 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 5 | PSA North Pre | 0.75 (+0.75) | 6th (1.27) | Win next game |
| 6 | SUSA FC Pre- Northeast | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.42) | Already ahead |
| 7 | PDA SCP Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (0.50) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
1 chain · 2 teams
Paths of results that link Quickstrike FC Pre to Long Island Slammers Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.24 · 1st hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 04:00 PM |
Long Island Slammers Pre 2nd · 1-0-0 · GD +2 |
Home Pace University |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–4 | 0.39 | 0.10 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 05:30 PM |
PSA North Pre 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home Pace University · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–3 | 0.65 | 0.21 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
PDA SCP Pre 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -16 |
Away far trip
Sparta HS · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.02 | 0.34 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 03:00 PM |
Force FC Pre 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Hudson Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–6 | 0.10 | 0.31 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- Northeast 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
2–4 | 0.39 | 0.32 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
East Coast Surf Pre 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +20 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
1–8 | 0.02 | 0.29 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
PSA North Pre 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -7 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.43 | 0.30 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- Northeast 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–5 | 0.22 | 0.29 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
East Coast Surf Pre 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +20 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–7 | 0.04 | 0.27 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Manhattan SC Pre 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +16 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–7 | 0.03 | 0.25 | Upside |
| Sat Jun 5 TBD |
PDA SCP Pre 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -16 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
3–3 | 1.38 | 0.33 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Coast Surf Pre | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | +20 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.62 | -0.35 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Manhattan SC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Long Island Slammers Pre · Sat Dec 5 at SUSA FC Pre- Northeast See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -3.23 | +0.17 | 56% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs SUSA FC Pre- Northeast · Sat Oct 24 at Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at East Coast Surf Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Manhattan SC Pre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | +16 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -2.08 | +0.11 | 99% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs Long Island Slammers Pre · Sun Mar 7 vs SUSA FC Pre- Northeast See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Force FC Pre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.12 | -0.13 | 88% | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs PDA SCP Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs SUSA FC Pre- Northeast See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | PSA North Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +2.12 | -0.82 | 19% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs PDA SCP Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs Quickstrike FC Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | SUSA FC Pre- Northeast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.05 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Sep 26 at Long Island Slammers Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Force FC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs East Coast Surf Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | PDA SCP Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +2.45 | -0.04 | 0% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at PSA North Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Force FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.11 | +0.24 | 0% | 7.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Long Island Slammers Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North Pre · Sat Oct 31 at PDA SCP Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.86 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.