Washington Premier Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU11 · 12 teams · Washington Premier FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 10:30 AM
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS, Field 3 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–5 (expected goals 0.9 for, 5.9 against · 0.06 expected points)
| Season so far | Washington Premier Pre | Eastside FC Pre- I |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-2 | 6-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 7.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 vs Eastside FC Pre- II | 14–1 vs Washington Premier Pre- Black |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at XF Pre- 1 | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.17 | +4.67 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.58 | -0.25 |
Common opponents: Washington Premier Pre- Black — we 3–1; they 14–1. XF Pre- 2 — we 2–3; they 7–0. XF Pre- 1 — we 0–4; they 3–0.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
Eastside FC Pre- I score 7.5/game — well above the league's 2.6.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Hard to break down
Eastside FC Pre- I concede only 0.3/game with 4 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at XF Pre- 1.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 1%; a draw (2%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
They arrive in form
Eastside FC Pre- I have won 6 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
-
Away game
Kickoff 10:30 AM at PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
-
What a win does
XF Pre- 2 sit 6th on 1.80 PPG; we are on 1.50.A win moves us above XF Pre- 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Eastside FC Pre- I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Washington Premier Pre – Eastside FC Pre- I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.20 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 1.80 PPG |
5th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 1 | 7th— holds |
| Draw 1.40 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Loss 1.20 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–5 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 17%
- 6th 30%
- 7th 40%
- 8th 8%
- 9th 2%
- 10th 1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastside FC Pre- I | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.88) | 60 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Northwest United PreECNL | 3.00 (+1.50) | 3rd (2.19) | 60 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 3 | XF Pre- 1 | 2.25 (+0.75) | 2nd (2.22) | 44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 4 | Seattle United Pre | 1.80 (+0.30) | 4th (2.03) | Win next game |
| 5 | PacNW SC Pre | 1.80 (+0.30) | 6th (1.48) | Win next game |
| 6 | XF Pre- 2 | 1.80 (+0.30) | 5th (1.53) | Win next game |
How the results connect
10 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Washington Premier Pre to Eastside FC Pre- I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.16 · 4th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 10:30 AM |
Eastside FC Pre- I 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +43 |
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.06 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
Valor Soccer - Pre 12th · 0-0-5 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Petrovitsky Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
3–1 | 2.07 | 1.36 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 09:00 AM |
Snohomish United Pre 8th · 1-1-3 · GD -5 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.88 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 03:00 PM |
Northwest United PreECNL 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9 |
Away far trip
Skagit Valley College |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.62 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 09:00 AM |
Seattle United Pre Copa 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -13 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–1 | 2.20 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
PacNW SC Pre 5th · 3-0-2 · GD -2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.27 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 9 10:30 AM |
Northwest United PreECNL 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.86 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 16 07:00 AM |
Washington Premier Pre- Black 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -22 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
4–2 | 2.38 | 1.44 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 23 06:00 PM |
Eastside FC Pre- II 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
3–1 | 2.05 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 TBD |
XF Pre- 2 6th · 3-0-2 · GD -3 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.25 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 09:00 AM |
XF Pre- 1 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.70 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 09:00 AM |
Eastside FC Pre- I 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +43 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–5 | 0.12 | 1.34 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 09:00 AM |
Valor Soccer - Pre 12th · 0-0-5 · GD -15 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.34 | 1.40 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 09:00 AM |
Snohomish United Pre 8th · 1-1-3 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Valley View Middle School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 09:00 AM |
PacNW SC Pre 5th · 3-0-2 · GD -2 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.59 | 1.42 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 09:00 AM |
Seattle United Pre 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12 |
Home WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.79 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 03:30 PM |
Seattle United Pre 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.55 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 PM |
Seattle United Pre Copa 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -13 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.92 | 1.37 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastside FC Pre- I | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 2 | +43 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.25 | -0.52 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Oct 31 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Washington Premier Pre- Black See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Northwest United PreECNL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.34 | -0.06 | 97% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs Washington Premier Pre- Black · Sat Nov 7 at Eastside FC Pre- II See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | XF Pre- 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | +0.67 | -0.32 | 98% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Valor Soccer - Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Snohomish United Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Seattle United Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Seattle United Pre | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 9 | 1.80 | LWLWW | -0.09 | -0.19 | 92% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs XF Pre- 1 See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | PacNW SC Pre | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 | 1.80 | WWWLL | +0.44 | -0.08 | 4% | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Seattle United Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Washington Premier Pre- Black · Sat Oct 31 vs Eastside FC Pre- II See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | XF Pre- 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 | 1.80 | WLLWW | +0.33 | -0.10 | 6% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Snohomish United Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Seattle United Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Seattle United Pre Copa See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Washington Premier Pre | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.58 | +0.16 | 2% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC Pre- I · Sat Nov 7 at Valor Soccer - Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Snohomish United Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Snohomish United Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 | LLLDW | -0.96 | +0.36 | 0% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs XF Pre- 2 · Sat Oct 31 at XF Pre- 1 · Sat Nov 14 at Washington Premier Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Seattle United Pre Copa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +1.29 | -0.12 | 0% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eastside FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at XF Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 14 at XF Pre- 1 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Washington Premier Pre- Black | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 4 | 0.67 | LWDLL | +0.61 | +0.08 | 0% | 10.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PacNW SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Northwest United PreECNL · Sat Nov 7 vs Eastside FC Pre- I See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Eastside FC Pre- II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 3 | 0.60 | LLWLL | +0.01 | +0.21 | 0% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Seattle United Pre Copa · Sat Oct 31 at PacNW SC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Northwest United PreECNL See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | Valor Soccer - Pre | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | -0.69 | +0.41 | 0% | 11.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs XF Pre- 1 · Sat Nov 7 vs Washington Premier Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Eastside FC Pre- I See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.