TableChase Clubs

Valor Soccer - Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU11 · 12 teams · Valor Soccer (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
12th
0-0-5 record · 5 played
0.00 points per game
-15 goal diff · 6–21
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.2
-0.69 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Valor Soccer - Pre
12th · 0.00 PPG
vs
XF Pre- 1
3rd · 2.25 PPG

Petrovitsky Park, Field 1(9v9) ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.1 for, 4.1 against · 0.23 expected points)

Season so farValor Soccer - PreXF Pre- 1
Position12th3rd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-53-0-1
Points per game0.002.25
Goals for / game1.23.5
Goals against / game4.20.8
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L L L LW L W W
Biggest win—5–0 vs Eastside FC Pre- II
Worst loss0–5 at PacNW SC Pre0–3 at Eastside FC Pre- I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.91+1.60
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.69+0.67

Common opponents: Eastside FC Pre- II — we 2–3; they 5–0. XF Pre- 2 — we 1–3; they 5–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    XF Pre- 1 concede only 0.8/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 at PacNW SC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 5%; a draw (8%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the XF Pre- 1 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Valor Soccer - Pre – XF Pre- 1) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Win
0.50 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Draw
0.17 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 13%
  11. 11th 26%
  12. 12th 53%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.32 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.88) 66 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 64 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Northwest United PreECNL 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.19) 66 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
3 XF Pre- 1 2.25 (+2.25) 2nd (2.22) 50 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
4 Seattle United Pre 1.80 (+1.80) 4th (2.03) 40 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
5 PacNW SC Pre 1.80 (+1.80) 6th (1.48) 40 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
6 XF Pre- 2 1.80 (+1.80) 5th (1.53) 40 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
7 Washington Premier Pre 1.50 (+1.50) 7th (1.37) 33 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
8 Snohomish United Pre 0.80 (+0.80) 8th (0.96) 18 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
9 Seattle United Pre Copa 0.75 (+0.75) 9th (0.83) 17 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
10 Washington Premier Pre- Black 0.67 (+0.67) 10th (0.69) 15 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
11 Eastside FC Pre- II 0.60 (+0.60) 11th (0.67) 14 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Valor Soccer - Pre to XF Pre- 1 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
9 favour them
-9.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 0–5 1–3 0–5 3–2 0–4 0–7 3–0 1–4 2–6 1–3 0–5 0–9 1–14 1–7 Valor Soccer - Pre 12th Eastside FC Pre- II 11th XF Pre- 2 6th Washington Premier … 10th PacNW SC Pre 5th Washington Premier … 7th Eastside FC Pre- I 1st XF Pre- 1 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.41 · 1st hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM		 XF Pre- 1
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11		 Home
Petrovitsky Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.23 0.04 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM		 Washington Premier Pre
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Home
Petrovitsky Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–3 0.77 0.14 Upside
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM		 Eastside FC Pre- I
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +43		 Away
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–8 0.01 0.13 Upside
Sat Dec 5
10:30 AM		 Seattle United Pre
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12		 Home
Petrovitsky Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–4 0.26 0.14 Upside
Sat Dec 12
10:30 AM		 Seattle United Pre Copa
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -13		 Away far trip
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 2–2 1.09 0.24 Upside
Sat Jan 9
TBD		 PacNW SC Pre
5th · 3-0-2 · GD -2		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–3 0.76 0.28 Upside
Sat Jan 16
11:00 AM		 Northwest United PreECNL
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9		 Away far trip
Skagit Valley College		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 0–4 0.19 0.28 Upside
Sat Jan 23
TBD		 Washington Premier Pre- Black
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -22		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 3–2 1.51 0.37 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
TBD		 Eastside FC Pre- II
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -15		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–2 1.54 0.45 Swing game
Sat Feb 13
TBD		 XF Pre- 2
6th · 3-0-2 · GD -3		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–3 0.74 0.47 Upside
Sat Feb 20
TBD		 XF Pre- 1
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–4 0.13 0.45 Upside
Sat Mar 13
09:00 AM		 Washington Premier Pre
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.53 0.46 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 Eastside FC Pre- I
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +43		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.02 0.43 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Seattle United Pre Copa
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -13		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–2 1.40 0.48 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Snohomish United Pre
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -5		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.06 0.51 Upside
Sat Apr 24
01:30 PM		 Snohomish United Pre
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -5		 Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–2 0.78 0.52 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 PM		 Seattle United Pre
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12		 Away far trip
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–4 0.15 0.51 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 6600 452+43 183.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.52 100% 1.0
2 Northwest United PreECNL 4400 123+9 123.00 WWWW -0.34 -0.06 97% 2.9
3 XF Pre- 1 4301 143+11 92.25 WWLW +0.67 -0.32 98% 2.8
4 Seattle United Pre 5302 186+12 91.80 LWLWW -0.09 -0.19 92% 3.5
5 PacNW SC Pre 5302 1214-2 91.80 WWWLL +0.44 -0.08 4% 5.9
6 XF Pre- 2 5302 1316-3 91.80 WLLWW +0.33 -0.10 6% 5.8
7 Washington Premier Pre 4202 99+0 61.50 WWLL -0.58 +0.16 2% 6.4
8 Snohomish United Pre 5113 914-5 40.80 LLLDW -0.96 +0.36 0% 8.5
9 Seattle United Pre Copa 4103 417-13 30.75 WLLL +1.29 -0.12 0% 9.3
10 Washington Premier Pre- Black 6114 1234-22 40.67 LWDLL +0.61 +0.08 0% 10.3
11 Eastside FC Pre- II 5104 621-15 30.60 LLWLL +0.01 +0.21 0% 10.4
12 Valor Soccer - Pre 5005 621-15 00.00 LLLLL -0.69 +0.41 0% 11.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.