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Eastside FC Pre- II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU11 · 12 teams · Eastside FC (WA) (all teams)

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11th
1-0-4 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
-15 goal diff · 6–21
LLWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.3
+0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:15 PM

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Eastside FC Pre- II
11th · 0.60 PPG
vs

PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS, Field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.4 against · 1.44 expected points)

Season so farEastside FC Pre- IISeattle United Pre Copa
Position11th9th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-41-0-3
Points per game0.600.75
Goals for / game1.21.0
Goals against / game4.24.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L L W L LL L L W
Biggest win3–2 vs Valor Soccer - Pre3–2 vs Snohomish United Pre
Worst loss0–7 at Seattle United Pre0–8 vs Eastside FC Pre- I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.89-1.54
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.01+1.29

Common opponents: Snohomish United Pre — we 2–3; they 3–2. Seattle United Pre — we 0–7; they 1–5.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Seattle United Pre Copa average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.6); blanked in 2 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Seattle United Pre Copa concede 4.2/game; worst result 0–8 vs Eastside FC Pre- I.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–5 at XF Pre- 1, 0–7 at Seattle United Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 42%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Seattle United Pre Copa have lost 3 straight (form: WLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    Washington Premier Pre- Black sit 10th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A point moves us above Washington Premier Pre- Black on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Seattle United Pre Copa game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastside FC Pre- II – Seattle United Pre Copa) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.67 PPG
10th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 1 11th— holds
Win
1.00 PPG
8th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 2
Draw
0.67 PPG
10th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 1 11th— holds
Loss
0.50 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 17%
  10. 10th 25%
  11. 11th 28%
  12. 12th 21%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.45 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 3.00 (+2.40) 1st (2.88) 63 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Northwest United PreECNL 3.00 (+2.40) 3rd (2.19) 63 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 XF Pre- 1 2.25 (+1.65) 2nd (2.22) 47 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
4 Seattle United Pre 1.80 (+1.20) 4th (2.03) 37 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
5 PacNW SC Pre 1.80 (+1.20) 6th (1.48) 37 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
6 XF Pre- 2 1.80 (+1.20) 5th (1.53) 37 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7 Washington Premier Pre 1.50 (+0.90) 7th (1.37) 30 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
8 Snohomish United Pre 0.80 (+0.20) 8th (0.96) A point next game
9 Seattle United Pre Copa 0.75 (+0.15) 9th (0.83) A point next game
10 Washington Premier Pre- Black 0.67 (+0.07) 10th (0.69) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Eastside FC Pre- II to Seattle United Pre Copa through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
5 favour them
-1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 2–3 0–7 5–1 0–5 0–3 8–0 1–3 2–0 1–4 3–2 0–5 Eastside FC Pre- II 11th Snohomish United Pre 8th Seattle United Pre 4th XF Pre- 1 3rd Valor Soccer - Pre 12th Eastside FC Pre- I 1st PacNW SC Pre 5th Seattle United Pre … 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.21 · 3rd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:15 PM
Seattle United Pre Copa
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.44 0.74 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
PacNW SC Pre
5th · 3-0-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
Starfire Sports
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.53 0.71 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
Northwest United PreECNL
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.32 0.66 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:30 AM
Washington Premier Pre- Black
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -22
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–3 1.19 0.72 Upside
Sat Dec 12
TBD
XF Pre- 2
6th · 3-0-2 · GD -3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 0.70 Upside
Sat Jan 9
09:00 AM
XF Pre- 1
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.23 0.66 Upside
Sat Jan 23
06:00 PM
Washington Premier Pre
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–3 0.79 0.67 Upside
Sat Jan 30
TBD
Valor Soccer - Pre
12th · 0-0-5 · GD -15
Away
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.28 0.71 Upside
Sat Feb 13
12:45 PM
Seattle United Pre
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +12
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 0.68 Upside
Sat Feb 20
07:30 PM
Seattle United Pre Copa
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Away far trip
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–2 1.12 0.71 Upside
Sat Feb 27
09:00 AM
PacNW SC Pre
5th · 3-0-2 · GD -2
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–3 0.78 0.72 Upside
Sat Mar 6
10:30 AM
Snohomish United Pre
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -5
Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–3 0.80 0.72 Upside
Sat Mar 13
05:00 PM
Northwest United PreECNL
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9
Away far trip
Skagit Valley College
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.20 0.69 Upside
Sun Mar 21
11:00 AM
XF Pre- 2
6th · 3-0-2 · GD -3
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–3 0.76 0.70 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- I
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +43
Away
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–8 0.01 0.66 Upside
Sat Apr 24
05:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- I
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +43
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–7 0.02 0.63 Upside
Sat May 1
12:15 PM
Washington Premier Pre- Black
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -22
Home
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
3–2 1.56 0.67 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 6600 452+43 183.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.52 100% 1.0
2 Northwest United PreECNL 4400 123+9 123.00 WWWW -0.34 -0.06 98% 2.9
3 XF Pre- 1 4301 143+11 92.25 WWLW +0.67 -0.32 98% 2.7
4 Seattle United Pre 5302 186+12 91.80 LWLWW -0.09 -0.19 91% 3.5
5 PacNW SC Pre 5302 1214-2 91.80 WWWLL +0.44 -0.08 4% 6.0
6 XF Pre- 2 5302 1316-3 91.80 WLLWW +0.33 -0.10 7% 5.7
7 Washington Premier Pre 4202 99+0 61.50 WWLL -0.58 +0.16 2% 6.5
8 Snohomish United Pre 5113 914-5 40.80 LLLDW -0.96 +0.36 0% 8.5
9 Seattle United Pre Copa 4103 417-13 30.75 WLLL +1.29 -0.12 0% 9.3
10 Washington Premier Pre- Black 6114 1234-22 40.67 LWDLL +0.61 +0.08 0% 10.3
11 Eastside FC Pre- II 5104 621-15 30.60 LLWLL +0.01 +0.21 0% 10.3
12 Valor Soccer - Pre 5005 621-15 00.00 LLLLL -0.69 +0.41 0% 11.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.