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Seattle United Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northwest BU11 · 12 teams · Seattle United (all teams)

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4th
3-0-2 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+12 goal diff · 18–6
LWLWWlast 5
92% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.5
-0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, TBD

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Seattle United Pre
4th · 1.80 PPG
at
XF Pre- 2
6th · 1.80 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.2 for, 1.8 against · 2.09 expected points)

Season so farSeattle United PreXF Pre- 2
Position4th6th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-23-0-2
Points per game1.801.80
Goals for / game3.62.6
Goals against / game1.23.2
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W W L W LW W L L W
Biggest win7–0 vs Eastside FC Pre- II7–1 at Washington Premier Pre- Black
Worst loss1–4 vs Eastside FC Pre- I0–7 at Eastside FC Pre- I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.44-0.19
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.09+0.33

Common opponents: Eastside FC Pre- I — we 1–4; they 0–7. Washington Premier Pre- Black — we 5–0; they 7–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Northwest United PreECNL.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 65% / draw 16% / loss 20%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the XF Pre- 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Seattle United Pre – XF Pre- 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.67 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2
Loss
1.50 PPG
6th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
92% top 4
8% below the top 4
3.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 14%
  3. 3rd 30%
  4. 4th 48%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 3.00 (+1.20) 1st (2.88) 57 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Northwest United PreECNL 3.00 (+1.20) 3rd (2.19) 57 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
3 XF Pre- 1 2.25 (+0.45) 2nd (2.22) 41 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection

How the results connect

12 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Seattle United Pre to XF Pre- 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
+3.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–0 1–7 1–4 7–0 0–1 4–1 1–3 1–14 1–3 2–3 7–0 1–4 5–1 0–8 3–0 5–0 3–2 0–5 6–2 Seattle United Pre 4th Washington Premier … 10th Eastside FC Pre- I 1st Northwest United Pr… 2nd Eastside FC Pre- II 11th Seattle United Pre … 9th Valor Soccer - Pre 12th Washington Premier … 7th XF Pre- 1 3rd XF Pre- 2 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.19 · 10th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Sep 26
TBD
no score posted
PacNW SC Pre
5th · 3-0-2 · GD -2
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.10 1.85 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
TBD
XF Pre- 2
6th · 3-0-2 · GD -3
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.09 1.88 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
XF Pre- 1
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Home
Jefferson Park
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.41 1.83 Upside
Sat Dec 5
10:30 AM
Valor Soccer - Pre
12th · 0-0-5 · GD -15
Away far trip
Petrovitsky Park
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.66 1.92 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
07:30 AM
Snohomish United Pre
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.53 1.98 Bank it
Sat Jan 9
12:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- I
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +43
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.30 1.83 Upside
Sat Jan 16
01:30 PM
Seattle United Pre Copa
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.56 1.89 Bank it
Sat Jan 23
05:30 PM
PacNW SC Pre
5th · 3-0-2 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.36 1.92 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
09:00 AM
Northwest United PreECNL
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9
Away far trip
Skagit Valley College
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.31 1.88 Upside
Sat Feb 13
12:45 PM
Eastside FC Pre- II
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -15
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.65 1.93 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
TBD
Washington Premier Pre- Black
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -22
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.84 1.99 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
11:00 AM
XF Pre- 2
6th · 3-0-2 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.36 2.01 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
TBD
XF Pre- 1
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.13 1.96 Upside
Sun Mar 21
09:00 AM
Snohomish United Pre
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -5
Away far trip
Valley View Middle School
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.32 1.98 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
09:00 AM
Washington Premier Pre
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.04 1.98 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
03:30 PM
Washington Premier Pre
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.30 2.00 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:00 PM
Valor Soccer - Pre
12th · 0-0-5 · GD -15
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–1 2.79 2.03 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eastside FC Pre- I 6600 452+43 183.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.52 100% 1.0
2 Northwest United PreECNL 4400 123+9 123.00 WWWW -0.34 -0.06 97% 2.9
3 XF Pre- 1 4301 143+11 92.25 WWLW +0.67 -0.32 98% 2.8
4 Seattle United Pre 5302 186+12 91.80 LWLWW -0.09 -0.19 92% 3.5
5 PacNW SC Pre 5302 1214-2 91.80 WWWLL +0.44 -0.08 4% 5.9
6 XF Pre- 2 5302 1316-3 91.80 WLLWW +0.33 -0.10 6% 5.8
7 Washington Premier Pre 4202 99+0 61.50 WWLL -0.58 +0.16 2% 6.4
8 Snohomish United Pre 5113 914-5 40.80 LLLDW -0.96 +0.36 0% 8.5
9 Seattle United Pre Copa 4103 417-13 30.75 WLLL +1.29 -0.12 0% 9.3
10 Washington Premier Pre- Black 6114 1234-22 40.67 LWDLL +0.61 +0.08 0% 10.3
11 Eastside FC Pre- II 5104 621-15 30.60 LLWLL +0.01 +0.21 0% 10.4
12 Valor Soccer - Pre 5005 621-15 00.00 LLLLL -0.69 +0.41 0% 11.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.