PSA North Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northeast - North BU11 · 10 teams · Princeton SA (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM
Roots Athletic Center, Field 1A ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.8 for, 2.3 against · 1.10 expected points)
| Season so far | PSA North Pre | Western United Pioneers FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-3 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W L | W W W L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Quickstrike FC Pre | 4–1 at PSA North Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs Western United Pioneers FC Pre | 1–7 at STA MOSC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.15 | +0.48 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.67 | +2.41 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 1–4 vs Western United Pioneers FC Pre (L)
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 30%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
They arrive in form
Western United Pioneers FC Pre have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Roots Athletic Center.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Western United Pioneers FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSA North Pre – Western United Pioneers FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.29 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.71 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.43 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 1.29 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 61%
- 7th 15%
- 8th 3%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentwood SC Pre | 3.00 (+1.50) | 2nd (2.27) | 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 2 | STA MOSC Pre | 2.40 (+0.90) | 1st (2.69) | 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 2.40 (+0.90) | 4th (1.79) | 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 4 | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 2.25 (+0.75) | 5th (1.73) | 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 5 | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | 2.25 (+0.75) | 3rd (1.97) | 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
How the results connect
11 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link PSA North Pre to Western United Pioneers FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.79 · 1st hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
Western United Pioneers FC Pre 5th · 3-0-1 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Roots Athletic Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.10 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
DiCaprio Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.29 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 03:15 PM |
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -15 |
Home Harrison Field & Complex · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.33 | 1.52 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 03:30 PM |
Quickstrike FC Pre 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -31 |
Home Harrison Field & Complex · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.69 | 1.64 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Brentwood SC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.61 | 1.55 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
STA MOSC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +44 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–5 | 0.21 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Eastern FC Pre 8th · 0-1-2 · GD -5 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Long Island Slammers Pre 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.29 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Long Island Slammers Pre 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
2–2 | 0.98 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Eastern FC Pre 8th · 0-1-2 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.73 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
STA MOSC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +44 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–5 | 0.11 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Brentwood SC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +19 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.87 | 1.35 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentwood SC Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 6 | +19 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -2.05 | +0.55 | 99% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | STA MOSC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 3 | +44 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | -1.29 | -0.26 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sun Oct 25 at WNY Flash Binghamton Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWLW | -1.94 | +0.66 | 63% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | +0.56 | -0.13 | 49% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA North Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +2.41 | -0.72 | 84% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Long Island Slammers Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PSA North Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 9 | 1.50 | LWLWW | -1.67 | +0.79 | 5% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | +2.02 | -0.29 | 0% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Eastern FC Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eastern FC Pre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | LDL | -0.82 | +0.31 | 0% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Quickstrike FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 35 | -31 | 1 | 0.17 | LDLLL | +1.50 | -0.19 | 0% | 9.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Long Island Slammers Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Eastern FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at STA MOSC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | WNY Flash Binghamton Pre | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 34 | -28 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.41 | -0.28 | 0% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Eastern FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.