Western United Pioneers FC Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northeast - North BU11 · 10 teams · Western United Pioneers FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM
Roots Athletic Center, Field 1A ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 1.8 against · 1.70 expected points)
| Season so far | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | PSA North Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-1 | 3-0-3 |
| Points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L | W W L W L |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at PSA North Pre | 4–0 at Quickstrike FC Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–7 at STA MOSC Pre | 1–4 vs Western United Pioneers FC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.48 | +0.15 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +2.41 | -1.67 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 4–1 at PSA North Pre (W)
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 50% / draw 20% / loss 30%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
What a win does
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre sit 4th on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.25.A point moves us above FC Dutchmen Surf Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the PSA North Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Western United Pioneers FC Pre – PSA North Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.40 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 2.40 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Loss 1.80 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 15%
- 3rd 42%
- 4th 25%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 3%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.83 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentwood SC Pre | 3.00 (+0.75) | 2nd (2.27) | 45 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 2 | STA MOSC Pre | 2.40 (+0.15) | 1st (2.69) | Win next game |
| 3 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 2.40 (+0.15) | 4th (1.79) | Win next game |
| 4 | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 2.25 (+0.00) | 5th (1.73) | A point next game |
How the results connect
11 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Western United Pioneers FC Pre to PSA North Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.72 · 10th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
PSA North Pre 6th · 3-0-3 · GD +4 |
Home Roots Athletic Center |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.70 | 2.14 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 12:15 PM |
Brentwood SC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +19 |
Home Lusitano Stadium · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–2 | 1.01 | 1.95 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 02:45 PM |
Long Island Slammers Pre 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home Lusitano Stadium · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.46 | 1.88 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 04:00 PM |
Eastern FC Pre 8th · 0-1-2 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.89 | 1.88 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 02:30 PM |
Brentwood SC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away far trip
Brentwood State Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–3 | 0.73 | 1.76 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 10:50 AM |
Long Island Slammers Pre 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Moriches Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–2 | 1.13 | 1.69 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -15 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
3–1 | 2.46 | 1.76 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -28 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
4–1 | 2.67 | 1.84 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
3–2 | 1.82 | 1.84 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Quickstrike FC Pre 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -31 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
4–1 | 2.62 | 1.89 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 11:00 AM |
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
DiCaprio Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.47 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -28 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.48 | 1.90 | Bank it |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Quickstrike FC Pre 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -31 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
4–1 | 2.77 | 1.95 | Bank it |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -15 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.20 | 1.97 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentwood SC Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 6 | +19 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -2.05 | +0.55 | 98% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | STA MOSC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 3 | +44 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | -1.29 | -0.26 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sun Oct 25 at WNY Flash Binghamton Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWLW | -1.94 | +0.66 | 62% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | +0.56 | -0.13 | 50% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA North Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +2.41 | -0.72 | 82% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Long Island Slammers Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PSA North Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 9 | 1.50 | LWLWW | -1.67 | +0.79 | 6% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | +2.02 | -0.29 | 0% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Eastern FC Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eastern FC Pre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | LDL | -0.82 | +0.31 | 0% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Quickstrike FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 35 | -31 | 1 | 0.17 | LDLLL | +1.50 | -0.19 | 0% | 9.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Long Island Slammers Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Eastern FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at STA MOSC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | WNY Flash Binghamton Pre | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 34 | -28 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.41 | -0.28 | 0% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Eastern FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.