Eastern FC Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northeast - North BU11 · 10 teams · Eastern FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM
Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N, field 3 ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.5 for, 3.2 against · 1.08 expected points)
| Season so far | Eastern FC Pre | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-2 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.33 | 2.25 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 3.5 |
| Goals against / game | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L | L W W W |
| Biggest win | — | 4–1 vs Eastern FC Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 1–6 vs Brentwood SC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.89 | +0.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.82 | +0.56 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 1–4 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre (L)
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 31%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre sit 7th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.33.A point moves us above Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dutchmen Surf Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastern FC Pre – FC Dutchmen Surf Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.25 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 10th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 | 8th— holds |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.25 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 10th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th <1%
- 5th 1%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 42%
- 8th 38%
- 9th 7%
- 10th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.56 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentwood SC Pre | 3.00 (+2.67) | 2nd (2.27) | 53 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 2 | STA MOSC Pre | 2.40 (+2.07) | 1st (2.69) | 43 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 2.40 (+2.07) | 4th (1.79) | 43 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 4 | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 2.25 (+1.92) | 5th (1.73) | 40 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 5 | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | 2.25 (+1.92) | 3rd (1.97) | 40 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 6 | PSA North Pre | 1.50 (+1.17) | 6th (1.35) | 26 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 7 | Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre | 0.75 (+0.42) | 8th (0.93) | A point next game |
How the results connect
6 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Eastern FC Pre to FC Dutchmen Surf Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.31 · 4th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 27 09:30 AM no score posted |
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -15 |
Home Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
3–2 | 1.87 | 0.72 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM |
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +1 |
Home Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–3 | 1.08 | 0.79 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:10 AM |
Quickstrike FC Pre 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -31 |
Away far trip
Pace University · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–1 | 2.16 | 1.02 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Hudson Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.54 | 1.09 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 04:00 PM |
Western United Pioneers FC Pre 5th · 3-0-1 · GD +0 |
Home Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.93 | 1.07 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 10:30 AM |
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -28 |
Home Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.22 | 1.20 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -28 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.22 | 1.30 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
STA MOSC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +44 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–7 | 0.03 | 1.19 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Long Island Slammers Pre 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.54 | 1.13 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
PSA North Pre 6th · 3-0-3 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Brentwood SC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
1–4 | 0.30 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
PSA North Pre 6th · 3-0-3 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.07 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Long Island Slammers Pre 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
2–3 | 0.80 | 1.04 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Brentwood SC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +19 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.47 | 1.00 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
STA MOSC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +44 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–6 | 0.07 | 0.95 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentwood SC Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 6 | +19 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -2.05 | +0.55 | 98% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | STA MOSC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 3 | +44 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | -1.29 | -0.26 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sun Oct 25 at WNY Flash Binghamton Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWLW | -1.94 | +0.66 | 65% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | +0.56 | -0.13 | 49% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA North Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +2.41 | -0.72 | 83% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Long Island Slammers Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PSA North Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 9 | 1.50 | LWLWW | -1.67 | +0.79 | 5% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | +2.02 | -0.29 | 0% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Eastern FC Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eastern FC Pre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | LDL | -0.82 | +0.31 | 0% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Quickstrike FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 35 | -31 | 1 | 0.17 | LDLLL | +1.50 | -0.19 | 0% | 9.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Long Island Slammers Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Eastern FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at STA MOSC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | WNY Flash Binghamton Pre | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 34 | -28 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.41 | -0.28 | 0% | 9.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Eastern FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.