TableChase Clubs

Brentwood SC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northeast - North BU11 · 10 teams · Brentwood SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 27 minutes ago. Next available update in 32:33.
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1st
5-0-0 record · 5 played
3.00 points per game
+19 goal diff · 25–6
WWWWWlast 5
99% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.3
-2.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:30 PM

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Brentwood SC Pre
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre
7th · 0.75 PPG

Brentwood State Park, field 10 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.6 for, 1.5 against · 2.80 expected points)

Season so farBrentwood SC PreFox Soccer Academy Premier Pre
Position1st7th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-01-0-3
Points per game3.000.75
Goals for / game5.01.5
Goals against / game1.25.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WL L W L
Biggest win7–1 vs Quickstrike FC Pre2–1 vs PSA North Pre
Worst loss—0–10 vs STA MOSC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.84-1.75
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-2.05+2.02

Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 3–2 at Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre (W)

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre concede 5.2/game; worst result 0–10 vs STA MOSC Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 92% chance; likely score 5–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Brentwood SC Pre – Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.67 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.50 PPG		 1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 5–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

6% finish 1st
99% top 4
1% below the top 4
2.3 average finish
  1. 1st 6%
  2. 2nd 70%
  3. 3rd 19%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

14 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Brentwood SC Pre to Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
2 even
3 favour them
+3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 7–1 0–16 10–0 5–2 1–14 0–4 1–2 2–3 4–0 0–4 0–4 7–2 6–1 3–2 1–4 1–2 Brentwood SC Pre 1st Quickstrike FC Pre 9th WNY Flash Binghamto… 10th FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 4th STA MOSC Pre 2nd PSA North Pre 6th Long Island Slammer… 3rd Fox Soccer Academy … 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.55 · 3rd hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:30 PM		 Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre
7th · 1-0-3 · GD -15		 Home
Brentwood State Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 5–1 2.80 2.97 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
12:15 PM		 Western United Pioneers FC Pre
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +0		 Away far trip
Lusitano Stadium · turf?		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 2–2 1.81 2.80 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
10:00 AM		 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre
10th · 0-0-6 · GD -28		 Away far trip
Hillside Park · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 5–1 2.81 2.80 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
TBD		 FC Dutchmen Surf Pre
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +1		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 4–2 2.40 2.76 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
02:30 PM		 Western United Pioneers FC Pre
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +0		 Home
Brentwood State Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 3–1 2.11 2.69 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 PSA North Pre
6th · 3-0-3 · GD +4		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
70%		 3–1 2.24 2.65 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Long Island Slammers Pre
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 3–2 2.07 2.60 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 STA MOSC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +44		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.36 2.43 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Eastern FC Pre
8th · 0-1-2 · GD -5		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 4–1 2.62 2.44 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD		 STA MOSC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +44		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
15%		 2–4 0.58 2.32 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 Long Island Slammers Pre
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +11		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 3–2 1.74 2.28 Swing game
Sat May 22
TBD		 Eastern FC Pre
8th · 0-1-2 · GD -5		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 3–1 2.41 2.29 Bank it
Sun May 23
TBD		 PSA North Pre
6th · 3-0-3 · GD +4		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 2–1 1.96 2.27 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Brentwood SC Pre 5500 256+19 153.00 WWWWW -2.05 +0.55 99% 2.3
2 STA MOSC Pre 5401 473+44 122.40 WWWWL -1.29 -0.26 100% 1.1
3 Long Island Slammers Pre 5401 2110+11 122.40 WWWLW -1.94 +0.66 65% 4.1
4 FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 4301 1413+1 92.25 WWWL +0.56 -0.13 48% 4.5
5 Western United Pioneers FC Pre 4301 99+0 92.25 LWWW +2.41 -0.72 82% 3.5
6 PSA North Pre 6303 1511+4 91.50 LWLWW -1.67 +0.79 5% 5.9
7 Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 4103 621-15 30.75 LWLL +2.02 -0.29 0% 7.6
8 Eastern FC Pre 3012 49-5 10.33 LDL -0.82 +0.31 0% 7.4
9 Quickstrike FC Pre 6015 435-31 10.17 LDLLL +1.50 -0.19 0% 9.6
10 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 6006 634-28 00.00 LLLLL +1.41 -0.28 0% 9.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.