Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU12 · 12 teams · Oakwood Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena, Field 7 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.2 for, 3.3 against · 0.88 expected points)
| Season so far | Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue | FSA FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-1 | 4-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 6–1 vs Manhattan SC Pre- Red | 7–2 at East Meadow Soccer Club Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at East Meadow Soccer Club Pre | 0–3 at SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.61 | +1.38 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.38 | +0.15 |
Common opponents: SUSA FC Pre- l — we 3–1; they 2–0. East Meadow Soccer Club Pre — we 1–4; they 7–2.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
FSA FC Pre score 3.8/game — well above the league's 2.5.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 24%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
FSA FC Pre have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 10:00 AM at FSA-Farmington Sports Arena.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FSA FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue – FSA FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.50 PPG |
5th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 3 | 7th▼ down 4 |
| Win 2.25 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 1.75 PPG |
5th▼ down 2 | 5th▼ down 2 | 7th▼ down 4 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
5th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 3 | 7th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 8%
- 3rd 27%
- 4th 27%
- 5th 21%
- 6th 12%
- 7th 3%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th <1%
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY | 2.75 (+0.75) | 1st (2.59) | 55 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection |
| 2 | FSA FC Pre | 2.40 (+0.40) | 2nd (2.22) | 47 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
How the results connect
6 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue to FSA FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.07 · 5th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 13 09:00 AM no score posted |
East Coast Surf SC Pre 4th · 1-1-0 · GD +1 |
Home Oakwood Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–1 | 1.62 | 1.90 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 10:00 AM |
FSA FC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
2–3 | 0.88 | 1.70 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM |
Connecticut FC United Pre I 11th · 0-1-4 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
CFC Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
4–2 | 2.39 | 1.81 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 01:30 PM |
AC Connecticut Pre- I 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
Western Connecticut State University - Westside At |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.04 | 1.85 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM |
Select Pre- Blue 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -8 |
Home Oakwood Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
4–1 | 2.36 | 1.91 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +26 |
Home Oakwood Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–3 | 0.70 | 1.78 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 12:30 PM |
FC Stars Pre- Blue 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
3–2 | 1.81 | 1.78 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 10:30 AM |
Scorpions SC PRE 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away Taunton Forekicks |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.75 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 11:00 AM |
SUSA FC Pre- l 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home Oakwood Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.14 | 1.78 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 10:00 AM |
AC Connecticut Pre- I 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -6 |
Home Oakwood Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.31 | 1.82 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Manhattan SC Pre- Red 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -9 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–1 | 2.16 | 1.85 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
East Coast Surf SC Pre 4th · 1-1-0 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.33 | 1.81 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
FC Stars Pre- Blue 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
3–2 | 2.14 | 1.83 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 10:00 AM |
Connecticut FC United Pre I 11th · 0-1-4 · GD -17 |
Home Oakwood Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
4–1 | 2.62 | 1.88 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 08:30 AM |
FSA FC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home Oakwood Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.20 | 1.84 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +26 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.48 | 1.77 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Select Pre- Blue 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -8 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
3–2 | 2.07 | 1.78 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Scorpions SC PRE 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–2 | 1.75 | 1.78 | Swing game |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
3–2 | 1.60 | 1.77 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 7 | +26 | 22 | 2.75 | WWWWW | -0.27 | -0.26 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 7 at AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sun Nov 8 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FSA FC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | +0.15 | -0.29 | 98% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | -0.38 | -0.07 | 62% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at FSA FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Connecticut FC United Pre I See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | East Coast Surf SC Pre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | WD | +0.69 | -0.16 | 44% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs Scorpions SC PRE See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | East Meadow Soccer Club Pre | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | +0.29 | -0.24 | 66% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC Pre- l · Sat Nov 7 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Scorpions SC PRE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.34 | -0.11 | 27% | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Select Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Sun Oct 25 at East Coast Surf SC Pre See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Select Pre- Blue | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 4 | 0.80 | LDLWL | -0.03 | +0.07 | 0% | 9.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Scorpions SC PRE · Sat Oct 24 vs SUSA FC Pre- l · Thu Oct 29 at FC Stars Pre- Blue See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SUSA FC Pre- l | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +0.51 | -0.14 | 1% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Select Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | AC Connecticut Pre- I | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | -0.38 | +0.10 | 0% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Connecticut FC United Pre I · Sun Oct 25 at FSA FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Manhattan SC Pre- Red | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.23 | +0.01 | 0% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Scorpions SC PRE · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 31 at East Coast Surf SC Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Connecticut FC United Pre I | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 1 | 0.20 | LDLLL | +0.29 | +0.05 | 0% | 11.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sun Oct 25 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FC Stars Pre- Blue | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.38 | -0.08 | 3% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Coast Surf SC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Thu Oct 29 vs Select Pre- Blue See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.