TableChase Clubs

AC Connecticut Pre- I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU12 · 12 teams · AC Connecticut (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 42 minutes ago.
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9th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-6 goal diff · 5–11
LLLWlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.7
-0.38 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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AC Connecticut Pre- I
9th · 0.75 PPG
at
Connecticut FC United Pre I
11th · 0.20 PPG

CFC Park, Field 1 A ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.53 expected points)

Season so farAC Connecticut Pre- IConnecticut FC United Pre I
Position9th11th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-30-1-4
Points per game0.750.20
Goals for / game1.31.8
Goals against / game2.85.2
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W L L LL L L D L
Biggest win1–0 vs Manhattan SC Pre- Red—
Worst loss1–6 at East Meadow Soccer Club Pre2–10 at SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.92-1.89
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.38+0.29

Common opponents: East Meadow Soccer Club Pre — we 1–6; they 1–6. Select Pre- Blue — we 3–4; they 3–3.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Connecticut FC United Pre I concede 5.2/game; worst result 2–10 at SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 45% / draw 18% / loss 37%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Connecticut FC United Pre I have lost 3 straight (form: LDLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at CFC Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    SUSA FC Pre- l sit 8th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above SUSA FC Pre- l on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Connecticut FC United Pre I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (AC Connecticut Pre- I – Connecticut FC United Pre I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.80 PPG		 7th▲ up 2 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Win
1.20 PPG		 7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2 10th▼ down 1
Draw
0.80 PPG		 7th▲ up 2 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Loss
0.60 PPG		 11th▼ down 2 10th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 21%
  10. 10th 24%
  11. 11th 24%
  12. 12th 11%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 2.75 (+2.00) 1st (2.59) 58 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FSA FC Pre 2.40 (+1.65) 2nd (2.22) 50 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 2.00 (+1.25) 4th (1.77) 41 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 East Coast Surf SC Pre 2.00 (+1.25) 5th (1.69) 41 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
5 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 1.80 (+1.05) 3rd (1.80) 37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
6 Scorpions SC PRE 1.50 (+0.75) 6th (1.58) 30 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
7 Select Pre- Blue 0.80 (+0.05) 9th (0.90) A point next game
8 SUSA FC Pre- l 0.75 (+0.00) 8th (1.08) Already ahead

How the results connect

7 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link AC Connecticut Pre- I to Connecticut FC United Pre I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–6 6–1 3–4 3–3 1–3 10–2 1–0 4–2 0–4 1–6 0–1 1–1 AC Connecticut Pre-… 9th East Meadow Soccer … 5th Select Pre- Blue 7th Manhattan SC Pre- R… 10th East Coast Surf SC … 4th SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 1st Connecticut FC Unit… 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.10 · 1st hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM		 Connecticut FC United Pre I
11th · 0-1-4 · GD -17		 Away far trip
CFC Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–2 1.53 0.91 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
10:00 AM		 FSA FC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +10		 Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.34 0.81 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +4		 Home
Western Connecticut State University - Westside At		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–2 0.79 0.81 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:00 PM		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +26		 Home
Western Connecticut State University - Westside At · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–3 0.28 0.74 Upside
Sun Nov 8
12:15 PM		 SUSA FC Pre- l
8th · 1-0-3 · GD -5		 Away far trip
Tony Gazzola Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 1–2 1.10 0.78 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:30 AM		 Scorpions SC PRE
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +1		 Away far trip
Walpole Soccer Complex · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.70 0.77 Upside
Sun Nov 15
12:30 PM		 FC Stars Pre- Blue
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3		 Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.96 0.79 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD		 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–3 0.76 0.79 Upside
Sat Mar 13
10:00 AM		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–3 0.55 0.77 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 East Coast Surf SC Pre
4th · 1-1-0 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–2 0.70 0.76 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Manhattan SC Pre- Red
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -9		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
37%		 2–2 1.32 0.80 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 FC Stars Pre- Blue
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
36%		 2–2 1.26 0.83 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 FSA FC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +10		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.52 0.81 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 Select Pre- Blue
7th · 1-1-3 · GD -8		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.18 0.83 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +26		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%		 0–4 0.17 0.80 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- l
8th · 1-0-3 · GD -5		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
38%		 1–1 1.37 0.83 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Scorpions SC PRE
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +1		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–2 0.95 0.83 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD		 Connecticut FC United Pre I
11th · 0-1-4 · GD -17		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 3–2 1.86 0.88 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 8710 337+26 222.75 WWWWW -0.27 -0.26 100% 1.1
2 FSA FC Pre 5401 199+10 122.40 WLWWW +0.15 -0.29 98% 2.2
3 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 3201 106+4 62.00 WLW -0.38 -0.07 61% 4.2
4 East Coast Surf SC Pre 2110 21+1 42.00 WD +0.69 -0.16 42% 4.8
5 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 5302 1913+6 91.80 WWLWL +0.29 -0.24 66% 4.0
6 Scorpions SC PRE 2101 54+1 31.50 WL +0.34 -0.11 29% 5.3
7 Select Pre- Blue 5113 1119-8 40.80 LDLWL -0.03 +0.07 0% 9.5
8 SUSA FC Pre- l 4103 510-5 30.75 LLLW +0.51 -0.14 1% 8.3
9 AC Connecticut Pre- I 4103 511-6 30.75 LLLW -0.38 +0.10 0% 9.7
10 Manhattan SC Pre- Red 4103 615-9 30.75 WLLL +0.23 +0.01 0% 9.7
11 Connecticut FC United Pre I 5014 926-17 10.20 LDLLL +0.29 +0.05 0% 11.4
12 FC Stars Pre- Blue 1001 25-3 00.00 L +1.38 -0.08 3% 7.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.