FC Stars Pre- Blue
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU12 · 12 teams · FC Stars (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:30 PM
cedar creek park, 2 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.6 against · 0.87 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Stars Pre- Blue | East Coast Surf SC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-1 | 1-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 5.0 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L | D W |
| Biggest win | — | 1–0 at AC Connecticut Pre- I |
| Worst loss | 2–5 at FSA FC Pre | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.49 | +0.31 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.38 | +0.69 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
East Coast Surf SC Pre average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 2.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Hard to break down
East Coast Surf SC Pre concede only 0.5/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 23%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 02:30 PM at cedar creek park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Connecticut FC United Pre I sit 11th on 0.20 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Connecticut FC United Pre I on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the East Coast Surf SC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Stars Pre- Blue – East Coast Surf SC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 12th— holds |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
6th▲ up 6 | 6th▲ up 6 | 7th▲ up 5 |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
11th▲ up 1 | 11th▲ up 1 | 12th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 12th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 6%
- 6th 14%
- 7th 30%
- 8th 21%
- 9th 13%
- 10th 7%
- 11th 4%
- 12th 2%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY | 2.75 (+2.75) | 1st (2.59) | 61 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection |
| 2 | FSA FC Pre | 2.40 (+2.40) | 2nd (2.22) | 53 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection |
| 3 | Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue | 2.00 (+2.00) | 4th (1.77) | 44 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 4 | East Coast Surf SC Pre | 2.00 (+2.00) | 5th (1.69) | 44 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 5 | East Meadow Soccer Club Pre | 1.80 (+1.80) | 3rd (1.80) | 40 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 6 | Scorpions SC PRE | 1.50 (+1.50) | 6th (1.58) | Win next game |
| 7 | Select Pre- Blue | 0.80 (+0.80) | 9th (0.90) | A point next game |
| 8 | SUSA FC Pre- l | 0.75 (+0.75) | 8th (1.08) | A point next game |
| 9 | AC Connecticut Pre- I | 0.75 (+0.75) | 10th (0.88) | A point next game |
| 10 | Manhattan SC Pre- Red | 0.75 (+0.75) | 11th (0.87) | A point next game |
| 11 | Connecticut FC United Pre I | 0.20 (+0.20) | 12th (0.59) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
1 chain · 4 teams
Paths of results that link FC Stars Pre- Blue to East Coast Surf SC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.08 · 6th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 02:30 PM |
East Coast Surf SC Pre 4th · 1-1-0 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
cedar creek park |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.87 | 0.44 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
Manhattan SC Pre- Red 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
Randall's Island |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–2 | 1.65 | 0.84 | Swing game |
| Thu Oct 29 07:15 PM |
Select Pre- Blue 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -8 |
Home FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
3–2 | 1.87 | 1.10 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 12:30 PM |
SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +26 |
Home FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–4 | 0.35 | 0.95 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 10:30 AM |
Connecticut FC United Pre I 11th · 0-1-4 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
CFC Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
3–2 | 1.90 | 1.11 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 12:30 PM |
Scorpions SC PRE 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +1 |
Home FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.21 | 1.12 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 12:30 PM |
Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.03 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 12:30 PM |
AC Connecticut Pre- I 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -6 |
Home FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.87 | 1.19 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 12:30 PM |
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–3 | 1.01 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 12:30 PM |
SUSA FC Pre- l 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–2 | 1.68 | 1.22 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +26 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–4 | 0.21 | 1.14 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Select Pre- Blue 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -8 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
3–2 | 1.51 | 1.17 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 10:30 AM |
Scorpions SC PRE 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away Taunton Forekicks |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
2–3 | 0.89 | 1.15 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- l 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
2–2 | 1.36 | 1.16 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 09:30 AM |
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
2–4 | 0.69 | 1.13 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
AC Connecticut Pre- I 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -6 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.55 | 1.16 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
2–3 | 0.72 | 1.13 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
East Coast Surf SC Pre 4th · 1-1-0 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.14 | 1.13 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Manhattan SC Pre- Red 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -9 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
3–2 | 1.98 | 1.17 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Connecticut FC United Pre I 11th · 0-1-4 · GD -17 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
4–2 | 2.23 | 1.23 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
FSA FC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
2–3 | 0.69 | 1.20 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 7 | +26 | 22 | 2.75 | WWWWW | -0.27 | -0.26 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 7 at AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sun Nov 8 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FSA FC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | +0.15 | -0.29 | 98% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | -0.38 | -0.07 | 62% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at FSA FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Connecticut FC United Pre I See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | East Coast Surf SC Pre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | WD | +0.69 | -0.16 | 44% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs Scorpions SC PRE See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | East Meadow Soccer Club Pre | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | +0.29 | -0.24 | 65% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC Pre- l · Sat Nov 7 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Scorpions SC PRE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.34 | -0.11 | 27% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Select Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Sun Oct 25 at East Coast Surf SC Pre See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Select Pre- Blue | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 4 | 0.80 | LDLWL | -0.03 | +0.07 | 0% | 9.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Scorpions SC PRE · Sat Oct 24 vs SUSA FC Pre- l · Thu Oct 29 at FC Stars Pre- Blue See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SUSA FC Pre- l | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +0.51 | -0.14 | 1% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Select Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | AC Connecticut Pre- I | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | -0.38 | +0.10 | 0% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Connecticut FC United Pre I · Sun Oct 25 at FSA FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Manhattan SC Pre- Red | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.23 | +0.01 | 0% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Scorpions SC PRE · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 31 at East Coast Surf SC Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Connecticut FC United Pre I | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 1 | 0.20 | LDLLL | +0.29 | +0.05 | 0% | 11.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sun Oct 25 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FC Stars Pre- Blue | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.38 | -0.08 | 3% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Coast Surf SC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Thu Oct 29 vs Select Pre- Blue See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.