TableChase Clubs

East Meadow Soccer Club Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU12 · 12 teams · East Meadow Soccer Club (all teams)

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4th
3-0-2 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+6 goal diff · 19–13
WWLWLlast 5
68% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.0
+0.28 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:20 AM

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East Meadow Soccer Club Pre
4th · 1.80 PPG
at
SUSA FC Pre- l
8th · 1.20 PPG

The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex, field 4B ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.9 against · 1.83 expected points)

Season so farEast Meadow Soccer Club PreSUSA FC Pre- l
Position4th8th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-22-0-3
Points per game1.801.20
Goals for / game3.81.2
Goals against / game2.62.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L W L W WW W L L L
Biggest win6–1 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I3–1 vs Connecticut FC United Pre I
Worst loss2–7 vs FSA FC Pre1–4 at SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.69-0.44
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.28+0.07

Common opponents: Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue — we 4–1; they 1–3. SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY — we 1–3; they 1–4. Connecticut FC United Pre I — we 6–1; they 3–1. FSA FC Pre — we 2–7; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 55% / draw 18% / loss 27%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:20 AM at The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    East Coast Surf SC Pre sit 3rd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.

    A win moves us above East Coast Surf SC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SUSA FC Pre- l game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (East Meadow Soccer Club Pre – SUSA FC Pre- l) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG		 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG		 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Draw
1.67 PPG		 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 3
Loss
1.50 PPG		 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
68% top 4
32% below the top 4
4.0 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 36%
  4. 4th 26%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 2.75 (+0.95) 1st (2.57) 52 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 FSA FC Pre 2.50 (+0.70) 2nd (2.26) 46 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 East Coast Surf SC Pre 2.00 (+0.20) 4th (1.70) Win next game

How the results connect

15 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link East Meadow Soccer Club Pre to SUSA FC Pre- l through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
1 even
4 favour them
+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 4–1 2–7 2–0 6–1 1–3 4–1 3–1 2–10 4–0 0–1 1–0 5–2 3–0 6–1 3–4 3–3 East Meadow Soccer … 4th SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 1st FSA FC Pre 2nd Connecticut FC Unit… 11th Oakwood Soccer Club… 5th AC Connecticut Pre-… 7th Select Pre- Blue 10th SUSA FC Pre- l 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.22 · 11th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
10:20 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- l
8th · 2-0-3 · GD -4		 Away far trip
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 2–1 1.83 1.81 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
10:30 AM		 East Coast Surf SC Pre
3rd · 1-1-0 · GD +1		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 2–1 1.62 1.78 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
11:30 AM		 Manhattan SC Pre- Red
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -9		 Away far trip
College of Mt. St. Vincent		 ●●○○○ Lean win
69%		 3–2 2.21 1.83 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
TBD		 Select Pre- Blue
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -9		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 3–2 2.16 1.87 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
12:30 PM		 FC Stars Pre- Blue
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3		 Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 3–2 1.86 1.87 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
03:00 PM		 Scorpions SC PRE
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +1		 Away far trip
Walpole Soccer Complex · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.45 1.83 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
TBD		 AC Connecticut Pre- I
7th · 2-0-3 · GD -2		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 3–2 1.80 1.83 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
09:30 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- l
8th · 2-0-3 · GD -4		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 3–1 2.12 1.85 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
09:30 AM		 Scorpions SC PRE
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +1		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 3–2 1.80 1.85 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
09:30 AM		 FC Stars Pre- Blue
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●○○○ Lean win
69%		 4–2 2.19 1.87 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
10:00 AM		 FSA FC Pre
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +11		 Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.82 1.80 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Connecticut FC United Pre I
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -21		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 5–2 2.56 1.85 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +26		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–4 0.44 1.77 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 East Coast Surf SC Pre
3rd · 1-1-0 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
37%		 2–2 1.31 1.75 Upside
Sun May 2
09:30 AM		 Manhattan SC Pre- Red
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -9		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 4–1 2.48 1.78 Bank it
Sun May 16
09:30 AM		 Select Pre- Blue
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -9		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams		 ●○○○○ Favorable
78%		 4–1 2.43 1.81 Bank it
Sun May 23
TBD		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue
5th · 2-0-2 · GD +3		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%		 2–2 1.26 1.79 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 8710 337+26 222.75 WWWWW -0.29 -0.22 100% 1.1
2 FSA FC Pre 6501 209+11 152.50 LWWWW +0.23 -0.32 99% 2.0
3 East Coast Surf SC Pre 2110 21+1 42.00 WD +0.94 -0.17 51% 4.6
4 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 5302 1913+6 91.80 WWLWL +0.28 -0.22 68% 4.0
5 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 4202 107+3 61.50 WLWL +0.13 -0.13 51% 4.6
6 Scorpions SC PRE 2101 54+1 31.50 WL +0.18 -0.07 26% 5.6
7 AC Connecticut Pre- I 5203 1012-2 61.20 LLLWW -0.78 +0.19 1% 8.1
8 SUSA FC Pre- l 5203 610-4 61.20 LLLWW +0.07 -0.05 2% 8.0
9 Manhattan SC Pre- Red 4103 615-9 30.75 WLLL +0.33 +0.01 0% 9.8
10 Select Pre- Blue 6114 1120-9 40.67 DLWLL -0.06 +0.11 0% 10.3
11 Connecticut FC United Pre I 6015 1031-21 10.17 DLLLL +0.17 +0.14 0% 11.8
12 FC Stars Pre- Blue 1001 25-3 00.00 L +1.34 -0.06 3% 7.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.