TableChase Clubs

Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- GMA BU12 · 11 teams · Cap City Athletic 1847 (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
6th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
-2 goal diff · 11–13
LWLWlast 4
13% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.5
+0.35 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 12:00 PM

Open the match preview →

Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre
6th · 1.50 PPG
vs
Detroit City FC West Pre
7th · 1.50 PPG

East Lansing Soccer Complex, Field N5 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.7 for, 2.7 against · 1.86 expected points)

Season so farCap City Athletic 1847 PreDetroit City FC West Pre
Position6th7th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-22-0-2
Points per game1.501.50
Goals for / game2.82.8
Goals against / game3.33.8
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W L W LL W L W
Biggest win6–3 vs TKO Premier SC Pre5–2 vs Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE
Worst loss0–6 vs Michigan Rangers FC Pre2–9 vs Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL BLUE
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.28-0.85
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.35+1.13

Common opponents: Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL BLUE — we 1–2; they 2–9.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 vs Michigan Rangers FC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 57% / draw 15% / loss 28%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Detroit City FC West Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre – Detroit City FC West Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.80 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Win
1.80 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
1.40 PPG		 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1
Loss
1.20 PPG		 8th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
13% top 4
88% below the top 4
6.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 10%
  5. 5th 13%
  6. 6th 30%
  7. 7th 19%
  8. 8th 11%
  9. 9th 14%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.33 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL BLUE 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.84) 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- Blue 3.00 (+1.50) 2nd (2.69) 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL BLUE 2.40 (+0.90) 3rd (2.18) 16 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
4 Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL Blue 2.29 (+0.79) 5th (1.79) 15 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
5 TKO Premier SC Pre 2.00 (+0.50) 4th (1.95) 12 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre to Detroit City FC West Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
2 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 9–2 4–2 2–4 2–1 0–6 3–4 0–7 6–3 0–4 Cap City Athletic 1… 6th Nationals SC-Macomb… 1st Nationals SC Capita… 10th Michigan Rangers FC… 8th TKO Premier SC Pre 5th Nationals SC-Macomb… 4th Detroit City FC Wes… 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 16 Sep 19 Oct 2 Oct 10 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.19 · 7th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
12:00 PM		 Detroit City FC West Pre
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -4		 Home
East Lansing Soccer Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 3–2 1.86 1.57 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 PM		 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO Pre- GMA
 Home
East Lansing Soccer Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 3–2 1.46 1.55 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 PM		 Nationals SC Genesee Pre- BLUE
 Home
East Lansing Soccer Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 3–2 1.46 1.54 Swing game
Sun May 16
11:00 AM		 Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL Blue
4th · 5-1-1 · GD +0		 Away far trip
Premier Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.18 1.50 Upside
Sun May 30
12:00 PM		 Liverpool FC-IA MI Ann Arbor Pre
 Home
East Lansing Soccer Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 3–2 1.46 1.49 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL BLUE 6600 306+24 183.00 WWWWW -0.03 -0.45 100% 1.3
2 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- Blue 1100 80+8 33.00 W -0.12 -0.85 87% 2.4
3 Nationals SC-Oakland PreECNL BLUE 5401 2111+10 122.40 WWLW +0.72 -0.58 88% 3.3
4 Nationals SC-Macomb PreECNL Blue 7511 1515+0 162.29 WWDWW -0.28 +0.60 41% 4.8
5 TKO Premier SC Pre 6402 2114+7 122.00 WLWWL +0.15 -0.12 67% 4.0
6 Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre 4202 1113-2 61.50 LWLW +0.35 -0.19 13% 6.5
7 Detroit City FC West Pre 4202 1115-4 61.50 WLWL +1.13 +0.29 4% 7.9
8 Michigan Rangers FC Pre 5212 1616+0 71.40 DLLWW +0.19 +0.35 1% 7.0
9 Portage SC Pre- Green 3021 45-1 20.67 DLD +0.86 -1.03 0% 8.4
10 Nationals SC Capital Area Pre 5104 916-7 30.60 LLLL -0.05 +0.28 0% 9.6
11 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY 4004 614-8 00.00 LLLL +0.23 +0.73 0% 10.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.89 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.