AHFC WEST STXCL

ECNL Regional League Girls · STXCL GU14 · 16 teams · Albion Hurricanes FC (all teams)

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4th

3-0-1 record · 4 played

2.25 points per game

+2 goal diff · 9–7

LWWWlast 4

36% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.4

-0.03 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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AHFC WEST STXCL
4th · 2.25 PPG

AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I
5th · 1.75 PPG

Dyess Park, Field 2 ↗

28% 23% 49%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.8 against · 1.08 expected points)

Season so far	AHFC WEST STXCL	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I
Position	4th	5th
Record (W-D-L)	3-0-1	2-1-1
Points per game	2.25	1.75
Goals for / game	2.3	2.0
Goals against / game	1.8	0.5
Clean sheets	1	2
Held scoreless	1	1
Form (recent first)	W W W L	D W L W
Biggest win	4–1 at SG1 STXCL	6–0 at Sting CC STXCL Martinez
Worst loss	0–4 vs LTFC STXCL	0–1 vs Lonestar SAT STXCL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.32	+0.77
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.03	-0.25

Game plan

Respect their attack
AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I score 2.0/game — well above the league's 1.4.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I concede only 0.5/game with 2 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs LTFC STXCL.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 28%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
What a win does
AHFC EAST STXCL sit 3rd on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.25.
A point moves us above AHFC EAST STXCL on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (AHFC WEST STXCL – AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 2.00 PPG	4th— holds	4th— holds	4th— holds
Win 2.40 PPG	2nd▲ up 2	4th— holds	4th— holds
Draw 2.00 PPG	4th— holds	4th— holds	4th— holds
Loss 1.80 PPG	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1	6th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st

36% top 4

64% below the top 4

5.4 average finish

1st 3%
2nd 9%
3rd 10%
4th 14%
5th 18%
6th 14%
7th 11%
8th 9%
9th 6%
10th 3%
11th 2%
12th 1%
13th <1%
14th <1%
15th
16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Imperial SC STXCL	3.00 (+0.75)	1st (2.20)	36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
2	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red	2.33 (+0.08)	2nd (2.11)	A point next game
3	AHFC EAST STXCL	2.25 (+0.00)	3rd (1.88)	A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link AHFC WEST STXCL to AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

1 favour them

+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 11th hardest of 16

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 08:00 AM	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I 5th · 2-1-1 · GD +6	Home Dyess Park	●●●●○ Tough	28%	1–1	1.08	2.02	Upside
Sun Nov 8 10:00 AM	Challenge STXCL 11th · 2-0-3 · GD -1	Home Dyess Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	58%	2–1	1.92	2.00	Swing game
Sat Nov 14 10:00 AM	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 13th · 1-1-4 · GD -6	Home Dyess Park	●●○○○ Lean win	63%	2–0	2.11	2.02	Swing game
Sun Nov 15 04:00 PM	Lonestar SAT STXCL 8th · 3-0-3 · GD -9	Home Dyess Park	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	2–1	2.36	2.06	Bank it
Sat Nov 21 04:00 PM	Sting CC STXCL Martinez 9th · 2-1-2 · GD -3	Away far trip Classics Elite Soccer Complex	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	2–1	1.72	2.02	Swing game
Sun Nov 22 12:00 PM	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red 2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +7	Away far trip Classics Elite Soccer Complex	●●●●● Very tough	21%	1–2	0.83	1.90	Upside
Sun Feb 21 12:00 PM	Imperial SC STXCL 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +9	Home Dyess Park	●●●●○ Tough	29%	1–2	1.06	1.82	Upside
Sat Feb 27 03:00 PM	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold 16th · 0-0-4 · GD -7	Away far trip Town & Country	●●○○○ Lean win	66%	2–1	2.16	1.85	Swing game
Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM	AHFC NW STXCL 7th · 2-4-0 · GD +3	Away Dyess Park	●●●●○ Tough	29%	1–1	1.14	1.80	Upside
Sun Apr 18 04:00 PM	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II 15th · 0-1-4 · GD -5	Away Dyess Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	58%	1–0	1.96	1.81	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 02:00 PM	AHFC EAST STXCL 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3	Away Dyess Park	●●●●○ Tough	27%	1–1	1.05	1.76	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Imperial SC STXCL

3.00

WWWW

-0.40

+0.05

92%

2.1

W	Sun Sep 20	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	6–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	4–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AHFC NW STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs Sting CC STXCL Martinez · Sun Nov 15 vs Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	1–1	48%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	2–0	79%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	LTFC STXCL (12th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	1–0	51%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Challenge STXCL (11th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	SG1 STXCL (14th)	3–1	79%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red

2.33

WWDWW

-0.12

-0.01

88%

2.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	3–0
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	1–0
D	Sat Sep 12	at	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LTFC STXCL · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at SG1 STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LTFC STXCL (12th)	1–0	58%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	1–0	51%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	SG1 STXCL (14th)	2–0	71%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Challenge STXCL (11th)	2–0	66%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	2–0	72%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	1–1	37%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AHFC EAST STXCL

2.25

WLWW

+0.12

-0.08

56%

4.4

W	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	LTFC STXCL (12th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II · Sat Nov 7 vs SG1 STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs Lonestar ATX STXCL White See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	1–0	62%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	SG1 STXCL (14th)	1–0	69%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	1–0	71%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–0	53%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	1–0	63%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Challenge STXCL (11th)	1–0	49%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–1	26%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–0	37%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	1–1	49%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AHFC WEST STXCL

2.25

LWWW

-0.03

-0.02

36%

5.4

W	Sat Oct 17	at	SG1 STXCL (14th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	LTFC STXCL (12th)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I · Sun Nov 8 vs Challenge STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	1–1	28%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Challenge STXCL (11th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	2–0	63%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	2–1	74%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	1–1	29%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	1–0	58%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	1–1	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I

1.75

WLWD

-0.25

+0.03

57%

4.4

D	Sun Sep 20	at	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	6–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at AHFC WEST STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs LTFC STXCL · Sun Nov 15 vs FC Westlake STXCL See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	LTFC STXCL (12th)	1–0	58%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	1–0	51%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	2–0	73%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–0	37%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Challenge STXCL (11th)	2–0	66%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	1–0	44%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	SG1 STXCL (14th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	1–0	64%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX STXCL White

1.67

WLDWW

-0.20

+0.02

45%

5.0

W	Fri Oct 23	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	4–0
D	Sun Sep 27	at	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 13	at	SG1 STXCL (14th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	3–4

Next: Sat Nov 7 at Sting CC STXCL Martinez · Sat Nov 14 at AHFC EAST STXCL · Sun Nov 15 at AHFC NW STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	1–1	39%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	2–0	74%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Challenge STXCL (11th)	2–1	69%
·	Fri Apr 16	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	3–0	83%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	LTFC STXCL (12th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	1–1	38%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AHFC NW STXCL

1.67

DDDWW

-0.07

+0.02

17%

6.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Challenge STXCL (11th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	1–0
D	Sun Sep 20	at	LTFC STXCL (12th)	0–0
D	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	0–0
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	2–2
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Imperial SC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 15 vs Lonestar ATX STXCL White See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	1–0	66%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	1–0	58%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–0	48%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	SG1 STXCL (14th)	1–0	57%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–0	29%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	0–0	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar SAT STXCL

-9

1.50

WWLLL

+0.35

-0.11

11.2

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–6
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	SG1 STXCL (14th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	1–0

Next: Sat Nov 14 at Challenge STXCL · Sun Nov 15 at AHFC WEST STXCL · Sat Nov 21 vs AHFC NW STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Challenge STXCL (11th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–1	16%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	0–1	23%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	0–1	14%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	LTFC STXCL (12th)	0–2	15%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting CC STXCL Martinez

-3

1.40

LDLWW

-0.06

+0.05

9.8

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–6
D	Sun Sep 13	at	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LTFC STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Nov 7 vs Lonestar ATX STXCL White See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	LTFC STXCL (12th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	SG1 STXCL (14th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Challenge STXCL (11th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	0–2	12%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	1–1	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Westlake STXCL

-1

1.33

LDLDW

+0.30

-0.18

8.8

W	Sat Oct 17	at	LTFC STXCL (12th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	0–1
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Challenge STXCL (11th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 8 at Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red · Sat Nov 14 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	1–0	53%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	0–1	16%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	0–0	39%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–1	17%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	1–0	46%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	0–0	43%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	SG1 STXCL (14th)	1–0	52%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	0–1	23%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	1–1	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Challenge STXCL

-1

1.20

LLWWL

-0.28

+0.18

10.9

L	Sat Oct 17	at	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	SG1 STXCL (14th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	3–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	LTFC STXCL (12th)	3–4
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	0–1

Next: Sun Nov 8 at AHFC WEST STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs Lonestar SAT STXCL · Sun Nov 15 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 8	at	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–0	50%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	0–2	14%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	1–2	36%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	0–1	24%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–2	14%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	1–0	44%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–2	19%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LTFC STXCL

1.17

WLDLL

+0.03

-0.03

8.6

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	0–1
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	0–2
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Challenge STXCL (11th)	4–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting CC STXCL Martinez · Sun Oct 25 at Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red · Sun Nov 1 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	0–1	18%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	2–0	68%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–1	19%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	1–0	51%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	SG1 STXCL (14th)	2–0	66%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	2–0	67%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold

-6

0.67

DLWLL

+0.52

-0.26

12.5

L	Fri Oct 23	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	LTFC STXCL (12th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 13	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–1

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Sting CC STXCL Martinez · Sat Nov 14 at AHFC WEST STXCL · Sun Nov 15 at Challenge STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	0–2	16%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Challenge STXCL (11th)	0–1	24%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–1	18%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	0–1	17%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	0–0	20%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	SG1 STXCL (14th)	1–0	43%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	1–1	36%
·	Fri Apr 23	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	1–0	44%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SG1 STXCL

-7

0.60

WLLLL

-0.17

+0.19

14.3

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Challenge STXCL (11th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	2–1

Next: Sat Nov 7 at AHFC EAST STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red · Sun Nov 15 vs Sting CC STXCL Martinez See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	at	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	0–1	10%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	0–2	10%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–1	16%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	0–1	30%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	0–1	28%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	0–1	18%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	LTFC STXCL (12th)	0–2	15%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–2	10%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	1–3	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II

-5

0.20

LDLLL

-0.14

+0.15

14.4

L	Sat Sep 26	at	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at AHFC EAST STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sun Nov 15 vs LTFC STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	0–1	12%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	0–0	22%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	LTFC STXCL (12th)	0–1	22%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (16th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	0–2	9%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	SG1 STXCL (14th)	1–0	40%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Challenge STXCL (11th)	0–1	28%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	0–1	20%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–1	12%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold

-7

0.00

LLLL

-0.11

+0.13

15.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Sting CC STXCL Martinez (9th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Challenge STXCL (11th)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Imperial SC STXCL (1st)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	SG1 STXCL (14th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at FC Westlake STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at LTFC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at AHFC NW STXCL See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Westlake STXCL (10th)	0–1	17%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	LTFC STXCL (12th)	0–2	14%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	AHFC NW STXCL (7th)	0–1	11%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	AHFC EAST STXCL (3rd)	0–1	10%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL II (15th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (5th)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	AHFC WEST STXCL (4th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (8th)	1–1	40%
·	Fri Apr 16	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (6th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Boerne Soccer Club - STXCL Red (2nd)	0–2	10%
·	Fri Apr 23	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (13th)	0–1	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.37 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.