TableChase Clubs

Legends FC - Del Mar

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU17 · 17 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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13th
0-3-3 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-6 goal diff · 6–12
LLDDDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.9
-0.52 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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Legends FC - Del Mar
13th · 0.50 PPG
at
Pateadores Soccer Club
9th · 1.20 PPG

Laguna Hills High School, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 for, 1.9 against · 0.89 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC - Del MarPateadores Soccer Club
Position13th9th
Record (W-D-L)0-3-32-0-3
Points per game0.501.20
Goals for / game1.01.4
Goals against / game2.02.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)D D D L LL W L W L
Biggest win—2–0 vs Eagles SC
Worst loss0–2 vs Rebels SC1–4 at Slammers FC HB Koge
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.80-0.22
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.52+0.66

Common opponents: SLAMMERS FC — we 1–3; they 2–1. Eagles SC — we 1–1; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs Rebels SC, 0–0 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ RL.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 22%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Laguna Hills High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pateadores Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC - Del Mar – Pateadores Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.57 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 15th▼ down 2
Win
0.86 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 14th▼ down 1
Draw
0.57 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 15th▼ down 2
Loss
0.43 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 15th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 13th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 4%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 16%
  15. 15th 28%
  16. 16th 30%
  17. 17th 10%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.06 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+2.50) 1st (2.47) 45 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 LAFC 2.60 (+2.10) 2nd (2.24) 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Blues 2.33 (+1.83) 5th (2.04) 35 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
4 LA Breakers 2.25 (+1.75) 4th (2.05) 33 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Legends FC 2.17 (+1.67) 3rd (2.22) 32 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 SLAMMERS FC 2.00 (+1.50) 6th (1.70) 29 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7 Rebels SC 1.50 (+1.00) 7th (1.35) 21 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
8 San Diego Surf 1.40 (+0.90) 11th (1.15) 20 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
9 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.20 (+0.70) 8th (1.34) 17 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
10 Beach Futbol Club Gold 1.00 (+0.50) 9th (1.34) 13 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
11 LV Heat Surf 1.00 (+0.50) 12th (1.15) 13 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
12 Phoenix Rising FC 1.00 (+0.50) 10th (1.16) 13 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection

How the results connect

8 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC - Del Mar to Pateadores Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
8 favour them
-2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–2 1–3 1–2 0–0 2–2 3–5 1–4 4–1 0–4 2–1 1–1 1–5 0–2 0–4 1–5 Legends FC - Del Mar 13th Eagles SC 16th SLAMMERS FC 6th Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 14th San Diego Surf 8th Phoenix Rising FC 12th Rebels SC 7th Slammers FC HB Koge 1st LAFC 2nd Pateadores Soccer C… 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.34 · 1st hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Pateadores Soccer Club
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Laguna Hills High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–1 0.89 0.56 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club Gold
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -3
Home
Miramesa High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.14 0.63 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
LA Breakers
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +6
Home
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.57 0.62 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
LV Heat Surf
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%
0–1 1.09 0.67 Upside
Sun Apr 4
09:00 AM
Blues
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +7
Away far trip
Tesoro High School - Stadium · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.39 0.64 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
LAFC
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +13
Away
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.27 0.61 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
15th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.02 0.64 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Legends FC
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +19
Home
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.28 0.62 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
Sporting California USA
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -18
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.86 0.70 Swing game
Sun May 23
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +16
Away
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.25 0.67 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 6600 193+16 183.00 WWWWW -0.47 +0.11 98% 1.8
2 LAFC 5410 174+13 132.60 DWWWW -0.47 +0.05 85% 2.9
3 Blues 3210 81+7 72.33 WDW -0.34 -0.03 57% 4.1
4 LA Breakers 4301 93+6 92.25 WWWL +0.21 -0.17 59% 4.1
5 Legends FC 6411 245+19 132.17 DLWWW -0.61 +0.11 89% 2.8
6 SLAMMERS FC 5311 95+4 102.00 DWWLW -0.45 +0.13 9% 6.3
7 Rebels SC 4202 69-3 61.50 WLLW +0.38 -0.13 0% 9.1
8 San Diego Surf 5212 1419-5 71.40 LWWDL -0.18 +0.12 0% 11.0
9 Pateadores Soccer Club 5203 710-3 61.20 LWLWL +0.66 -0.31 1% 9.0
10 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4112 36-3 41.00 DLWL +1.16 -0.42 1% 9.1
11 LV Heat Surf 3102 14-3 31.00 WLL +0.60 -0.13 0% 10.8
12 Phoenix Rising FC 6132 1318-5 61.00 WDDLL +0.17 -0.07 0% 10.7
13 Legends FC - Del Mar 6033 612-6 30.50 LLDDD -0.52 +0.34 0% 14.9
14 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 5023 49-5 20.40 DLLLD -0.34 +0.17 0% 14.0
15 Arizona Arsenal 3012 37-4 10.33 DLL +0.71 -0.15 0% 11.3
16 Eagles SC 4013 212-10 10.25 LLLD +0.54 -0.14 0% 14.6
17 Sporting California USA 4004 220-18 00.00 LLLL +0.96 -0.16 0% 16.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.