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Eagles SC

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU17 · 17 teams · Eagles SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 37 minutes ago.
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16th
0-1-3 record · 4 played
0.25 points per game
-10 goal diff · 2–12
LLLDlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.7
+0.54 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:00 PM

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Eagles SC
16th · 0.25 PPG
vs
Phoenix Rising FC
12th · 1.00 PPG

Pleasant Valley Fields, Field 19 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 for, 2.4 against · 0.98 expected points)

Season so farEagles SCPhoenix Rising FC
Position16th12th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-31-3-2
Points per game0.251.00
Goals for / game0.52.2
Goals against / game3.03.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)D L L LL L D D W
Biggest win—3–2 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ RL
Worst loss1–5 at Legends FC1–5 at LAFC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.16-0.47
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.54+0.17

Common opponents: Legends FC — we 1–5; they 1–3. LAFC — we 0–4; they 1–5. Legends FC - Del Mar — we 1–1; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Phoenix Rising FC concede 3.0/game; worst result 1–5 at LAFC.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Pateadores Soccer Club, 0–4 at LAFC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 26%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Arizona Arsenal sit 15th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.25.

    A point moves us above Arizona Arsenal on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Phoenix Rising FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eagles SC – Phoenix Rising FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.20 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
0.80 PPG		 13th▲ up 3 12th▲ up 4 14th▲ up 2
Draw
0.40 PPG		 15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1
Loss
0.20 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th 5%
  13. 13th 9%
  14. 14th 17%
  15. 15th 22%
  16. 16th 27%
  17. 17th 13%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.31 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+2.75) 1st (2.47) 47 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 LAFC 2.60 (+2.35) 2nd (2.24) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 Blues 2.33 (+2.08) 5th (2.04) 37 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
4 LA Breakers 2.25 (+2.00) 4th (2.05) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 Legends FC 2.17 (+1.92) 3rd (2.22) 34 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
6 SLAMMERS FC 2.00 (+1.75) 6th (1.70) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
7 Rebels SC 1.50 (+1.25) 7th (1.35) 23 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
8 San Diego Surf 1.40 (+1.15) 11th (1.15) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
9 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.20 (+0.95) 8th (1.34) 19 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
10 Beach Futbol Club Gold 1.00 (+0.75) 9th (1.34) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
11 LV Heat Surf 1.00 (+0.75) 12th (1.15) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
12 Phoenix Rising FC 1.00 (+0.75) 10th (1.16) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
13 Legends FC - Del Mar 0.50 (+0.25) 16th (0.67) A point next game
14 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 0.40 (+0.15) 14th (0.78) A point next game
15 Arizona Arsenal 0.33 (+0.08) 13th (1.10) Already ahead

How the results connect

6 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Eagles SC to Phoenix Rising FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 even
3 favour them
-0.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 1–1 0–4 5–1 1–5 3–1 0–0 2–3 0–2 1–2 3–5 4–4 Eagles SC 16th Legends FC - Del Mar 13th LAFC 2nd Legends FC 5th Pateadores Soccer C… 9th Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 14th San Diego Surf 8th Phoenix Rising FC 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.14 · 12th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 17
03:00 PM
no score posted		 San Diego Surf
8th · 2-1-2 · GD -5		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–3 0.74 0.35 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM		 Phoenix Rising FC
12th · 1-3-2 · GD -5		 Home
Pleasant Valley Fields		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.98 0.45 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM		 Sporting California USA
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -18		 Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 1–1 1.68 0.63 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
TBD		 Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +16		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–3 0.25 0.58 Upside
Sun Nov 22
TBD		 SLAMMERS FC
6th · 3-1-1 · GD +4		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
15%		 0–2 0.64 0.59 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Gold
10th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
24%		 0–1 0.98 0.63 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Arizona Arsenal
15th · 0-1-2 · GD -4		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–2 0.84 0.65 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 LA Breakers
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +6		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.43 0.63 Upside
Sat Apr 24
01:00 PM		 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL
14th · 0-2-3 · GD -5		 Away far trip
Bell Road Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–1 1.03 0.66 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 LV Heat Surf
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -3		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–1 1.14 0.69 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Rebels SC
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -3		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–2 0.98 0.71 Upside
Sun May 23
TBD		 Blues
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +7		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 0–2 0.40 0.69 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 6600 193+16 183.00 WWWWW -0.47 +0.11 97% 1.8
2 LAFC 5410 174+13 132.60 DWWWW -0.47 +0.05 86% 2.9
3 Blues 3210 81+7 72.33 WDW -0.34 -0.03 58% 4.1
4 LA Breakers 4301 93+6 92.25 WWWL +0.21 -0.17 57% 4.2
5 Legends FC 6411 245+19 132.17 DLWWW -0.61 +0.11 88% 2.8
6 SLAMMERS FC 5311 95+4 102.00 DWWLW -0.45 +0.13 11% 6.2
7 Rebels SC 4202 69-3 61.50 WLLW +0.38 -0.13 1% 9.1
8 San Diego Surf 5212 1419-5 71.40 LWWDL -0.18 +0.12 0% 11.0
9 Pateadores Soccer Club 5203 710-3 61.20 LWLWL +0.66 -0.31 0% 9.0
10 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4112 36-3 41.00 DLWL +1.16 -0.42 1% 9.1
11 LV Heat Surf 3102 14-3 31.00 WLL +0.60 -0.13 0% 10.9
12 Phoenix Rising FC 6132 1318-5 61.00 WDDLL +0.17 -0.07 0% 10.7
13 Legends FC - Del Mar 6033 612-6 30.50 LLDDD -0.52 +0.34 0% 14.9
14 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 5023 49-5 20.40 DLLLD -0.34 +0.17 0% 14.0
15 Arizona Arsenal 3012 37-4 10.33 DLL +0.71 -0.15 0% 11.2
16 Eagles SC 4013 212-10 10.25 LLLD +0.54 -0.14 0% 14.7
17 Sporting California USA 4004 220-18 00.00 LLLL +0.96 -0.16 0% 16.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.