Result · Sunday, Oct 11, 01:00 PM

San Diego Surf 4–4 Phoenix Rising FC

Final

San Diego Surf
8th · 1.40 PPG · home

4–4

Phoenix Rising FC
12th · 1.00 PPG · away

By today's ratings the model gave this result a 16% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 45% home, 16% draw, 39% away, most likely 3–3.

Season so far	San Diego Surf	Phoenix Rising FC
Position	8th	12th
Record (W-D-L)	2-1-2	1-3-2
Points per game	1.40	1.00
Goals for / game	2.8	2.2
Goals against / game	3.8	3.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	1	0
Form (recent first)	L D W W L	L L D D W
Biggest win	5–3 at Legends FC - Del Mar	3–2 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ RL
Worst loss	0–6 at Blues	1–5 at LAFC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.76	-0.47
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.18	+0.17

Already met this season: Oct 11 4–4 (home for San Diego Surf)

Common opponents: Legends FC - Del Mar — San Diego Surf 5–3; Phoenix Rising FC 1–1.

6 chains

2 favour San Diego Surf, 3 favour Phoenix Rising FC, 1 even; average margin -1.7 goals toward San Diego Surf.

0San Diego Surf drew with Phoenix Rising FC 4–4
+2San Diego Surf beat Legends FC - Del Mar 5–3 → Legends FC - Del Mar drew with Phoenix Rising FC 1–1
+1San Diego Surf beat Legends FC - Del Mar 5–3 → Legends FC - Del Mar drew with Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 0–0 → Utah Royals FC-AZ RL lost to Phoenix Rising FC 2–3
-2San Diego Surf lost to Slammers FC HB Koge 1–4 → Slammers FC HB Koge beat Arizona Arsenal 1–0 → Arizona Arsenal drew with Phoenix Rising FC 3–3
-4San Diego Surf lost to Blues 0–6 → Blues drew with Legends FC 1–1 → Legends FC beat Phoenix Rising FC 3–1
-7San Diego Surf beat Sporting California USA 4–2 → Sporting California USA lost to Legends FC 0–11 → Legends FC beat Phoenix Rising FC 3–1