TableChase Clubs

Sting Royal NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU15 · 22 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)

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11th
4-1-3 record · 8 played
1.63 points per game
+6 goal diff · 17–11
LWLLWlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.9
-0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:50 AM

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Sting Royal NTX
11th · 1.63 PPG
vs

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 15 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.4 against · 0.63 expected points)

Season so farSting Royal NTXFC Dallas Youth Red NTX
Position11th7th
Record (W-D-L)4-1-34-2-1
Points per game1.632.00
Goals for / game2.13.9
Goals against / game1.40.3
Clean sheets45
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W L L W LW W W W D
Biggest win7–0 at Kernow Storm FC NTX12–0 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX
Worst loss2–6 vs FRISCO FUSION NTX0–1 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.53+2.18
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.06-1.13

Common opponents: NTX Celtic FC NTX — we 1–1; they 0–0. Fever United FC NTX — we 2–0; they 5–0. DKSC NTX — we 2–0; they 6–0. SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 1–0; they 0–1. Kernow Storm FC NTX — we 7–0; they 12–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FC Dallas Youth Red NTX score 3.9/game — well above the league's 2.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas Youth Red NTX concede only 0.3/game with 5 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    FC Dallas Youth Red NTX have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:50 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Red NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Royal NTX – FC Dallas Youth Red NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.44 PPG
11th— holds 13th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 2
Win
1.78 PPG
10th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 2 12th▼ down 1
Draw
1.56 PPG
11th— holds 13th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 2
Loss
1.44 PPG
11th— holds 13th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
9.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 11%
  9. 9th 19%
  10. 10th 20%
  11. 11th 19%
  12. 12th 13%
  13. 13th 5%
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+1.37) 1st (2.79) 32 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FRISCO FUSION NTX 2.57 (+0.94) 2nd (2.28) 26 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Sting Brave NTX 2.57 (+0.94) 6th (2.17) 26 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
4 Nido Dallas NTX 2.50 (+0.87) 3rd (2.25) 25 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
5 Sting Black NTX 2.43 (+0.80) 7th (2.00) 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
6 Sting WTX NTX 2.25 (+0.62) 5th (2.18) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
7 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.00 (+0.37) 4th (2.23) 17 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
8 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.00 (+0.37) 8th (1.74) 17 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
9 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 1.88 (+0.25) 12th (1.64) 16 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
10 SOLAR WHITE NTX 1.80 (+0.17) 11th (1.67) 14 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection

How the results connect

22 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Sting Royal NTX to FC Dallas Youth Red NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
1 even
9 favour them
-1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–0 1–0 1–0 2–0 0–5 2–0 0–6 7–0 0–12 0–1 2–0 0–1 0–1 1–1 2–7 3–0 0–3 4–2 1–5 Sting Royal NTX 11th NTX Celtic FC NTX 8th SOLAR WHITE NTX 10th Fever United FC NTX 16th DKSC NTX 17th Kernow Storm FC NTX 20th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 1st Sting Black NTX 5th NTX Celtic FC Green… 21st FC Dallas Youth Red… 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 11th 22nd Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 24 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.67 · 20th hardest of 22

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted
Nido Dallas NTX
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +12
Away
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.81 1.53 Upside
Sat Oct 24
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
7th · 4-2-1 · GD +25
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.63 1.44 Upside
Sat Oct 31
05:10 PM
NTX Celtic FC Green NTX
21st · 0-0-5 · GD -34
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
5–0 2.93 1.58 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
14th · 2-1-5 · GD -6
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.75 1.59 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
03:20 PM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
19th · 1-0-6 · GD -18
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.37 1.65 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
11:40 AM
DKSC WHITE NTX
22nd · 0-0-6 · GD -35
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
5–0 2.91 1.74 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
03:20 PM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
12th · 3-1-3 · GD +11
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.00 1.69 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8800 460+46 243.00 WWWWW -1.03 +0.43 100% 1.1
2 FRISCO FUSION NTX 7601 197+12 182.57 WWWWW -0.20 -0.51 62% 4.0
3 Sting Brave NTX 7601 133+10 182.57 WLWWW +0.33 +0.36 39% 5.2
4 Nido Dallas NTX 6501 175+12 152.50 WWWWW -0.08 -0.56 60% 4.2
5 Sting Black NTX 7520 278+19 172.43 WWDWW -1.21 +0.68 18% 6.7
6 Sting WTX NTX 8602 293+26 182.25 LWWLW -0.35 +0.85 50% 4.7
7 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 7421 272+25 142.00 DWWWW -1.13 -0.27 66% 4.0
8 NTX Celtic FC NTX 7421 126+6 142.00 DWWWL +0.07 +0.32 2% 9.4
9 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 8503 1311+2 151.88 WLLLW +0.31 +0.38 1% 10.7
10 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5302 62+4 91.80 WWWLL -0.42 +0.05 1% 10.2
11 Sting Royal NTX 8413 1711+6 131.63 LWLLW -0.06 -0.67 1% 9.9
12 SOLAR BLUE NTX 7313 209+11 101.43 WWLDW -0.25 -0.43 1% 9.5
13 Dallas Texans Red NTX 5212 149+5 71.40 LWWDL -0.02 +0.51 0% 12.3
14 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 8215 814-6 70.88 WDWLL +0.79 -1.36 0% 13.6
15 Dallas Texans NTX 7205 716-9 60.86 LLLWW +0.15 -0.55 0% 14.9
16 Fever United FC NTX 8206 1132-21 60.75 LWLLL +0.60 +0.02 0% 17.2
17 DKSC NTX 7115 514-9 40.57 LLLDL -0.46 +1.00 0% 18.4
18 SOLAR RED NTX 8116 324-21 40.50 WLDLL +0.26 +0.86 0% 19.8
19 FC Dallas Youth NTX 7106 826-18 30.43 LLLLL +0.44 -0.66 0% 16.9
20 Kernow Storm FC NTX 8107 839-31 30.38 LLLLL +1.12 -1.09 0% 17.8
21 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 5005 034-34 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.43 0% 21.5
22 DKSC WHITE NTX 6006 237-35 00.00 LLLLL +0.83 -0.42 0% 20.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.