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FC Dallas Youth Red NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU15 · 22 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 17 minutes ago.
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7th
4-2-1 record · 7 played
2.00 points per game
+25 goal diff · 27–2
DWWWWlast 5
65% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.1
-1.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:50 AM

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FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
7th · 2.00 PPG
at
Sting Royal NTX
11th · 1.63 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 15 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 for, 1.0 against · 2.19 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Red NTXSting Royal NTX
Position7th11th
Record (W-D-L)4-2-14-1-3
Points per game2.001.63
Goals for / game3.92.1
Goals against / game0.31.4
Clean sheets54
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)W W W W DW L L W L
Biggest win12–0 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX7–0 at Kernow Storm FC NTX
Worst loss0–1 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX2–6 vs FRISCO FUSION NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.18+0.53
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.13-0.06

Common opponents: SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 0–1; they 1–0. NTX Celtic FC NTX — we 0–0; they 1–1. Fever United FC NTX — we 5–0; they 2–0. DKSC NTX — we 6–0; they 2–0. Kernow Storm FC NTX — we 12–0; they 7–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX, 0–0 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 67% / draw 18% / loss 15%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:50 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:50 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sting Royal NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Red NTX – Sting Royal NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.13 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Win
2.13 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Draw
1.88 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2
Loss
1.75 PPG
11th▼ down 4 10th▼ down 3 12th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
65% top 4
35% below the top 4
4.1 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 22%
  3. 3rd 23%
  4. 4th 19%
  5. 5th 13%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.79) 31 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FRISCO FUSION NTX 2.57 (+0.57) 2nd (2.28) 25 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
3 Sting Brave NTX 2.57 (+0.57) 6th (2.17) 25 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
4 Nido Dallas NTX 2.50 (+0.50) 3rd (2.25) 24 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
5 Sting Black NTX 2.43 (+0.43) 7th (2.00) 23 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
6 Sting WTX NTX 2.25 (+0.25) 5th (2.18) 20 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection

How the results connect

22 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Red NTX to Sting Royal NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
1 even
12 favour them
+1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 1–1 0–1 0–1 5–0 0–2 6–0 0–2 12–0 0–7 1–0 0–2 1–0 1–1 1–0 3–0 0–3 7–2 2–4 5–1 FC Dallas Youth Red… 7th NTX Celtic FC NTX 8th SOLAR WHITE NTX 10th Fever United FC NTX 16th DKSC NTX 17th Kernow Storm FC NTX 20th Sting Black NTX 5th NTX Celtic FC Green… 21st FC Dallas Youth Blu… 1st Sting Royal NTX 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 11th 22nd Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 24 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.27 · 12th hardest of 22

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:50 AM
Sting Royal NTX
11th · 4-1-3 · GD +6
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.19 2.02 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
07:00 PM
FRISCO FUSION NTX
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +12
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
1–1 1.85 2.00 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
09:50 AM
Nido Dallas NTX
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +12
Home
Railroad Park
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.02 2.01 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
19th · 1-0-6 · GD -18
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
5–0 2.92 2.09 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
14th · 2-1-5 · GD -6
Home
Railroad Park
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
2–0 2.63 2.13 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
08:00 AM
DKSC WHITE NTX
22nd · 0-0-6 · GD -35
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
6–0 2.98 2.20 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
03:20 PM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
12th · 3-1-3 · GD +11
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.24 2.20 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
03:20 PM
Dallas Texans NTX
15th · 2-0-5 · GD -9
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–0 2.66 2.23 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8800 460+46 243.00 WWWWW -1.03 +0.43 100% 1.1
2 FRISCO FUSION NTX 7601 197+12 182.57 WWWWW -0.20 -0.51 63% 4.0
3 Sting Brave NTX 7601 133+10 182.57 WLWWW +0.33 +0.36 41% 5.1
4 Nido Dallas NTX 6501 175+12 152.50 WWWWW -0.08 -0.56 59% 4.1
5 Sting Black NTX 7520 278+19 172.43 WWDWW -1.21 +0.68 17% 6.6
6 Sting WTX NTX 8602 293+26 182.25 LWWLW -0.35 +0.85 50% 4.7
7 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 7421 272+25 142.00 DWWWW -1.13 -0.27 65% 4.1
8 NTX Celtic FC NTX 7421 126+6 142.00 DWWWL +0.07 +0.32 2% 9.6
9 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 8503 1311+2 151.88 WLLLW +0.31 +0.38 0% 10.7
10 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5302 62+4 91.80 WWWLL -0.42 +0.05 1% 10.3
11 Sting Royal NTX 8413 1711+6 131.63 LWLLW -0.06 -0.67 1% 9.8
12 SOLAR BLUE NTX 7313 209+11 101.43 WWLDW -0.25 -0.43 1% 9.5
13 Dallas Texans Red NTX 5212 149+5 71.40 LWWDL -0.02 +0.51 0% 12.3
14 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 8215 814-6 70.88 WDWLL +0.79 -1.36 0% 13.6
15 Dallas Texans NTX 7205 716-9 60.86 LLLWW +0.15 -0.55 0% 14.9
16 Fever United FC NTX 8206 1132-21 60.75 LWLLL +0.60 +0.02 0% 17.2
17 DKSC NTX 7115 514-9 40.57 LLLDL -0.46 +1.00 0% 18.4
18 SOLAR RED NTX 8116 324-21 40.50 WLDLL +0.26 +0.86 0% 19.8
19 FC Dallas Youth NTX 7106 826-18 30.43 LLLLL +0.44 -0.66 0% 17.0
20 Kernow Storm FC NTX 8107 839-31 30.38 LLLLL +1.12 -1.09 0% 17.8
21 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 5005 034-34 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.43 0% 21.5
22 DKSC WHITE NTX 6006 237-35 00.00 LLLLL +0.83 -0.42 0% 20.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.