Kernow Storm FC NTX
ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU15 · 22 teams · Kernow Storm FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:10 PM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 3.0 against · 0.51 expected points)
| Season so far | Kernow Storm FC NTX | FC Dallas Youth White NTX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 20th | 14th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-7 | 2-1-5 |
| Points per game | 0.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | L L W D W |
| Biggest win | 4–2 vs DKSC NTX | 3–1 vs SOLAR RED NTX |
| Worst loss | 0–12 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 0–3 at Sting WTX NTX |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.50 | -0.34 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.10 | +0.78 |
Common opponents: FRISCO FUSION NTX — we 1–2; they 0–2.
Game plan
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–3 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX, 0–1 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX, 0–12 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX, 0–7 vs Sting Royal NTX.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 12%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 05:10 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
-
What a win does
FC Dallas Youth NTX sit 19th on 0.43 PPG; we are on 0.38.A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth White NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Kernow Storm FC NTX – FC Dallas Youth White NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.33 PPG |
20th— holds | 20th— holds | 22nd▼ down 2 |
| Win 0.67 PPG |
17th▲ up 3 | 17th▲ up 3 | 19th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.44 PPG |
19th▲ up 1 | 19th▲ up 1 | 21st▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.33 PPG |
20th— holds | 20th— holds | 22nd▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 20th even if every rival loses, and as low as 22nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th <1%
- 14th 1%
- 15th 5%
- 16th 16%
- 17th 20%
- 18th 26%
- 19th 20%
- 20th 9%
- 21st 3%
- 22nd 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 1.60 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 3.00 (+2.62) | 1st (2.79) | 42 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FRISCO FUSION NTX | 2.57 (+2.19) | 2nd (2.29) | 36 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Sting Brave NTX | 2.57 (+2.19) | 5th (2.17) | 36 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Nido Dallas NTX | 2.50 (+2.12) | 3rd (2.25) | 35 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Sting Black NTX | 2.43 (+2.05) | 7th (2.00) | 34 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | Sting WTX NTX | 2.25 (+1.87) | 4th (2.18) | 31 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 7 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 2.00 (+1.62) | 9th (1.74) | 27 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 8 | Dallas Cosmos SC NTX | 1.88 (+1.50) | 12th (1.64) | 26 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 9 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 1.80 (+1.42) | 11th (1.67) | 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 10 | Sting Royal NTX | 1.78 (+1.40) | 8th (1.87) | 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 11 | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 1.75 (+1.37) | 6th (2.06) | 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 12 | SOLAR BLUE NTX | 1.43 (+1.05) | 10th (1.70) | 19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 13 | Dallas Texans Red NTX | 1.40 (+1.02) | 13th (1.42) | 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 14 | FC Dallas Youth White NTX | 0.88 (+0.50) | 14th (1.28) | 11 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
| 15 | Dallas Texans NTX | 0.86 (+0.48) | 15th (1.07) | 10 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
| 16 | Fever United FC NTX | 0.75 (+0.37) | 17th (0.74) | 9 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection |
| 17 | DKSC NTX | 0.57 (+0.19) | 19th (0.56) | A point next game |
| 18 | SOLAR RED NTX | 0.50 (+0.12) | 20th (0.41) | A point next game |
| 19 | FC Dallas Youth NTX | 0.43 (+0.05) | 16th (0.76) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
14 chains · 14 teams
Paths of results that link Kernow Storm FC NTX to FC Dallas Youth White NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -1.09 · 20th hardest of 22
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Jan 1 TBD no score posted |
NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 21st · 0-0-5 · GD -34 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
3–1 | 2.38 | 0.60 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 24 05:10 PM |
FC Dallas Youth White NTX 14th · 2-1-5 · GD -6 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–2 | 0.51 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 03:20 PM |
FC Dallas Youth NTX 19th · 1-0-6 · GD -18 |
Home Railroad Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.22 | 0.65 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 08:00 AM |
DKSC WHITE NTX 22nd · 0-0-6 · GD -35 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
3–2 | 1.91 | 0.75 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 09:50 AM |
SOLAR BLUE NTX 12th · 3-1-3 · GD +11 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–5 | 0.09 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 11:40 AM |
Dallas Texans NTX 15th · 2-0-5 · GD -9 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.89 | 0.71 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 11:40 AM |
Nido Dallas NTX 4th · 5-0-1 · GD +12 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.06 | 0.67 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | +46 | 24 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -1.01 | +0.43 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Sting WTX NTX · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Brave NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR RED NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | FRISCO FUSION NTX | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWWW | -0.18 | -0.54 | 71% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Sting Brave NTX · Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth NTX · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Sting Brave NTX | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 18 | 2.57 | WLWWW | +0.33 | +0.35 | 47% | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Mon Jan 1 at FRISCO FUSION NTX · Sat Oct 24 vs Fever United FC NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Nido Dallas NTX | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWW | -0.08 | -0.57 | 66% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Sting Royal NTX · Mon Jan 1 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC WHITE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Sting Black NTX | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 17 | 2.43 | WWDWW | -1.24 | +0.67 | 19% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Thu Nov 5 at Sting Brave NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Sting WTX NTX | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 3 | +26 | 18 | 2.25 | LWWLW | -0.35 | +0.84 | 57% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs DKSC NTX · Sat Apr 3 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 14 | 2.00 | DWWWL | +0.05 | +0.32 | 3% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Fever United FC NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Black NTX · Thu Nov 5 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Dallas Cosmos SC NTX | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 15 | 1.88 | WLLLW | +0.31 | +0.38 | 0% | 10.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Sting Black NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | WWWLL | -0.44 | +0.05 | 1% | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs NTX Celtic FC Green NTX · Mon Jan 1 vs SOLAR RED NTX · Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Red NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Sting Royal NTX | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 16 | 1.78 | WLLWW | +0.21 | -1.15 | 3% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Nido Dallas NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs NTX Celtic FC Green NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 3 | +24 | 14 | 1.75 | WWWWL | -0.86 | -0.38 | 31% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FRISCO FUSION NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs Nido Dallas NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | SOLAR BLUE NTX | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 10 | 1.43 | WWLDW | -0.25 | -0.44 | 1% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX · Sat Oct 24 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | Dallas Texans Red NTX | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 7 | 1.40 | LWWDL | -0.02 | +0.51 | 0% | 12.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Sting Brave NTX · Mon Jan 1 vs Nido Dallas NTX · Sat Oct 24 at DKSC NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | FC Dallas Youth White NTX | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 | 0.88 | WDWLL | +0.78 | -1.37 | 0% | 13.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sat Oct 24 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Royal NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | Dallas Texans NTX | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 | 0.86 | LLLWW | +0.17 | -0.58 | 0% | 14.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Oct 24 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | Fever United FC NTX | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 6 | 0.75 | LWLLL | +0.58 | +0.02 | 0% | 17.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Oct 24 at Sting Brave NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR RED NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | DKSC NTX | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | 0.57 | LLLDL | -0.48 | +1.00 | 0% | 18.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at Sting WTX NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | SOLAR RED NTX | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 4 | 0.50 | WLDLL | +0.25 | +0.85 | 0% | 19.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | FC Dallas Youth NTX | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 3 | 0.43 | LLLLL | +0.44 | -0.67 | 0% | 16.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sat Oct 24 vs FRISCO FUSION NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC WHITE NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | Kernow Storm FC NTX | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 39 | -31 | 3 | 0.38 | LLLLL | +1.10 | -1.09 | 0% | 17.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs NTX Celtic FC Green NTX · Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | NTX Celtic FC Green NTX | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 34 | -34 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.97 | -0.41 | 0% | 21.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Kernow Storm FC NTX · Mon Jan 1 at SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 37 | -35 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.82 | -0.43 | 0% | 20.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Nido Dallas NTX · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.