TableChase Clubs

FRISCO FUSION NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU15 · 22 teams · Frisco Fusion (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
2nd
6-0-1 record · 7 played
2.57 points per game
+12 goal diff · 19–7
WWWWWlast 5
64% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.0
-0.20 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:20 PM

Open the match preview →

FRISCO FUSION NTX
2nd · 2.57 PPG
at
FC Dallas Youth NTX
19th · 0.43 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 15 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.7 for, 1.1 against · 2.62 expected points)

Season so farFRISCO FUSION NTXFC Dallas Youth NTX
Position2nd19th
Record (W-D-L)6-0-11-0-6
Points per game2.570.43
Goals for / game2.71.1
Goals against / game1.03.7
Clean sheets30
Held scoreless14
Form (recent first)W W W W WL L L L L
Biggest win4–0 at Dallas Texans Red NTX4–1 vs SOLAR RED NTX
Worst loss0–2 vs Sting WTX NTX0–6 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.17-1.62
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.20+0.44

Common opponents: Dallas Texans Red NTX — we 4–0; they 0–6. Sting WTX NTX — we 0–2; they 0–3. SOLAR RED NTX — we 2–0; they 4–1. Dallas Cosmos SC NTX — we 3–2; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    FC Dallas Youth NTX concede 3.7/game; worst result 0–6 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Sting WTX NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 84% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    FC Dallas Youth NTX have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:20 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FRISCO FUSION NTX – FC Dallas Youth NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.63 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1
Win
2.63 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1
Draw
2.38 PPG
5th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 3
Loss
2.25 PPG
6th▼ down 4 6th▼ down 4 6th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
64% top 4
36% below the top 4
4.0 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 26%
  3. 3rd 20%
  4. 4th 17%
  5. 5th 14%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+0.43) 1st (2.79) 27 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection

How the results connect

24 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FRISCO FUSION NTX to FC Dallas Youth NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

20 favour us
2 even
2 favour them
+3.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 1–4 0–2 3–0 3–2 3–2 4–0 6–0 0–3 0–1 3–0 2–0 3–1 0–3 0–1 0–3 1–2 8–2 FRISCO FUSION NTX 2nd SOLAR RED NTX 18th Sting WTX NTX 6th Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 9th Dallas Texans Red N… 13th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 14th Sting Brave NTX 3rd Nido Dallas NTX 4th FC Dallas Youth NTX 19th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 11th 22nd Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 24 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.51 · 16th hardest of 22

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted
Sting Brave NTX
3rd · 6-0-1 · GD +10
Home
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.34 2.42 Upside
Sat Oct 24
03:20 PM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
19th · 1-0-6 · GD -18
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–1 2.62 2.44 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
07:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
7th · 4-2-1 · GD +25
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–1 0.93 2.29 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:40 AM
DKSC WHITE NTX
22nd · 0-0-6 · GD -35
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–0 2.96 2.35 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
09:50 AM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
12th · 3-1-3 · GD +11
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.67 2.29 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
08:00 AM
Dallas Texans NTX
15th · 2-0-5 · GD -9
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–0 2.30 2.29 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
03:20 PM
Nido Dallas NTX
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +12
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.43 2.23 Upside
Sun Apr 25
11:40 AM
NTX Celtic FC Green NTX
21st · 0-0-5 · GD -34
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
5–0 2.94 2.28 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8800 460+46 243.00 WWWWW -1.03 +0.43 100% 1.1
2 FRISCO FUSION NTX 7601 197+12 182.57 WWWWW -0.20 -0.51 64% 4.0
3 Sting Brave NTX 7601 133+10 182.57 WLWWW +0.33 +0.36 39% 5.2
4 Nido Dallas NTX 6501 175+12 152.50 WWWWW -0.08 -0.56 63% 4.1
5 Sting Black NTX 7520 278+19 172.43 WWDWW -1.21 +0.68 17% 6.6
6 Sting WTX NTX 8602 293+26 182.25 LWWLW -0.35 +0.85 48% 4.8
7 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 7421 272+25 142.00 DWWWW -1.13 -0.27 65% 4.0
8 NTX Celtic FC NTX 7421 126+6 142.00 DWWWL +0.07 +0.32 2% 9.5
9 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 8503 1311+2 151.88 WLLLW +0.31 +0.38 1% 10.6
10 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5302 62+4 91.80 WWWLL -0.42 +0.05 1% 10.3
11 Sting Royal NTX 8413 1711+6 131.63 LWLLW -0.06 -0.67 1% 9.8
12 SOLAR BLUE NTX 7313 209+11 101.43 WWLDW -0.25 -0.43 1% 9.5
13 Dallas Texans Red NTX 5212 149+5 71.40 LWWDL -0.02 +0.51 0% 12.2
14 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 8215 814-6 70.88 WDWLL +0.79 -1.36 0% 13.6
15 Dallas Texans NTX 7205 716-9 60.86 LLLWW +0.15 -0.55 0% 14.9
16 Fever United FC NTX 8206 1132-21 60.75 LWLLL +0.60 +0.02 0% 17.2
17 DKSC NTX 7115 514-9 40.57 LLLDL -0.46 +1.00 0% 18.3
18 SOLAR RED NTX 8116 324-21 40.50 WLDLL +0.26 +0.86 0% 19.8
19 FC Dallas Youth NTX 7106 826-18 30.43 LLLLL +0.44 -0.66 0% 17.0
20 Kernow Storm FC NTX 8107 839-31 30.38 LLLLL +1.12 -1.09 0% 17.8
21 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 5005 034-34 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.43 0% 21.5
22 DKSC WHITE NTX 6006 237-35 00.00 LLLLL +0.83 -0.42 0% 20.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.