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CDA Slammers FC White

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southwest BU13 · 18 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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3rd
3-0-1 record · 4 played
2.25 points per game
+8 goal diff · 14–6
WWLWlast 4
53% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.6
-0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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CDA Slammers FC White
3rd · 2.25 PPG
at
Eagles SC
15th · 0.75 PPG

Pleasant Valley Fields, Field 19 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.8 for, 1.7 against · 2.02 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FC WhiteEagles SC
Position3rd15th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-11-0-3
Points per game2.250.75
Goals for / game3.51.3
Goals against / game1.52.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W L W WL W L L
Biggest win5–0 at LV Heat Surf3–1 vs Rebels SC
Worst loss0–3 vs LAFC1–4 at Pateadores Blue
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.11-0.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.01+0.94

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs LAFC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 61% / draw 17% / loss 21%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Pleasant Valley Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eagles SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC White – Eagles SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.40 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.40 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2
Loss
1.80 PPG
5th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st
53% top 4
47% below the top 4
4.6 average finish
  1. 1st 3%
  2. 2nd 8%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 26%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 12%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.82 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf White 3.00 (+0.75) 3rd (2.23) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
2 San Diego Surf Blue 3.00 (+0.75) 1st (2.50) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection

How the results connect

8 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC White to Eagles SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
+1.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–0 0–6 2–1 0–2 1–3 0–3 0–1 2–0 0–4 4–1 5–2 4–0 0–0 0–2 1–1 CDA Slammers FC Whi… 3rd LV Heat Surf 16th LAFC 4th Beach Futbol Club G… 10th San Diego Surf White 1st Rebels SC 8th San Diego Surf Blue 2nd Pateadores Blue 5th Eagles SC 15th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 10th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
01:00 PM
no score posted
Legends FC Black
9th · 1-2-1 · GD +2
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.42 2.08 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Eagles SC
15th · 1-0-3 · GD -4
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.02 2.07 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
Legends FC Gold
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.49 2.13 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
TBD
Sporting California USA RED
13th · 1-0-2 · GD -8
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
5–2 2.64 2.20 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
TBD
Sporting California USA NAVY
18th · 0-0-4 · GD -15
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.83 2.27 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
TBD
CDA Slammers FC Maroon
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +1
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.74 2.21 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD
SDSC Surf Blue
11th · 1-1-2 · GD +1
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.90 2.18 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
SDSC Surf Gold
14th · 1-1-2 · GD -11
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
4–1 2.61 2.22 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf Blue
2nd · 5-0-0 · GD +11
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.74 2.11 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD
San Diego Surf White
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +11
Home
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.24 2.04 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Rebels SC
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.17 2.05 Swing game
Sun May 2
TBD
Pateadores Gold
7th · 2-2-1 · GD +6
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.49 2.02 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD
Pateadores Blue
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +10
Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–2 1.20 1.97 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf White 4400 132+11 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.13 88% 2.9
2 San Diego Surf Blue 5500 110+11 153.00 WWWWW +0.09 -0.17 98% 1.6
3 CDA Slammers FC White 4301 146+8 92.25 WWLW -0.01 -0.10 53% 4.6
4 LAFC 6411 213+18 132.17 WWWLD -0.12 -0.10 93% 2.6
5 Pateadores Blue 5311 177+10 102.00 WWLDW -0.53 +0.10 38% 5.2
6 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 5302 109+1 91.80 WWLWL +0.33 -0.16 7% 7.8
7 Pateadores Gold 5221 137+6 81.60 DDLWW -0.93 +0.29 5% 8.3
8 Rebels SC 5212 99+0 71.40 WWLLD -0.33 +0.16 0% 11.0
9 Legends FC Black 4121 53+2 51.25 LDWD +0.79 -0.31 13% 7.0
10 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4121 87+1 51.25 DWDL +0.69 -0.25 3% 8.4
11 SDSC Surf Blue 4112 54+1 41.00 LWLD +0.33 -0.13 2% 9.5
12 West Coast FC Navy 4112 57-2 41.00 DLWL -0.40 +0.14 0% 12.7
13 Sporting California USA RED 3102 816-8 31.00 LLW +0.59 -0.07 0% 13.1
14 SDSC Surf Gold 4112 718-11 41.00 DLWL -0.66 +0.30 0% 15.7
15 Eagles SC 4103 59-4 30.75 LLWL +0.94 -0.29 0% 11.3
16 LV Heat Surf 7106 324-21 30.43 LLWLL +0.53 -0.21 0% 16.7
17 Legends FC Gold 3003 19-8 00.00 LLL +0.43 -0.02 0% 15.8
18 Sporting California USA NAVY 4004 621-15 00.00 LLLL +0.12 +0.09 0% 16.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.