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CDA Slammers FC Maroon

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southwest BU13 · 18 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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6th
3-0-2 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+1 goal diff · 10–9
WWLWLlast 5
7% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.8
+0.33 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:30 AM

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CDA Slammers FC Maroon
6th · 1.80 PPG
at
Pateadores Gold
7th · 1.60 PPG

Arroyo Park, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.2 against · 1.04 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FC MaroonPateadores Gold
Position6th7th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-22-2-1
Points per game1.801.60
Goals for / game2.02.6
Goals against / game1.81.4
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L W L W WW W L D D
Biggest win6–2 vs Sporting California USA RED5–0 vs Sporting California USA NAVY
Worst loss0–4 vs San Diego Surf Blue2–5 at Sporting California USA RED
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.16+0.54
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.33-0.93

Common opponents: Sporting California USA RED — we 6–2; they 2–5.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs San Diego Surf Blue.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 28%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:30 AM at Arroyo Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Pateadores Blue sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.

    A win moves us above Pateadores Blue on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pateadores Gold game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC Maroon – Pateadores Gold) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.50 PPG		 7th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 4
Win
2.00 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
1.67 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Loss
1.50 PPG		 7th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
7% top 4
93% below the top 4
7.8 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 9%
  6. 6th 14%
  7. 7th 16%
  8. 8th 15%
  9. 9th 15%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 5%
  13. 13th 2%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf White 3.00 (+1.20) 3rd (2.23) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
2 San Diego Surf Blue 3.00 (+1.20) 1st (2.50) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
3 CDA Slammers FC White 2.25 (+0.45) 4th (1.97) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
4 LAFC 2.17 (+0.37) 2nd (2.27) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Pateadores Blue 2.00 (+0.20) 5th (1.89) Win next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC Maroon to Pateadores Gold through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–2 5–2 1–3 6–0 0–4 0–4 2–0 1–1 2–0 0–0 2–0 CDA Slammers FC Mar… 6th Sporting California… 13th San Diego Surf White 1st San Diego Surf Blue 2nd SDSC Surf Blue 11th LV Heat Surf 16th Legends FC Black 9th Pateadores Gold 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.16 · 13th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:30 AM		 Pateadores Gold
7th · 2-2-1 · GD +6		 Away far trip
Arroyo Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
28%		 1–2 1.04 1.67 Upside
Sun Nov 1
TBD		 Rebels SC
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 2–1 1.69 1.68 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM		 Pateadores Blue
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +10		 Away far trip
Great Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–2 0.78 1.56 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM		 SDSC Surf Gold
14th · 1-1-2 · GD -11		 Away far trip
Ryan Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 3–1 2.18 1.63 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
TBD		 CDA Slammers FC White
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +8		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
30%		 1–2 1.08 1.58 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 LV Heat Surf
16th · 1-0-6 · GD -21		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
75%		 2–0 2.39 1.65 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
01:00 PM		 Legends FC Gold
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -8		 Away
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
63%		 2–1 2.07 1.68 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Gold
10th · 1-2-1 · GD +1		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%		 1–1 1.48 1.67 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Eagles SC
15th · 1-0-3 · GD -4		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 2–1 1.81 1.68 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
01:00 PM		 Legends FC Black
9th · 1-2-1 · GD +2		 Away
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–1 1.03 1.64 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 LAFC
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +18		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–2 0.60 1.57 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD		 Sporting California USA NAVY
18th · 0-0-4 · GD -15		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 3–1 2.30 1.61 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf White 4400 132+11 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.13 87% 3.0
2 San Diego Surf Blue 5500 110+11 153.00 WWWWW +0.09 -0.17 99% 1.6
3 CDA Slammers FC White 4301 146+8 92.25 WWLW -0.01 -0.10 53% 4.6
4 LAFC 6411 213+18 132.17 WWWLD -0.12 -0.10 94% 2.5
5 Pateadores Blue 5311 177+10 102.00 WWLDW -0.53 +0.10 38% 5.2
6 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 5302 109+1 91.80 WWLWL +0.33 -0.16 7% 7.8
7 Pateadores Gold 5221 137+6 81.60 DDLWW -0.93 +0.29 5% 8.3
8 Rebels SC 5212 99+0 71.40 WWLLD -0.33 +0.16 1% 11.0
9 Legends FC Black 4121 53+2 51.25 LDWD +0.79 -0.31 11% 7.1
10 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4121 87+1 51.25 DWDL +0.69 -0.25 4% 8.4
11 SDSC Surf Blue 4112 54+1 41.00 LWLD +0.33 -0.13 2% 9.5
12 West Coast FC Navy 4112 57-2 41.00 DLWL -0.40 +0.14 0% 12.7
13 Sporting California USA RED 3102 816-8 31.00 LLW +0.59 -0.07 0% 13.1
14 SDSC Surf Gold 4112 718-11 41.00 DLWL -0.66 +0.30 0% 15.7
15 Eagles SC 4103 59-4 30.75 LLWL +0.94 -0.29 0% 11.2
16 LV Heat Surf 7106 324-21 30.43 LLWLL +0.53 -0.21 0% 16.6
17 Legends FC Gold 3003 19-8 00.00 LLL +0.43 -0.02 0% 15.8
18 Sporting California USA NAVY 4004 621-15 00.00 LLLL +0.12 +0.09 0% 16.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.