TableChase Clubs

NTX Celtic FC Green NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU17 · 24 teams · NTX Celtic FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
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6th
5-1-1 record · 7 played
2.29 points per game
+2 goal diff · 19–17
LWDWWlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.4
+0.27 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:20 PM

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NTX Celtic FC Green NTX
6th · 2.29 PPG
vs
Nido Dallas NTX
9th · 1.86 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 14 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.0 against · 1.42 expected points)

Season so farNTX Celtic FC Green NTXNido Dallas NTX
Position6th9th
Record (W-D-L)5-1-14-1-2
Points per game2.291.86
Goals for / game2.72.1
Goals against / game2.41.3
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)W W D W LL L W W W
Biggest win3–1 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX5–0 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX
Worst loss0–4 at NTX Celtic FC NTX0–6 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.23+0.39
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.27-0.31

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at NTX Celtic FC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Nido Dallas NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NTX Celtic FC Green NTX – Nido Dallas NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.38 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Win
2.38 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
2.13 PPG		 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1
Loss
2.00 PPG		 8th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
8.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 12%
  7. 7th 16%
  8. 8th 23%
  9. 9th 18%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 4%
  13. 13th 2%
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 NTX Celtic FC NTX 3.00 (+0.71) 1st (2.80) 29 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.71 (+0.42) 3rd (2.48) 25 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
3 Dallas Texans Red NTX 2.71 (+0.42) 2nd (2.51) 25 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
4 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.57 (+0.28) 4th (2.40) 23 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.43 (+0.14) 5th (2.24) 21 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection

How the results connect

10 chains · 14 teams

Paths of results that link NTX Celtic FC Green NTX to Nido Dallas NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
5 favour them
+0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 2–0 0–5 0–4 3–1 1–0 4–3 0–1 0–5 4–3 1–0 1–1 8–1 0–3 4–3 0–2 6–0 2–0 1–5 2–8 1–2 7–0 NTX Celtic FC Green… 6th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 11th NTX Celtic FC NTX 1st NTX United FC NTX 16th Texas Warriors FC N… 12th Nido Dallas White N… 2nd Fever United FC NTX 22nd FC Dallas Youth Whi… 20th SOLAR BLUE NTX 14th Kernow Storm FC NTX 23rd Dallas Texans Red N… 3rd Dallas Texans NTX 19th DKSC NTX 8th Nido Dallas NTX 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 12th 24th Jan 1 Aug 29 Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 11

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.35 · 9th hardest of 23

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:20 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX
9th · 4-1-2 · GD +6		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–1 1.42 2.18 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX
23rd · 0-2-5 · GD -19		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 3–1 2.36 2.20 Bank it
Thu Nov 5
08:15 PM		 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
7th · 4-1-1 · GD +11		 Home
Railroad Park 		●●●●○ Tough
30%		 1–2 1.08 2.09 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:30 PM		 SOLAR BLUE NTX
14th · 3-0-4 · GD -8		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 2–1 1.80 2.06 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
05:10 PM		 Sting NTX
13th · 2-2-2 · GD +2		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
39%		 2–2 1.38 2.00 Upside
Sun Apr 11
03:20 PM		 Dallas Texans Red NTX
3rd · 6-1-0 · GD +24		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.33 1.87 Upside
Sun Apr 18
01:30 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
15th · 2-1-3 · GD +4		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 2–2 1.15 1.82 Upside
Sun Apr 25
11:40 AM		 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
5th · 5-2-0 · GD +13		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–2 0.85 1.76 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 NTX Celtic FC NTX 7700 303+27 213.00 WWWWW -0.66 -0.31 100% 1.3
2 Nido Dallas White NTX 7610 344+30 192.71 WWDWW -0.42 +0.60 87% 3.0
3 Dallas Texans Red NTX 7610 284+24 192.71 WWDWW -0.18 +0.28 90% 2.9
4 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 7601 195+14 182.57 WWLWW +0.41 -0.35 77% 3.7
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 7520 185+13 172.43 WWDWD +0.18 +0.13 38% 4.8
6 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 7511 1917+2 162.29 LWDWW +0.27 +0.35 1% 8.4
7 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 6411 176+11 132.17 LWDWW -0.20 +0.55 3% 7.5
8 DKSC NTX 8503 3014+16 151.88 LWWWW -0.12 -0.25 5% 6.5
9 Nido Dallas NTX 7412 159+6 131.86 WWWLL -0.31 +0.65 0% 10.3
10 SOLAR RED NTX 7412 1713+4 131.86 LWWLD +0.33 +0.38 0% 9.5
11 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8404 1118-7 121.50 LLWWL -0.25 -0.13 0% 14.0
12 Texas Warriors FC NTX 8404 1933-14 121.50 LWWWL +0.04 -0.31 0% 14.1
13 Sting NTX 6222 119+2 81.33 LWDLD -0.30 +0.70 0% 14.2
14 SOLAR BLUE NTX 7304 816-8 91.29 WLLWL +0.59 +0.22 0% 15.9
15 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 6213 1511+4 71.17 WDLLL +0.27 +0.36 0% 12.6
16 NTX United FC NTX 8224 1620-4 81.00 DWLLD +0.13 -0.60 0% 13.4
17 Sting Brave NTX 7214 1419-5 71.00 LDLLW -0.11 +0.24 0% 17.2
18 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8215 1220-8 70.88 LLLWD +0.13 +0.10 0% 18.7
19 Dallas Texans NTX 7205 720-13 60.86 LWLLL +1.01 -0.67 0% 17.5
20 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7205 1125-14 60.86 WLLLL +0.04 +0.05 0% 19.6
21 Texas Spurs FC NTX 7124 713-6 50.71 DLLLL +0.45 -0.32 0% 17.6
22 Fever United FC NTX 7115 919-10 40.57 WLDLL +0.30 +0.46 0% 20.5
23 Kernow Storm FC NTX 7025 625-19 20.29 LLLLD +0.21 +0.50 0% 22.8
24 Sting Bold NTX 150015 045-45 00.00 LLLLL +0.00 — 0% 24.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.20 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.