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FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU17 · 24 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 53 minutes ago. Next available update in 06:11.
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15th
2-1-3 record · 6 played
1.17 points per game
+4 goal diff · 15–11
WDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.6
+0.27 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:20 PM

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FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
15th · 1.17 PPG
at
Kernow Storm FC NTX
23rd · 0.29 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 13 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.1 for, 1.2 against · 2.38 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Navy NTXKernow Storm FC NTX
Position15th23rd
Record (W-D-L)2-1-30-2-5
Points per game1.170.29
Goals for / game2.50.9
Goals against / game1.83.6
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless24
Form (recent first)L L L D WD L L L L
Biggest win8–1 vs Texas Warriors FC NTX—
Worst loss0–2 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX1–8 vs Nido Dallas White NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.37-1.84
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.27+0.21

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Kernow Storm FC NTX average 0.9 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 4 of 7.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Kernow Storm FC NTX concede 3.6/game; worst result 1–8 vs Nido Dallas White NTX.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX, 0–2 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 75% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:20 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    SOLAR BLUE NTX sit 14th on 1.29 PPG; we are on 1.17.

    A point moves us above SOLAR BLUE NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Kernow Storm FC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX – Kernow Storm FC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.43 PPG		 13th▲ up 2 12th▲ up 3 15th— holds
Win
1.43 PPG		 13th▲ up 2 12th▲ up 3 15th— holds
Draw
1.14 PPG		 15th— holds 14th▲ up 1 17th▼ down 2
Loss
1.00 PPG		 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1 19th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 11th if every rival drops points, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 13%
  12. 12th 13%
  13. 13th 11%
  14. 14th 10%
  15. 15th 8%
  16. 16th 7%
  17. 17th 4%
  18. 18th 3%
  19. 19th 2%
  20. 20th 1%
  21. 21st 1%
  22. 22nd <1%
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 NTX Celtic FC NTX 3.00 (+1.83) 1st (2.80) 38 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.71 (+1.54) 3rd (2.48) 34 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Dallas Texans Red NTX 2.71 (+1.54) 2nd (2.51) 34 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.57 (+1.40) 4th (2.40) 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.43 (+1.26) 5th (2.24) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 2.29 (+1.12) 8th (1.76) 28 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
7 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.17 (+1.00) 7th (1.84) 26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
8 DKSC NTX 1.88 (+0.71) 6th (1.93) 22 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
9 Nido Dallas NTX 1.86 (+0.69) 10th (1.54) 21 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10 SOLAR RED NTX 1.86 (+0.69) 9th (1.62) 21 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
11 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.50 (+0.33) 13th (1.27) 16 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
12 Texas Warriors FC NTX 1.50 (+0.33) 14th (1.27) 16 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
13 Sting NTX 1.33 (+0.16) 15th (1.21) A point next game
14 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.29 (+0.12) 16th (1.12) A point next game

How the results connect

7 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX to Kernow Storm FC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+2.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 2–8 6–0 0–2 1–0 0–0 0–2 2–0 2–0 3–0 6–1 4–3 3–1 2–0 3–1 FC Dallas Youth Nav… 15th NTX United FC NTX 16th FC Dallas Youth Red… 5th NTX Celtic FC NTX 1st FC Dallas Youth Blu… 11th DKSC NTX 8th Texas Spurs FC NTX 21st Dallas Texans NTX 19th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 20th Kernow Storm FC NTX 23rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 12th 24th Jan 1 Aug 29 Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 11

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.36 · 8th hardest of 23

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
07:00 PM
no score posted		 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
7th · 4-1-1 · GD +11		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–2 1.17 1.17 Upside
Sun Oct 25
03:20 PM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX
23rd · 0-2-5 · GD -19		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
75%		 3–1 2.38 1.32 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM		 SOLAR BLUE NTX
14th · 3-0-4 · GD -8		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 2–1 1.85 1.38 Swing game
Thu Nov 5
08:15 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX
9th · 4-1-2 · GD +6		 Away
Railroad Park 		●●●●○ Tough
33%		 1–1 1.21 1.36 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:30 PM		 Sting NTX
13th · 2-2-2 · GD +2		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 1–1 1.46 1.37 Upside
Sun Apr 4
05:10 PM		 Dallas Texans Red NTX
3rd · 6-1-0 · GD +24		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.41 1.29 Upside
Sun Apr 11
03:20 PM		 Nido Dallas White NTX
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +30		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–3 0.48 1.23 Upside
Sun Apr 18
01:30 PM		 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX
6th · 5-1-1 · GD +2		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 2–2 1.66 1.26 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
03:20 PM		 Fever United FC NTX
22nd · 1-1-5 · GD -10		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 2–1 2.20 1.32 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 NTX Celtic FC NTX 7700 303+27 213.00 WWWWW -0.66 -0.31 100% 1.3
2 Nido Dallas White NTX 7610 344+30 192.71 WWDWW -0.42 +0.60 86% 3.1
3 Dallas Texans Red NTX 7610 284+24 192.71 WWDWW -0.18 +0.28 90% 2.8
4 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 7601 195+14 182.57 WWLWW +0.41 -0.35 76% 3.7
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 7520 185+13 172.43 WWDWD +0.18 +0.13 39% 4.8
6 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 7511 1917+2 162.29 LWDWW +0.27 +0.35 1% 8.3
7 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 6411 176+11 132.17 LWDWW -0.20 +0.55 3% 7.5
8 DKSC NTX 8503 3014+16 151.88 LWWWW -0.12 -0.25 5% 6.6
9 Nido Dallas NTX 7412 159+6 131.86 WWWLL -0.31 +0.65 0% 10.3
10 SOLAR RED NTX 7412 1713+4 131.86 LWWLD +0.33 +0.38 0% 9.5
11 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8404 1118-7 121.50 LLWWL -0.25 -0.13 0% 13.9
12 Texas Warriors FC NTX 8404 1933-14 121.50 LWWWL +0.04 -0.31 0% 14.1
13 Sting NTX 6222 119+2 81.33 LWDLD -0.30 +0.70 0% 14.1
14 SOLAR BLUE NTX 7304 816-8 91.29 WLLWL +0.59 +0.22 0% 15.9
15 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 6213 1511+4 71.17 WDLLL +0.27 +0.36 0% 12.6
16 NTX United FC NTX 8224 1620-4 81.00 DWLLD +0.13 -0.60 0% 13.5
17 Sting Brave NTX 7214 1419-5 71.00 LDLLW -0.11 +0.24 0% 17.2
18 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8215 1220-8 70.88 LLLWD +0.13 +0.10 0% 18.6
19 Dallas Texans NTX 7205 720-13 60.86 LWLLL +1.01 -0.67 0% 17.6
20 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7205 1125-14 60.86 WLLLL +0.04 +0.05 0% 19.6
21 Texas Spurs FC NTX 7124 713-6 50.71 DLLLL +0.45 -0.32 0% 17.6
22 Fever United FC NTX 7115 919-10 40.57 WLDLL +0.30 +0.46 0% 20.7
23 Kernow Storm FC NTX 7025 625-19 20.29 LLLLD +0.21 +0.50 0% 22.8
24 Sting Bold NTX 150015 045-45 00.00 LLLLL +0.00 — 0% 24.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.20 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.