St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green

ECNL Girls · Midwest GU15 · 16 teams · St. Louis Scott Gallagher (all teams)

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8th

4-2-5 record · 11 played

1.27 points per game

-9 goal diff · 13–22

LWWDLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.0

+0.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:15 PM

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St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green
8th · 1.27 PPG

Michigan Hawks Magic
10th · 0.91 PPG

SLSG Creve Coeur Facility, Field 5 ↗

57% 23% 21%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.0 against · 1.93 expected points)

Season so far	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green	Michigan Hawks Magic
Position	8th	10th
Record (W-D-L)	4-2-5	2-4-5
Points per game	1.27	0.91
Goals for / game	1.2	0.6
Goals against / game	2.0	2.0
Clean sheets	2	4
Held scoreless	3	6
Form (recent first)	L D W W L	L L D L W
Biggest win	1–0 vs Missouri Rush	2–1 at Chicago Inter
Worst loss	1–5 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club	0–6 at Michigan Hawks
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.60	-1.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.05	-0.05

Common opponents: Liverpool FC MI — we 3–3; they 2–2. Missouri Rush — we 1–0; they 0–0. Kansas City Athletics — we 2–1; they 1–0. Eclipse Select Soccer Club — we 1–5; they 0–4. Rockford Raptors FC — we 1–2; they 0–2. FC Wisconsin — we 1–0; they 0–0. Sporting Blue Valley — we 2–1; they 1–4. Sporting Iowa — we 2–2; they 1–3. Gretna Elite Academy — we 0–4; they 0–0.

Game plan

They struggle to score
Michigan Hawks Magic average 0.6 goals/game (league avg 1.3); blanked in 6 of 11.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 at Nationals SC, 0–1 vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy, 0–4 at Gretna Elite Academy.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Swing game — small margins
Win 57% / draw 23% / loss 21%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
What a win does
Missouri Rush sit 7th on 1.33 PPG; we are on 1.27.
A point moves us above Missouri Rush on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Michigan Hawks Magic game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green – Michigan Hawks Magic) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.25 PPG	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1	10th▼ down 2
Win 1.42 PPG	7th▲ up 1	7th▲ up 1	8th— holds
Draw 1.25 PPG	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1	10th▼ down 2
Loss 1.17 PPG	9th▼ down 1	9th▼ down 1	11th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

9.0 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th 1%
7th 14%
8th 26%
9th 24%
10th 21%
11th 12%
12th 3%
13th <1%
14th
15th
16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 1.73 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Michigan Hawks	2.80 (+1.53)	1st (2.63)	28 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Nationals SC	2.78 (+1.51)	2nd (2.59)	28 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy	2.36 (+1.09)	3rd (2.27)	22 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	Rockford Raptors FC	2.20 (+0.93)	4th (2.07)	19 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5	Eclipse Select Soccer Club	1.78 (+0.51)	5th (1.94)	13 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6	Gretna Elite Academy	1.64 (+0.37)	6th (1.73)	11 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
7	Missouri Rush	1.33 (+0.06)	10th (1.22)	A point next game

How the results connect

87 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green to Michigan Hawks Magic through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

49 favour us

15 even

23 favour them

+0.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 8th hardest of 16

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 31 01:15 PM	Michigan Hawks Magic 10th · 2-4-5 · GD -15	Home SLSG Creve Coeur Facility	●●●○○ Toss-up	57%	1–1	1.93	1.33	Swing game
Sun Nov 1 01:15 PM	Michigan Hawks 1st · 9-1-0 · GD +31	Home SLSG Creve Coeur Facility	●●●●● Very tough	3%	0–3	0.16	1.24	Upside
Sat Nov 7 04:45 PM	Chicago Inter 14th · 1-1-7 · GD -15	Home WWT Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	59%	2–1	1.97	1.29	Swing game
Sun Dec 13 01:45 PM	MN Thunder Academy 16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away far trip Academy of Holy Angels · turf	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.89	1.26	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Michigan Hawks

+31

2.80

WWWDW

-0.23

+0.14

100%

1.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	4–1
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	2–2
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Sporting Iowa (12th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Wisconsin (15th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Chicago Inter (14th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 5	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	3–0
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 at St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy · Sun Nov 1 at St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green · Sat Dec 5 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	1–0	45%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	3–0	90%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	3–0	85%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	3–0	94%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–0	39%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Nationals SC

+16

2.78

DWWWW

-0.01

-0.20

100%

1.7

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	1–0
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	2–0
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	0–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Sporting Iowa (12th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–0
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	3–0
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Wisconsin · Sat Oct 31 vs Chicago Inter · Sun Nov 8 vs Rockford Raptors FC See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Wisconsin (15th)	2–0	90%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Chicago Inter (14th)	2–0	90%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	1–0	63%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	1–0	73%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	2–0	83%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–0	29%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy

+16

2.36

WWWWW

-0.17

+0.18

96%

3.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Sporting Iowa (12th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Chicago Inter (14th)	6–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Wisconsin (15th)	3–0
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	2–1
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 5	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	1–0
W	Sun Aug 30	at	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	1–0
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Michigan Hawks · Sun Nov 1 vs Michigan Hawks Magic · Sat Nov 21 at Missouri Rush See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–1	27%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	2–0	86%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–0	67%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	1–0	61%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rockford Raptors FC

2.20

WWWWL

+0.02

-0.11

62%

4.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Michigan Hawks (1st)	1–4
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	2–0
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Chicago Inter (14th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	4–0
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–3
W	Sat Aug 29	at	Sporting Iowa (12th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting Blue Valley · Sun Nov 1 vs Kansas City Athletics · Sun Nov 8 at Nationals SC See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	1–0	61%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	1–1	53%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–1	12%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	FC Wisconsin (15th)	2–0	86%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	1–1	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eclipse Select Soccer Club

+10

1.78

WLLDW

+0.28

-0.53

35%

4.9

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	4–0
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Michigan Hawks (1st)	2–2
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Chicago Inter (14th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 6	at	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 5	at	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Gretna Elite Academy · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting Iowa · Sat Oct 31 at Liverpool FC MI See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Sporting Iowa (12th)	2–0	69%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	2–0	79%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–0	63%
·	Wed Nov 11	vs	FC Wisconsin (15th)	3–0	93%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	2–0	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Gretna Elite Academy

+11

1.64

WLDLW

+0.02

-0.13

5.9

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–2
D	Sun Oct 11	at	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	0–0
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Michigan Hawks (1st)	1–2
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–0
D	Sat Oct 3	at	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	2–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	4–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–2
D	Sat Sep 5	vs	Sporting Iowa (12th)	0–0
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	3–0
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	FC Wisconsin (15th)	5–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Inter · Sat Nov 21 vs Sporting Blue Valley See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	1–1	39%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Chicago Inter (14th)	2–0	83%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	1–0	63%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	1–1	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Missouri Rush

-6

1.33

WLWLW

-0.15

+0.68

9.1

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Wisconsin (15th)	2–0
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	1–0
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Sporting Iowa (12th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	2–5
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	0–1
D	Sun Sep 6	at	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 5	at	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–3
W	Sat Aug 29	at	Chicago Inter (14th)	1–0

Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sat Nov 21 vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy · Sun Jan 17 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	0–1	15%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–1	10%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	1–1	29%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green

-9

1.27

LWWDL

+0.05

-0.01

9.0

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–4
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Sporting Iowa (12th)	2–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 27	at	FC Wisconsin (15th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	1–5
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 5	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–1
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–3
D	Sat Aug 29	at	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Michigan Hawks Magic · Sun Nov 1 vs Michigan Hawks · Sat Nov 7 vs Chicago Inter See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	1–1	57%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Chicago Inter (14th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	1–2	22%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Kansas City Athletics

1.17

WLDLW

+0.10

-0.39

8.6

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–1
D	Sun Oct 11	at	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–2
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Sporting Iowa (12th)	2–0
D	Sat Oct 3	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–4
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	5–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 6	vs	Chicago Inter (14th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 5	vs	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at FC Wisconsin · Sun Nov 1 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sun Nov 8 at MN Thunder Academy See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Wisconsin (15th)	2–0	81%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	1–1	24%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	1–1	37%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Michigan Hawks Magic

-15

0.91

WLDLL

-0.05

+0.46

12.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	0–2
D	Sun Oct 11	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Sporting Iowa (12th)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Chicago Inter (14th)	2–1
D	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Wisconsin (15th)	0–0
D	Sun Sep 6	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–0
D	Sat Sep 5	at	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	2–2
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 31 at St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green · Sun Nov 1 at St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy · Sun Dec 6 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	1–1	21%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–2	3%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	0–1	18%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–2	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting Blue Valley

-4

0.90

LLDWL

+0.13

-0.21

10.7

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	3–0
D	Sun Oct 11	vs	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	4–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 6	vs	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	0–3
D	Sat Sep 5	vs	Chicago Inter (14th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Rockford Raptors FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Wisconsin · Sat Nov 7 at MN Thunder Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	0–1	17%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Wisconsin (15th)	1–0	69%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	1–1	27%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–1	14%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Sporting Iowa (12th)	1–0	48%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting Iowa

-9

0.82

LWLDL

+0.13

-0.13

12.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–2
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	2–2
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	3–1
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Nationals SC (2nd)	1–3
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 5	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–0
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	FC Wisconsin (15th)	1–0
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago Inter · Sun Oct 25 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sat Dec 12 at Sporting Blue Valley See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Chicago Inter (14th)	1–0	51%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	0–2	13%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	0–1	25%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	0–1	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Liverpool FC MI

-15

0.64

DLWLL

-0.09

+0.48

14.0

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	0–3
W	Sun Oct 11	at	FC Wisconsin (15th)	1–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–1
D	Sat Sep 26	at	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	1–4
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Sporting Iowa (12th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	0–4
D	Sat Sep 5	vs	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	2–2
L	Sun Aug 30	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–1
D	Sat Aug 29	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Chicago Inter · Sat Nov 14 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	0–2	7%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Chicago Inter (14th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	0–1	18%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–3	1%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Chicago Inter

-15

0.44

LLLLW

+0.16

-0.05

14.4

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	FC Wisconsin (15th)	4–0
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–6
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 6	at	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	0–3
D	Sat Sep 5	at	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	1–1
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sporting Iowa · Sun Oct 25 at Gretna Elite Academy · Sat Oct 31 at Nationals SC See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sporting Iowa (12th)	0–1	23%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–2	5%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–2	2%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	0–1	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Wisconsin

-21

0.11

LLLLL

-0.14

+0.45

16.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–2
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Chicago Inter (14th)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–4
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	0–0
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Sporting Iowa (12th)	0–1
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Nationals SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Kansas City Athletics · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting Blue Valley See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–2	1%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	0–2	5%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	0–1	8%
·	Wed Nov 11	at	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	0–3	1%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	0–2	3%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	MN Thunder Academy (16th)	0–2	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

MN Thunder Academy

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Sporting Blue Valley · Sun Nov 8 vs Kansas City Athletics · Sat Nov 14 at Liverpool FC MI See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Sporting Blue Valley (11th)	1–1	47%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Kansas City Athletics (9th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Liverpool FC MI (13th)	1–0	60%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Nationals SC (2nd)	0–1	7%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Eclipse Select Soccer Club (5th)	0–2	17%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Chicago Inter (14th)	1–0	61%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Michigan Hawks (1st)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Michigan Hawks Magic (10th)	1–0	59%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy (3rd)	0–1	15%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green (8th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	1–1	24%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	FC Wisconsin (15th)	2–0	82%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Rockford Raptors FC (4th)	1–1	22%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Sporting Iowa (12th)	1–0	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.