TableChase Clubs

Missouri Rush

ECNL Girls · Midwest GU15 · 16 teams · Missouri Rush (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
7th
5-1-6 record · 12 played
1.33 points per game
-6 goal diff · 10–16
WLWLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.2
-0.15 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 01:00 PM

Open the match preview →

Missouri Rush
7th · 1.33 PPG
vs

Missouri Rush Sports Park, Field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.8 for, 1.8 against · 0.68 expected points)

Season so farMissouri RushEclipse Select Soccer Club
Position7th5th
Record (W-D-L)5-1-65-1-3
Points per game1.331.78
Goals for / game0.82.1
Goals against / game1.31.0
Clean sheets53
Held scoreless52
Form (recent first)W L W L WW D L L W
Biggest win2–0 vs FC Wisconsin5–1 at St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green
Worst loss0–3 at Michigan Hawks0–2 vs Nationals SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.41+0.92
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.15+0.28

Common opponents: Chicago Inter — we 1–0; they 2–0. Michigan Hawks — we 0–3; they 2–2. Michigan Hawks Magic — we 0–0; they 4–0. St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green — we 0–1; they 5–1. Sporting Blue Valley — we 1–0; they 3–0. Rockford Raptors FC — we 1–3; they 0–1. Kansas City Athletics — we 2–5; they 2–1. Nationals SC — we 0–2; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Eclipse Select Soccer Club score 2.1/game — well above the league's 1.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–3 at Michigan Hawks, 0–0 at Michigan Hawks Magic, 0–1 at St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green, 0–1 at Gretna Elite Academy, 0–2 at Nationals SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eclipse Select Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Missouri Rush – Eclipse Select Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.23 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 3
Win
1.46 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Draw
1.31 PPG
7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 3
Loss
1.23 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 10%
  8. 8th 19%
  9. 9th 27%
  10. 10th 29%
  11. 11th 13%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Michigan Hawks 2.80 (+1.47) 1st (2.63) 26 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nationals SC 2.78 (+1.45) 2nd (2.59) 26 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 2.36 (+1.03) 3rd (2.27) 20 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Rockford Raptors FC 2.20 (+0.87) 4th (2.07) 17 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 1.78 (+0.45) 5th (1.94) 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Gretna Elite Academy 1.64 (+0.31) 6th (1.73) 9 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

78 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link Missouri Rush to Eclipse Select Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
9 even
61 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 2–0 1–3 1–0 1–0 0–2 1–0 0–3 0–3 2–2 2–5 1–2 0–0 0–4 0–1 1–5 2–0 0–3 2–1 2–1 0–2 0–2 4–1 Missouri Rush 7th Nationals SC 2nd Rockford Raptors FC 4th Chicago Inter 14th Sporting Blue Valley 11th Michigan Hawks 1st Kansas City Athleti… 9th Michigan Hawks Magic 10th St. Louis Scott Gal… 8th FC Wisconsin 15th Sporting Iowa 12th St. Louis Scott Gal… 3rd Eclipse Select Socc… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.68 · 1st hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
Eclipse Select Soccer Club
5th · 5-1-3 · GD +10
Home
Missouri Rush Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
15%
0–1 0.68 1.28 Upside
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy
3rd · 8-2-1 · GD +16
Home
Missouri Rush Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–1 0.54 1.23 Upside
Sun Jan 17
TBD
MN Thunder Academy
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.16 1.22 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Michigan Hawks 10910 354+31 282.80 WWWDW -0.23 +0.14 100% 1.5
2 Nationals SC 9810 171+16 252.78 DWWWW -0.01 -0.20 100% 1.7
3 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 11821 215+16 262.36 WWWWW -0.17 +0.18 96% 3.2
4 Rockford Raptors FC 10712 1911+8 222.20 WWWWL +0.02 -0.11 60% 4.3
5 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 9513 199+10 161.78 WLLDW +0.28 -0.53 37% 4.8
6 Gretna Elite Academy 11533 209+11 181.64 WLDLW +0.02 -0.13 5% 5.9
7 Missouri Rush 12516 1016-6 161.33 WLWLW -0.15 +0.68 0% 9.2
8 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 11425 1322-9 141.27 LWWDL +0.05 -0.01 0% 9.0
9 Kansas City Athletics 12426 1917+2 141.17 WLDLW +0.10 -0.39 0% 8.6
10 Michigan Hawks Magic 11245 722-15 100.91 WLDLL -0.05 +0.46 0% 12.9
11 Sporting Blue Valley 10235 1014-4 90.90 LLDWL +0.13 -0.21 0% 10.7
12 Sporting Iowa 11236 918-9 90.82 LWLDL +0.13 -0.13 0% 12.0
13 Liverpool FC MI 11146 823-15 70.64 DLWLL -0.09 +0.48 0% 14.0
14 Chicago Inter 9117 621-15 40.44 LLLLW +0.16 -0.05 0% 14.4
15 FC Wisconsin 9018 021-21 10.11 LLLLL -0.14 +0.45 0% 16.0
16 MN Thunder Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.