TableChase Clubs

Chicago Inter

ECNL Girls · Midwest GU15 · 16 teams · Chicago Inter (all teams)

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14th
1-1-7 record · 9 played
0.44 points per game
-15 goal diff · 6–21
LLLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.4
+0.16 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM

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Chicago Inter
14th · 0.44 PPG
at
Sporting Iowa
12th · 0.82 PPG

Hy-Vee Multiplex, Green #1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 1.0 for, 1.6 against · 0.95 expected points)

Season so farChicago InterSporting Iowa
Position14th12th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-72-3-6
Points per game0.440.82
Goals for / game0.70.8
Goals against / game2.31.6
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless65
Form (recent first)W L L L LL D L W L
Biggest win4–0 vs FC Wisconsin3–1 at Michigan Hawks Magic
Worst loss0–6 vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy0–3 at Michigan Hawks
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.18-0.61
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.16+0.13

Common opponents: Missouri Rush — we 0–1; they 1–2. Kansas City Athletics — we 0–3; they 0–2. Michigan Hawks — we 0–4; they 0–3. Michigan Hawks Magic — we 1–2; they 3–1. St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy — we 0–6; they 0–2. Rockford Raptors FC — we 0–2; they 0–2. FC Wisconsin — we 4–0; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 6 time(s): 0–1 vs Missouri Rush, 0–3 at Kansas City Athletics, 0–4 vs Michigan Hawks, 0–2 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club, 0–6 vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy, 0–2 vs Rockford Raptors FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 04:00 PM at Hy-Vee Multiplex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Liverpool FC MI sit 13th on 0.64 PPG; we are on 0.44.

    A point moves us above Liverpool FC MI on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting Iowa game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Inter – Sporting Iowa) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.40 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds
Win
0.70 PPG
13th▲ up 1 12th▲ up 2 13th▲ up 1
Draw
0.50 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds
Loss
0.40 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 10%
  14. 14th 22%
  15. 15th 60%
  16. 16th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.47 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Michigan Hawks 2.80 (+2.36) 1st (2.63) 38 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nationals SC 2.78 (+2.34) 2nd (2.59) 38 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 2.36 (+1.92) 3rd (2.27) 32 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Rockford Raptors FC 2.20 (+1.76) 4th (2.07) 29 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 1.78 (+1.34) 5th (1.94) 23 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Gretna Elite Academy 1.64 (+1.20) 6th (1.73) 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Missouri Rush 1.33 (+0.89) 10th (1.22) 16 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
8 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 1.27 (+0.83) 8th (1.26) 16 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
9 Kansas City Athletics 1.17 (+0.73) 9th (1.26) 14 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
10 Michigan Hawks Magic 0.91 (+0.47) 13th (0.80) 10 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection
11 Sporting Blue Valley 0.90 (+0.46) 11th (1.03) 10 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
12 Sporting Iowa 0.82 (+0.38) 12th (0.88) 9 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
13 Liverpool FC MI 0.64 (+0.20) 14th (0.65) A point next game

How the results connect

73 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Chicago Inter to Sporting Iowa through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

21 favour us
12 even
40 favour them
-0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 2–0 0–1 2–1 0–4 3–0 0–3 2–0 4–0 0–1 1–2 1–3 0–6 2–0 2–2 0–2 4–0 0–0 6–0 3–0 Chicago Inter 14th Rockford Raptors FC 4th Missouri Rush 7th Michigan Hawks 1st Kansas City Athleti… 9th FC Wisconsin 15th Michigan Hawks Magic 10th St. Louis Scott Gal… 3rd Eclipse Select Socc… 5th Sporting Iowa 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.05 · 9th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
04:00 PM
Sporting Iowa
12th · 2-3-6 · GD -9
Away far trip
Hy-Vee Multiplex
●●●●● Very tough
23%
0–1 0.95 0.49 Upside
Sun Oct 25
12:00 PM
Gretna Elite Academy
6th · 5-3-3 · GD +11
Away far trip
HyVee Multiplex
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.28 0.48 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:45 AM
Nationals SC
2nd · 8-1-0 · GD +16
Away far trip
Evolution Sportsplex
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–2 0.14 0.45 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM
Liverpool FC MI
13th · 1-4-6 · GD -15
Away far trip
Avondale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.23 0.51 Upside
Sat Nov 7
04:45 PM
St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green
8th · 4-2-5 · GD -9
Away far trip
WWT Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.82 0.53 Upside
Sun Nov 22
12:30 PM
MN Thunder Academy
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Chicago Inter Complex
●●●●● Very tough
18%
0–1 0.74 0.54 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Michigan Hawks 10910 354+31 282.80 WWWDW -0.23 +0.14 100% 1.4
2 Nationals SC 9810 171+16 252.78 DWWWW -0.01 -0.20 100% 1.7
3 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 11821 215+16 262.36 WWWWW -0.17 +0.18 96% 3.1
4 Rockford Raptors FC 10712 1911+8 222.20 WWWWL +0.02 -0.11 61% 4.3
5 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 9513 199+10 161.78 WLLDW +0.28 -0.53 35% 4.8
6 Gretna Elite Academy 11533 209+11 181.64 WLDLW +0.02 -0.13 6% 5.9
7 Missouri Rush 12516 1016-6 161.33 WLWLW -0.15 +0.68 0% 9.2
8 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 11425 1322-9 141.27 LWWDL +0.05 -0.01 0% 9.0
9 Kansas City Athletics 12426 1917+2 141.17 WLDLW +0.10 -0.39 0% 8.5
10 Michigan Hawks Magic 11245 722-15 100.91 WLDLL -0.05 +0.46 0% 12.9
11 Sporting Blue Valley 10235 1014-4 90.90 LLDWL +0.13 -0.21 0% 10.7
12 Sporting Iowa 11236 918-9 90.82 LWLDL +0.13 -0.13 0% 12.0
13 Liverpool FC MI 11146 823-15 70.64 DLWLL -0.09 +0.48 0% 14.0
14 Chicago Inter 9117 621-15 40.44 LLLLW +0.16 -0.05 0% 14.4
15 FC Wisconsin 9018 021-21 10.11 LLLLL -0.14 +0.45 0% 16.0
16 MN Thunder Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.